Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The 56th GST Council Meeting is currently underway in New Delhi, having commenced on September 3, 2025 at 11:00 AM and will continue until September 4, 2025.</li>
<li>These are supposed to be "next-generation GST reforms" with a promise of implementing reforms as a "Diwali gift" for consumers.</li>
<li>Negative FII Participation, Negative Price Action, Rich Multiples coupled with Negative Earnings Revisions argue for a bearish positioning going into the "G" Day - Day of GST Reform Announcements.</li>
</ul>


The 56th GST Council Meeting is currently underway in New Delhi, having commenced on September 3, 2025 at 11:00 AM and will continue until September 4, 2025.
These are supposed to be "next-generation GST reforms" with a promise of implementing reforms as a "Diwali gift" for consumers.
Negative FII Participation, Negative Price Action, Rich Multiples coupled with Negative Earnings Revisions argue for a bearish positioning going into the "G" Day - Day of GST Reform Announcements.


A Trader's Guide To "G" Day | Positioning For "Next-Generation GST Reforms"

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>We forecast 7 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 10 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 3 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 11 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.</li>
<li>From the new listings, 13 stocks are expected to be added to Large Cap, 5 stocks are expected to be added to Mid Cap, and multiple stocks to Small Cap.</li>
<li>With the review period nearing completion, there could still be more outperformance given the momentum, but we would look to take profit on the stocks as the divergence gets wider.</li>
</ul>


We forecast 7 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 10 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 3 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 11 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.
From the new listings, 13 stocks are expected to be added to Large Cap, 5 stocks are expected to be added to Mid Cap, and multiple stocks to Small Cap.
With the review period nearing completion, there could still be more outperformance given the momentum, but we would look to take profit on the stocks as the divergence gets wider.


AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Dec 2025): New Listings Shaking Up the Rankings

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Strong Q2FY26 Outperformance Across Auto OEMs: Revenue/EBITDA in Q2FY26 grew by 16.5%/14.9% YoY, respectively, exceeding our expectations of ~12.6%/11.2% YoY for Auto OEMs under our coverage.</li><li>Revenue growth was largely driven by mid-single-digit industry growth across 2Ws/PVs/CVs and mid-teens volume growth in the tractors, and the ongoing premiumization trend.</li><li>Revenue/EBITDA grew by 14.5%/18.6% QoQ against our estimates of 10.7%/14.8% QoQ, respectively. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Strong Q2FY26 Outperformance Across Auto OEMs: Revenue/EBITDA in Q2FY26 grew by 16.5%/14.9% YoY, respectively, exceeding our expectations of ~12.6%/11.2% YoY for Auto OEMs under our coverage.Revenue growth was largely driven by mid-single-digit industry growth across 2Ws/PVs/CVs and mid-teens volume growth in the tractors, and the ongoing premiumization trend.Revenue/EBITDA grew by 14.5%/18.6% QoQ against our estimates of 10.7%/14.8% QoQ, respectively. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Top Conviction Ideas - “Auto & Auto Ancillaries”

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles: Management has indicated that even without the cyber incident, it would have amended JLR’s guidance at this point</li><li>Weaker demand for JLR in key markets like Europe and China continues, leading to higher variable marketing expense (VME)</li><li>Also, higher US tariffs and China’s luxury tax—both currently being absorbed by the OEMs to some extent—have structurally impacted the company’s cost base over the medium term</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles: Management has indicated that even without the cyber incident, it would have amended JLR’s guidance at this pointWeaker demand for JLR in key markets like Europe and China continues, leading to higher variable marketing expense (VME)Also, higher US tariffs and China’s luxury tax—both currently being absorbed by the OEMs to some extent—have structurally impacted the company’s cost base over the medium termContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles, Hero MotoCorp, Siemens, Apollo Tyres...

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Emmvee Photovoltaic Power Limited / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/emmvee-photovoltaic-power-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45501:1" rel="noopener">Emmvee Photovoltaic Power Limited (0198068D IN)</a> (EPPL) raised around US$327m in its India IPO.</li>
<li>EPPL is a vertically-integrated solar PV module and cell manufacturer in India, with operations spanning the solar PV modules production cycle from solar cell production to solar PV module assembly.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Emmvee Photovoltaic Power Limited (0198068D IN) (EPPL) raised around US$327m in its India IPO.
EPPL is a vertically-integrated solar PV module and cell manufacturer in India, with operations spanning the solar PV modules production cycle from solar cell production to solar PV module assembly.
We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.


Emmvee Photovoltaic Power IPO Trading - Lacklustre Demand

India

Hero MotoCorp Ltd. designs, manufactures and distributes motorcycles. The Company's products also include motorcycle parts and accessories.

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Hero Motocorp (HMCL IN)

A Trader's Guide To "G" Day | Positioning For "Next-Generation GST Reforms"

The 56th GST Council Meeting in New Delhi aims to bring next-generation reforms as a "Diwali gift" for consumers, but market indicators suggest a...

Pranav Bhavsar

AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Dec 2025): New Listings Shaking Up the Rankings

We currently forecast 31 migrations for the AMFI December reclassification. Many IPOs could be added to Large/Mid cap. The forecast upward...

Brian Freitas

Top Conviction Ideas - “Auto & Auto Ancillaries”

Revenue/EBITDA in Q2FY26 grew by 16.5%/14.9% YoY, respectively, exceeding our expectations of ~12.6%/11.2% YoY for Auto OEMs under our coverage.

Axis Direct

HSIE Results Daily: Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles, Hero MotoCorp, Siemens, Apollo Tyres...

Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles: Management has indicated that even without the cyber incident, it would have amended JLR’s guidance at this point

HDFC Securities

Emmvee Photovoltaic Power IPO Trading - Lacklustre Demand

Emmvee Photovoltaic Power Ltd raised around US$327m in its India IPO. In this note, we will talk about the demand and the trading dynamics.

Akshat Shah

Price Gauge

52-week Range

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A Trader's Guide To "G" Day | Positioning For "Next-Generation GST Reforms"

​The 56th GST Council Meeting in New Delhi aims to bring next-generation reforms as a "Diwali gift" for consumers, but market indicators suggest a...

Pranav Bhavsar

AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Dec 2025): New Listings Shaking Up the Rankings

We currently forecast 31 migrations for the AMFI December reclassification. Many IPOs could be added to Large/Mid cap. The forecast upward...

Brian Freitas

Top Conviction Ideas - “Auto & Auto Ancillaries”

Revenue/EBITDA in Q2FY26 grew by 16.5%/14.9% YoY, respectively, exceeding our expectations of ~12.6%/11.2% YoY for Auto OEMs under our coverage.

Axis Direct

HSIE Results Daily: Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles, Hero MotoCorp, Siemens, Apollo Tyres...

Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles: Management has indicated that even without the cyber incident, it would have amended JLR’s guidance at this point

HDFC Securities

Emmvee Photovoltaic Power IPO Trading - Lacklustre Demand

Emmvee Photovoltaic Power Ltd raised around US$327m in its India IPO. In this note, we will talk about the demand and the trading dynamics.

Akshat Shah

The 56th GST Council Meeting in New Delhi aims to bring next-generation reforms as a "Diwali gift" for consumers, but market indicators suggest a...