External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Topline Securities

Topline Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Topline Securities is one of the fastest growing brokerage houses in Pakistan. It has strong equity brokerage, economic / equity research, mutual fund distribution, commodity trading and corporate finance & advisory functions. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Pakistan car sales (as reported by PAMA) clocked in at 15,558 units in Aug 2026, up by 11% YoY but declined 21% MoM.</li><li>The MoM decline in total sales is primarily due to uncertainty surrounding the new auto policy and uncertain regional atmosphere affecting supply chain, in our view.</li><li>We expect the positive momentum in auto sales to continue in FY27, with double digit growth supported by the launch of new variants and the entry of new brands in the market.</li></ul>

Pakistan car sales (as reported by PAMA) clocked in at 15,558 units in Aug 2026, up by 11% YoY but declined 21% MoM.The MoM decline in total sales is primarily due to uncertainty surrounding the new auto policy and uncertain regional atmosphere affecting supply chain, in our view.We expect the positive momentum in auto sales to continue in FY27, with double digit growth supported by the launch of new variants and the entry of new brands in the market.

Pakistan Automobiles: Car Sales Grew by 11% YoY but Declined 21% MoM to 15,558 Units in Aug 2026

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>On April 1, the merger of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hino-motors-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2144:1" rel="noopener">Hino Motors Ltd (7205 JP)</a> and Mitsubishi Fuso Truck &amp; Bus Co (MFTBC) is effective where MFTBC gets injected into a Surviving Entity ARCHION.</li>
<li>Currently, "minorities" own 49.7% of Hino Motors but that includes cross-holders. Active holders and passive holders will own 5.7% and 3.9%, respectively. Daimler and Toyota 83%, crossholders 7+%.</li>
<li>Daimler and Toyota need to sell down to 25% each. The cross-holders will want to sell too. This will mean a BIG offering "as soon as is reasonable." A re-IPO.</li>
</ul>


On April 1, the merger of Hino Motors Ltd (7205 JP) and Mitsubishi Fuso Truck &amp; Bus Co (MFTBC) is effective where MFTBC gets injected into a Surviving Entity ARCHION.
Currently, "minorities" own 49.7% of Hino Motors but that includes cross-holders. Active holders and passive holders will own 5.7% and 3.9%, respectively. Daimler and Toyota 83%, crossholders 7+%.
Daimler and Toyota need to sell down to 25% each. The cross-holders will want to sell too. This will mean a BIG offering "as soon as is reasonable." A re-IPO.


Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Yesterday, the Nikkei Index Committee announced the results of the March 2026 review for the Nikkei 225 Average. TWO ADDs, TWO DELETEs. But not the DELETEs Quiddity was expecting.</li>
<li>The DELETEs chosen signify an even stricter adherence to the sector balancing effort than I (and perhaps others) expected. That changes the Sep26 predictions. </li>
<li>We had Mar26 DELETEs Casio Computer and GS Yuasa as DELs in Sep. Now we have two different ones. And the 3rd choice add has flipped with fourth.</li>
</ul>


Yesterday, the Nikkei Index Committee announced the results of the March 2026 review for the Nikkei 225 Average. TWO ADDs, TWO DELETEs. But not the DELETEs Quiddity was expecting.
The DELETEs chosen signify an even stricter adherence to the sector balancing effort than I (and perhaps others) expected. That changes the Sep26 predictions. 
We had Mar26 DELETEs Casio Computer and GS Yuasa as DELs in Sep. Now we have two different ones. And the 3rd choice add has flipped with fourth.


[Quiddity Index] Nikkei 225 Sep26 Rebal Preview Update - 2 Auto ADDs, 1 Extra, 1 Cap, NEW DELs

<ul>
<li>There is a Company in the Japanese automotive and industrial sector owned and controlled by a major OEM, with a merger in the cards. Terms were proposed early last June.</li>
<li>The OEM agreed to buy assets from the Company post-merger. It is injecting capital in the form of equity and pref shares. It has thrown minority investors under the bus.</li>
<li>That company is not Toyota Industries. But unlike the up-front-and-done indignity suffered by TICO shareholders, Hino’s shareholders may suffer continuing indignity. Merger incoming. Enormous overhang imminent.</li>
</ul>


There is a Company in the Japanese automotive and industrial sector owned and controlled by a major OEM, with a merger in the cards. Terms were proposed early last June.
The OEM agreed to buy assets from the Company post-merger. It is injecting capital in the form of equity and pref shares. It has thrown minority investors under the bus.
That company is not Toyota Industries. But unlike the up-front-and-done indignity suffered by TICO shareholders, Hino’s shareholders may suffer continuing indignity. Merger incoming. Enormous overhang imminent.


[Japan M&A] ARCHION (Hino+MFTBC) Merger Incoming; Still a Re-IPO, Still Rich

<ul><li>Pakistan car sales (as reported by PAMA) clocked in at 19,818 units in Jul 2026, up by 79% YoY while down 13% MoM.</li><li>The YoY rise was driven by new market entrants, new product launches and surge in auto financing.</li><li>Meanwhile, the MoM decline was primarily due to uncertainty surrounding the new auto policy.</li></ul>

Pakistan car sales (as reported by PAMA) clocked in at 19,818 units in Jul 2026, up by 79% YoY while down 13% MoM.The YoY rise was driven by new market entrants, new product launches and surge in auto financing.Meanwhile, the MoM decline was primarily due to uncertainty surrounding the new auto policy.

Pakistan Automobiles: Car Sales Rose 79% YoY But Down 13% MoM to 19,818 Units in Jul 2026

Japan

HINO MOTORS, LTD. develops, manufactures and markets diesel buses and trucks. The Company also produces heavy duty trucks, special purpose vehicles, and diesel engines for industrial and marine applications.

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Hino Motors Ltd (7205 JP)

Pakistan Automobiles: Car Sales Grew by 11% YoY but Declined 21% MoM to 15,558 Units in Aug 2026

Pakistan car sales (as reported by PAMA) clocked in at 15,558 units in Aug 2026, up by 11% YoY but declined 21% MoM. The MoM decline in total...

Topline Securities

[Japan M&A/ECM] ARCHION INCOMING!

ARCHION - the RTO/merger of Hino and Mitsubishi Fuso Truck & Bus Co - will list on April 1. Float is 10% to start. A huge offering will come. The...

Travis Lundy

[Quiddity Index] Nikkei 225 Sep26 Rebal Preview Update - 2 Auto ADDs, 1 Extra, 1 Cap, NEW DELs

The March 2026 Nikkei 225 review result changes our expectations for the Sep 2026 review both in terms of contents and method. It tilts names...

Travis Lundy

[Japan M&A] ARCHION (Hino+MFTBC) Merger Incoming; Still a Re-IPO, Still Rich

Hino released Q3 earnings and revised guidance on 29 Jan. Looks good. Half of uplift is FX effect, still conservative. NP higher on HOTAI Motor...

Travis Lundy

Pakistan Automobiles: Car Sales Rose 79% YoY But Down 13% MoM to 19,818 Units in Jul 2026

Pakistan car sales (as reported by PAMA) clocked in at 19,818 units in Jul 2026, up by 79% YoY while down 13% MoM. The YoY rise was driven by new...

Topline Securities

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