Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Regional container carrier TS Lines debuted in HK at HK$4.18 on November 1 </li>
<li>Post-IPO, shares appear cheap, trading at 65% of fleet replacement + net cash</li>
<li>We provide updates on early trading, Q324 earnings from peers, &amp; more</li>
</ul>


Regional container carrier TS Lines debuted in HK at HK$4.18 on November 1 
Post-IPO, shares appear cheap, trading at 65% of fleet replacement + net cash
We provide updates on early trading, Q324 earnings from peers, &amp; more


TS Lines HKEX IPO: Early Trading | Valuation Vs Wan Hai & RCL | Return to TransPac May Not Work Out

Equity Bottom-Up

ZIM Integrated Shipping Services / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We are convinced container shipping price momentum is waning, medium-term</li>
<li>Not surprisingly, carrier ZIM's share performance correlates to price momentum</li>
<li>Shorting ZIM against Long position in terminal operator isolates sagging price</li>
</ul>


We are convinced container shipping price momentum is waning, medium-term
Not surprisingly, carrier ZIM's share performance correlates to price momentum
Shorting ZIM against Long position in terminal operator isolates sagging price


Short ZIM Against Long Position in China Merchants Port Hldgs | 2025 High Conviction

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Thanks to the Series 196 CB conversions and leftover action, we're seeing a 10%p dip this time around.</li>
<li>The stock will price in the change from around 2 PM Tuesday, Nov 12, with 15 billion KRW outflow, that is roughly -0.74x of the ADTV.</li>
<li>Lately, flow events are getting tipped off more, leading to aggressive pre-positioning. I’ll monitor HMM’s price and volume Monday, then decide if I’ll target Tuesday’s passive outflow.</li>
</ul>


Thanks to the Series 196 CB conversions and leftover action, we're seeing a 10%p dip this time around.
The stock will price in the change from around 2 PM Tuesday, Nov 12, with 15 billion KRW outflow, that is roughly -0.74x of the ADTV.
Lately, flow events are getting tipped off more, leading to aggressive pre-positioning. I’ll monitor HMM’s price and volume Monday, then decide if I’ll target Tuesday’s passive outflow.


Estimating the Passive Impact of HMM’s KOSPI 200 Float Rate Cut, Going into Effect on Nov 13

AP Moeller - Maersk A/S / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Maersk's Q324 results were strong, fueled almost purely by higher freight rates</li>
<li>The company's peers have been reporting similar results since early 2024</li>
<li>We continue to believe that price momentum has peaked; AVOID the carriers</li>
</ul>


Maersk's Q324 results were strong, fueled almost purely by higher freight rates
The company's peers have been reporting similar results since early 2024
We continue to believe that price momentum has peaked; AVOID the carriers


Maersk Q324 Results: Giant Dane Finally Joins the Party, But Read-Through for Industry Is Limited

<ul>
<li>TS Lines' January-April 2024 revenue &amp; margins showed little Y/Y change</li>
<li>Besides weak Y/Y growth, TS Lines' move to re-enter Transpacific is odd</li>
<li>TS Lines' filing offers few reasons to favor the company over listed peers</li>
</ul>


TS Lines' January-April 2024 revenue &amp; margins showed little Y/Y change
Besides weak Y/Y growth, TS Lines' move to re-enter Transpacific is odd
TS Lines' filing offers few reasons to favor the company over listed peers


TS Lines Pre-IPO: January-April Results Vs WHL, RCL H124 | Opportunistic Return to Transpacific?

South Korea

HMM Co., Ltd. provides marine transportation services.  The Company commands different types of vessels including full container vessels, oil tankers, car carriers, LNG carriers, bulk carriers, and tramps.

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HMM Co., Ltd. (011200 KS)

TS Lines HKEX IPO: Early Trading | Valuation Vs Wan Hai & RCL | Return to TransPac May Not Work Out

In this insight we offer some quick updates on regional container carrier TS Lines, which successfully listed its shares in Hong Kong on November 1.

Tracking Traffic

Short ZIM Against Long Position in China Merchants Port Hldgs | 2025 High Conviction

We believe container shipping price momentum is waning. Pairing a short position in carrier ZIM against a long position in terminal operator CMPH...

Tracking Traffic

Estimating the Passive Impact of HMM’s KOSPI 200 Float Rate Cut, Going into Effect on Nov 13

This post dives into the passive impact of HMM’s KOSPI 200 float rate cut, effective November 13, and highlights key trading considerations.

Sanghyun Park

Maersk Q324 Results: Giant Dane Finally Joins the Party, But Read-Through for Industry Is Limited

Maersk reported a scary-good set of quarterly results on Halloween! But many of its peers have been enjoying similar price-driven improvements in...

Tracking Traffic

TS Lines Pre-IPO: January-April Results Vs WHL, RCL H124 | Opportunistic Return to Transpacific?

TS Lines in a recent filing reported mediocre January-April rates that pale compared to its comps' H124 numbers. We see few reasons to choose...

Tracking Traffic

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