Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aux-electric-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45549:1" rel="noopener">Aux Electric (2580 HK)</a> has announced terms for its HKEx IPO and plans to issue 207m shares at HK$16.00-17.42 per share and will raise around US$460m.</li>
<li>The company’s low-price strategy has helped expand its top line and market share in a short span of time; however, margins lag behind large air conditioner peers.</li>
<li>We think AUX should be compared against Hisense due to their higher dependence on ODM sales and believe AUX’s IPO is valued attractively compared to Hisense.</li>
</ul>



Aux Electric (2580 HK) has announced terms for its HKEx IPO and plans to issue 207m shares at HK$16.00-17.42 per share and will raise around US$460m.
The company’s low-price strategy has helped expand its top line and market share in a short span of time; however, margins lag behind large air conditioner peers.
We think AUX should be compared against Hisense due to their higher dependence on ODM sales and believe AUX’s IPO is valued attractively compared to Hisense.


AUX Electric IPO: Forecasts and Valuation

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Nicholas Tan

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aux-electric-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45549:1" rel="noopener">Aux Electric (2580 HK)</a>  is looking to raise up to US$460m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>It is one of the global top five air conditioner providers, with capabilities covering the design, R&amp;D, production, sales and related services of household and central air conditioners.</li>
<li>In this note, we examine the IPO dynamics, and look at the firm’s valuation.</li>
</ul>



Aux Electric (2580 HK)  is looking to raise up to US$460m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
It is one of the global top five air conditioner providers, with capabilities covering the design, R&amp;D, production, sales and related services of household and central air conditioners.
In this note, we examine the IPO dynamics, and look at the firm’s valuation.


Aux Electric IPO: Smallest Player but Superior Growth and Margins

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aux-electric-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45549:1" rel="noopener">Aux Electric (2580 HK)</a> is the fifth-largest air conditioner provider globally as measured by volume. It has launched an HKEx IPO to raise up to US$462 million.</li>
<li>I discussed the investment case in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/aux-electric-ipo-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:198161" rel="noopener">Aux Electric IPO: The Investment Case</a>. </li>
<li>In this note, I present my forecasts and valuation. My analysis suggests that the IPO price is attractive.</li>
</ul>



Aux Electric (2580 HK) is the fifth-largest air conditioner provider globally as measured by volume. It has launched an HKEx IPO to raise up to US$462 million.
I discussed the investment case in Aux Electric IPO: The Investment Case. 
In this note, I present my forecasts and valuation. My analysis suggests that the IPO price is attractive.


Aux Electric IPO (2580 HK): Valuation Insights

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Fuyao Glass Industry Group / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>HUGE, rampaging, "Beautiful Skew"... unwinds. Big swings in H/A ratios continue, this time on average with 2.3% H underperformance vs As, 4% wider on the highest AH premia.</li>
<li>Last week's long reco on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guangzhou-automobile-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11082:1" rel="noopener">Guangzhou Automobile Group (2238 HK)</a> was up 1 tick on the week in Hs and Hs underperformed the A by 1.5%. </li>
<li>The data tables below update on a daily basis in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Tools</a> section of Smartkarma. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/south-flow-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/ah-shares-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AH Pairs Monitor</a> are both there free for SK readers.</li>
</ul>


HUGE, rampaging, "Beautiful Skew"... unwinds. Big swings in H/A ratios continue, this time on average with 2.3% H underperformance vs As, 4% wider on the highest AH premia.
Last week's long reco on Guangzhou Automobile Group (2238 HK) was up 1 tick on the week in Hs and Hs underperformed the A by 1.5%. 
The data tables below update on a daily basis in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor and AH Pairs Monitor are both there free for SK readers.


A/H Premium Tracker (To 22 Aug 2025):  BIG Beautiful Skew Corrects

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Hisense Home Appliances Group Co., Ltd. H / Index Rebalance

Hisense Home Appliances Group Co., Ltd. H

<ul>
<li>The fall in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hisense-home-appliances-group-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20107:1" rel="noopener">Hisense Home Appliances Group (921 HK)</a>'s stock price over the last year puts it at risk of deletion from a global index in August.</li>
<li>Short interest and positioning have picked up in the stock over the last couple of weeks and there should be short covering against the passive selling.</li>
<li>The AH premium for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hisense-home-appliances-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27165:1" rel="noopener">Hisense Home Appliances Group</a> could increase over the near-term as positioning continues ahead of the passive selling.</li>
</ul>


The fall in Hisense Home Appliances Group (921 HK)'s stock price over the last year puts it at risk of deletion from a global index in August.
Short interest and positioning have picked up in the stock over the last couple of weeks and there should be short covering against the passive selling.
The AH premium for Hisense Home Appliances Group could increase over the near-term as positioning continues ahead of the passive selling.


Hisense Home Appliances (921 HK): Global Index Deletion Coming Up

China

Hisense Home Appliances Group Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells household appliances. The Company produces refrigerators, air conditioners, freezers, and other equipment. Hisense Home Appliances Group markets its products worldwide.

Hisense Home Appliances Group (000921 CH)

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Hisense Home Appliances Group (000921 CH)

AUX Electric IPO: Forecasts and Valuation

AUX Electric has announced terms for its HKEx IPO and plans to issue 207m shares at HK$16.00-17.42 per share and will raise around US$460m. In this...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Aux Electric IPO: Smallest Player but Superior Growth and Margins

Aux Electric is looking to raise up to US$460m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we examine the IPO dynamics, and look at the firm’s...

Nicholas Tan

Aux Electric IPO (2580 HK): Valuation Insights

Aux has launched an HKEx IPO to raise up to US$462 million. In this note, I present my forecasts and valuation. My analysis suggests that the IPO...

Arun George

A/H Premium Tracker (To 22 Aug 2025): BIG Beautiful Skew Corrects

BIG BEAUTIFUL SKEW Corrects 2.3%. Feels like more of a correction to come. A shares seeing a real push on the speculative side.

Travis Lundy

Hisense Home Appliances (921 HK): Global Index Deletion Coming Up

Hisense Home could be deleted from a global index in 3 weeks. Impact is near 10x ADV. Short interest and positioning have been increasing. AH...

Brian Freitas

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