External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Auto OEMs: We expect Revenue/EBITDA/PAT for our OEM coverage universe to grow by 12.6%/11.2%/21.2% YoY on account of GST rate cut, subdued commodity inflation, and favourable regulatory norms.</li><li>The revenue growth is largely led by low to mid-single-digit industry growth for 2W/PVs/CVs and double-digit volume growth in the tractor industry.</li><li>The expected YoY EBITDA margin declines due to higher discounts and advertisement expenses being partly offset by richer product mix (higher exports) and price hikes taken over the past year. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto OEMs: We expect Revenue/EBITDA/PAT for our OEM coverage universe to grow by 12.6%/11.2%/21.2% YoY on account of GST rate cut, subdued commodity inflation, and favourable regulatory norms.The revenue growth is largely led by low to mid-single-digit industry growth for 2W/PVs/CVs and double-digit volume growth in the tractor industry.The expected YoY EBITDA margin declines due to higher discounts and advertisement expenses being partly offset by richer product mix (higher exports) and price hikes taken over the past year. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

<ul>
<li>The Indian automobile industry experienced a significant boost in sales in September 2025, driven by delayed purchases and the positive effects of GST reductions.</li>
<li>The increase in retail sales highlights a strong recovery in the sector, which is expected to continue into October as the full impact of the GST cuts becomes clear.</li>
<li>The sector’s strong performance and high consumer demand suggest a positive outlook for the coming months, with several key OEMs set for sustained growth.</li>
</ul>


The Indian automobile industry experienced a significant boost in sales in September 2025, driven by delayed purchases and the positive effects of GST reductions.
The increase in retail sales highlights a strong recovery in the sector, which is expected to continue into October as the full impact of the GST cuts becomes clear.
The sector’s strong performance and high consumer demand suggest a positive outlook for the coming months, with several key OEMs set for sustained growth.


The Beat Ideas: Indian Auto Industry: GST Cuts Power Record Festive Sales Surge

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.</li>
<li>Our bullish near-term outlook will remain in place as long as the 4+ month uptrend continues on ACWI-US. Remain aggressively long/continue to expect more upside into year-end and the early2026.</li>
<li>Europe's EURO STOXX 50 is breaking out from its 7-month base, above the crucial 5500 level, and RS is attempting to reverse its 5-month downtrend -- buy.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.
Our bullish near-term outlook will remain in place as long as the 4+ month uptrend continues on ACWI-US. Remain aggressively long/continue to expect more upside into year-end and the early2026.
Europe's EURO STOXX 50 is breaking out from its 7-month base, above the crucial 5500 level, and RS is attempting to reverse its 5-month downtrend -- buy.


Europe Breaking Out From 7-Month Base -- Buy; Remain Overweight Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S.

<ul><li>Over Apr–Sep’26, cumulative 2W domestic sales grew by 1% YoY to 97.87 Lc units, as declines at Hero (-2%) and Bajaj (-8%) offset strong performances from TVS (+15%) and RE (+27%).</li><li>In contrast, 2W exports surged 24% YoY to 22.40 Lc units, reflecting improved traction in global markets, especially Africa and Latin America.</li><li>On a YTD basis, 3W domestic wholesales rose 12% YoY to 4.02 Lc units, led by M&amp;M (+32%), TVS (+43%), while Bajaj remained flat.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Over Apr–Sep’26, cumulative 2W domestic sales grew by 1% YoY to 97.87 Lc units, as declines at Hero (-2%) and Bajaj (-8%) offset strong performances from TVS (+15%) and RE (+27%).In contrast, 2W exports surged 24% YoY to 22.40 Lc units, reflecting improved traction in global markets, especially Africa and Latin America.On a YTD basis, 3W domestic wholesales rose 12% YoY to 4.02 Lc units, led by M&amp;M (+32%), TVS (+43%), while Bajaj remained flat.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto Monthly Sales Volume - September 2025

<ul><li>Relative Underperformance Provides an Opportunity to Add Equity for the Long Term: On a YTD basis, the Indian market has underperformed the US market and other emerging markets by a notable margin.</li><li>FTSE India is now trading at a PE premium of 49% to the EM index (PE), vs. an average premium of 44%.</li><li>During Sep’24, the Indian market traded at a 97% PE premium to EM. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Relative Underperformance Provides an Opportunity to Add Equity for the Long Term: On a YTD basis, the Indian market has underperformed the US market and other emerging markets by a notable margin.FTSE India is now trading at a PE premium of 49% to the EM index (PE), vs. an average premium of 44%.During Sep’24, the Indian market traded at a 97% PE premium to EM. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Axis Top Picks for the month of October 2025

India

Hero MotoCorp Ltd. designs, manufactures and distributes motorcycles. The Company's products also include motorcycle parts and accessories.

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Hero Motocorp (HMCL IN)

Q2FY26 Earnings Preview - Automobile

We expect Revenue/EBITDA/PAT for our OEM coverage universe to grow by 12.6%/11.2%/21.2% YoY on account of GST rate cut, subdued commodity...

Axis Direct

The Beat Ideas: Indian Auto Industry: GST Cuts Power Record Festive Sales Surge

Indian auto industry sees surge in September 2025 sales due to delayed purchases and GST reductions, with strong recovery expected to continue...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Europe Breaking Out From 7-Month Base -- Buy; Remain Overweight Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S.

Europe EURO $STOXX 50 Breaking Out From 7-Month Base -- Buy; Remain Overweight Taiwan $EWT, China $MCHI, Korea $EWY, and the U.S. $SPX; Bullish...

Vermilion Research

Auto Monthly Sales Volume - September 2025

Over Apr–Sep’26, cumulative 2W domestic sales grew by 1% YoY to 97.87 Lc units, as declines at Hero (-2%) and Bajaj (-8%) offset strong...

Axis Direct

Axis Top Picks for the month of October 2025

Relative Underperformance Provides an Opportunity to Add Equity for the Long Term: On a YTD basis, the Indian market has underperformed the US...

Axis Direct

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Q2FY26 Earnings Preview - Automobile

We expect Revenue/EBITDA/PAT for our OEM coverage universe to grow by 12.6%/11.2%/21.2% YoY on account of GST rate cut, subdued commodity...

Axis Direct

The Beat Ideas: Indian Auto Industry: GST Cuts Power Record Festive Sales Surge

​Indian auto industry sees surge in September 2025 sales due to delayed purchases and GST reductions, with strong recovery expected to continue...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Europe Breaking Out From 7-Month Base -- Buy; Remain Overweight Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S.

Europe EURO $STOXX 50 Breaking Out From 7-Month Base -- Buy; Remain Overweight Taiwan $EWT, China $MCHI, Korea $EWY, and the U.S. $SPX; Bullish...

Vermilion Research

Auto Monthly Sales Volume - September 2025

Over Apr–Sep’26, cumulative 2W domestic sales grew by 1% YoY to 97.87 Lc units, as declines at Hero (-2%) and Bajaj (-8%) offset strong...

Axis Direct

Axis Top Picks for the month of October 2025

Relative Underperformance Provides an Opportunity to Add Equity for the Long Term: On a YTD basis, the Indian market has underperformed the US...

Axis Direct

Indian auto industry sees surge in September 2025 sales due to delayed purchases and GST reductions, with strong recovery expected to continue...