Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jul 10th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.</li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Alibaba, Tencent, Kingboard Laminates, Knowledge Atlas, CCB, Yofc, ICBC, Hesai, Ntes, Minimax.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jul 10th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.
We highlight short changes in Alibaba, Tencent, Kingboard Laminates, Knowledge Atlas, CCB, Yofc, ICBC, Hesai, Ntes, Minimax.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Alibaba, Tencent, Kingboard Laminates, Knowledge Atlas, CCB, Yofc, ICBC

Equity Research Analyst - Long-Short

Raj S, CA, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
New Business: Sharpa’s role in the Nvidia Isaac GR00T reference platform positions it as an early dexterous-hand leader in this setup, with Hesai supplying actuator assembly through cofounder-linked Sharpa channel.</li>
<li>The original LiDAR volume thesis remains on track. Hesai’s pre-1Q26 case relied on ADAS, robotaxi, robovan, lawn mower and broader robotics LiDAR growth. 1Q26 shipments and FY26 guidance are tracking.</li>
<li>Recent price weakness has to do with sector weakness: Hesai is a medium-term bet on global ADAS, and now also on robotic mobility. Our bull case implies upto 100% upside.</li>
</ul>



New Business: Sharpa’s role in the Nvidia Isaac GR00T reference platform positions it as an early dexterous-hand leader in this setup, with Hesai supplying actuator assembly through cofounder-linked Sharpa channel.
The original LiDAR volume thesis remains on track. Hesai’s pre-1Q26 case relied on ADAS, robotaxi, robovan, lawn mower and broader robotics LiDAR growth. 1Q26 shipments and FY26 guidance are tracking.
Recent price weakness has to do with sector weakness: Hesai is a medium-term bet on global ADAS, and now also on robotic mobility. Our bull case implies upto 100% upside.


Hesai Group (HSAI US): New Product Upside Creates Large Optionality Amid Sector Weakness

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 9 companies that listed in August and September 2025 where the lock-up for cornerstone investors ends in the next 5 weeks.</li>
<li>The total lock-up expiry across companies is HK$50.3bn (US$6.45bn) with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zijin-gold-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45448:1" rel="noopener">Zijin Gold</a> making up the bulk of it. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/butong-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44212:1" rel="noopener">Butong</a> and Jiaxin International have a lock-up for pre-IPO investors too.</li>
<li>The cornerstone investor lock-up expiry will increase the number of free float shares between 29-78% and some of the stocks could come under pressure ahead of the expiry.</li>
</ul>


There are 9 companies that listed in August and September 2025 where the lock-up for cornerstone investors ends in the next 5 weeks.
The total lock-up expiry across companies is HK$50.3bn (US$6.45bn) with Zijin Gold making up the bulk of it. Butong and Jiaxin International have a lock-up for pre-IPO investors too.
The cornerstone investor lock-up expiry will increase the number of free float shares between 29-78% and some of the stocks could come under pressure ahead of the expiry.


HK: Cornerstone/Pre-IPO Lock-Up Expiries in Feb/March

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The Hang Seng Internet &amp; IT (HSIII) index represents the top 30 stocks related to internet and information technology businesses listed in Hong Kong (HKEX).</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at potential index changes and capping flows for HSIII index rebal event in March 2026.</li>
<li>Based on the latest data, we see four index changes for March 2026 with one-way flow of around US$230mn.</li>
</ul>


The Hang Seng Internet &amp; IT (HSIII) index represents the top 30 stocks related to internet and information technology businesses listed in Hong Kong (HKEX).
In this insight, we take a look at potential index changes and capping flows for HSIII index rebal event in March 2026.
Based on the latest data, we see four index changes for March 2026 with one-way flow of around US$230mn.


Quiddity Leaderboard HSIII Mar26: Final Ranks; 4 Changes Expected

<ul>
<li>We identify stocks likely to be added to the Hang Seng Composite Index in the upcoming review and, in turn, become eligible for Hong Kong Stock Connect.</li>
<li>Using market cap, free float and liquidity screens, we compile a preliminary list of potential inclusion candidates ahead of the review cut-off.</li>
<li>A follow-up note will focus on which inclusion candidates are most likely to translate eligibility into actionable trading opportunities.</li>
</ul>


We identify stocks likely to be added to the Hang Seng Composite Index in the upcoming review and, in turn, become eligible for Hong Kong Stock Connect.
Using market cap, free float and liquidity screens, we compile a preliminary list of potential inclusion candidates ahead of the review cut-off.
A follow-up note will focus on which inclusion candidates are most likely to translate eligibility into actionable trading opportunities.


HSCI / Hong Kong Connect Inclusion (March 2026): A Preliminary Assessment

United States

Hesai Group provides 3D light detection and ranging solutions. The Company's LiDAR products enables a broad spectrum of applications across passenger and commercial vehicles with advanced driver assistance systems, as well as autonomous vehicle fleets providing passenger and freight mobility services.

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Hesai Group (HSAI US)

HK Short Interest Weekly: Alibaba, Tencent, Kingboard Laminates, Knowledge Atlas, CCB, Yofc, ICBC

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jul 10th and highlight short interest changes in Alibaba (9988 HK), Tencent...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM