Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
 Highlights: Currently ten pair trade opportunities persist across four markets and six sectors. 
</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

 Highlights: Currently ten pair trade opportunities persist across four markets and six sectors. 


Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (14 Sep 2026)

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Japan's markets displayed resilience this week, with the Nikkei 225 surging 4% and the Topix climbing 3.7%, buoyed by a weaker yen that bolstered exporter gains</li>
<li>Honda’s stock soared 25% this week, driven by the announcement of a massive share buyback of up to ¥1.1 trillion</li>
<li>Sega Sammy’s stock surged 18% this week, fueled by the stellar box office performance of the film Sonic × Shadow</li>
</ul>


Japan's markets displayed resilience this week, with the Nikkei 225 surging 4% and the Topix climbing 3.7%, buoyed by a weaker yen that bolstered exporter gains
Honda’s stock soared 25% this week, driven by the announcement of a massive share buyback of up to ¥1.1 trillion
Sega Sammy’s stock surged 18% this week, fueled by the stellar box office performance of the film Sonic × Shadow


Japan Weekly | Market Resilience - Honda, MMC, Sega

<ul>
<li>The Dow Jones Industrial Average extended its historic losing streak to nine sessions on Tuesday, falling 267 points (-0.61%) to 43,449, marking its longest skid since 1978</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nissan-motor-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:72:1" rel="noopener">Nissan Motor (7201 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/honda-motor-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:154:1" rel="noopener">Honda Motor (7267 JP)</a> are reportedly in talks for a merger. NIssan ADR up 11% overnight.</li>
<li>Oasis has emerged as a significant shareholder of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/macromill-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24026:1" rel="noopener">Macromill, Inc (3978 JP)</a> . The company is currently subject to a TOB from CVC Capital Partners. </li>
</ul>


The Dow Jones Industrial Average extended its historic losing streak to nine sessions on Tuesday, falling 267 points (-0.61%) to 43,449, marking its longest skid since 1978

Nissan Motor (7201 JP) and Honda Motor (7267 JP) are reportedly in talks for a merger. NIssan ADR up 11% overnight.
Oasis has emerged as a significant shareholder of Macromill, Inc (3978 JP) . The company is currently subject to a TOB from CVC Capital Partners. 


Ohayo Japan | Nissan and Honda in Merger Talks

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/paypay-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35269:1" rel="noopener">PayPay (PAYP US)</a> (PP), a payments and financial services platform, raised around US$880m in its US IPO in March 2026, the lockup on its shareholders is set to expire soon.</li>
<li>PP operates a digital finance platform that serves as a payment solution for users and merchants, along with offering additional services.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.</li>
</ul>



PayPay (PAYP US) (PP), a payments and financial services platform, raised around US$880m in its US IPO in March 2026, the lockup on its shareholders is set to expire soon.
PP operates a digital finance platform that serves as a payment solution for users and merchants, along with offering additional services.
In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.


Aequitas: PayPay Lockup Expiry - US$10.5bn Lockup Release

Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

<ul>
<li>Japan to follow US higher on the much better-than-expected jobs report and the yen back to 148.9</li>
<li>Exporters including the Autos with high US exposures as well as Inbound related laggards such as Isetan Mitsukoshi and Shiseido/Kose should see sentiment improve</li>
<li>The strong US data should also help the JP Shippers rebound after dropping -8.2% on Fri on the end of the US port workers strike</li>
</ul>


Japan to follow US higher on the much better-than-expected jobs report and the yen back to 148.9
Exporters including the Autos with high US exposures as well as Inbound related laggards such as Isetan Mitsukoshi and Shiseido/Kose should see sentiment improve
The strong US data should also help the JP Shippers rebound after dropping -8.2% on Fri on the end of the US port workers strike


Japan Morning Connection: Expect Rebound After Strong US Job Data

Japan

Honda Motor Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures, and distributes motorcycles, automobiles, and power products such as generators and farm machinery. The Company also operates a financial credit business. Honda Motor has manufacturing facilities in the US, Canada, the UK, France, Italy, Spain, Brazil, Mexico, India, and Thailand.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Honda Motor (7267 JP)

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (14 Sep 2026)

Discover ten pair trade opportunities across four markets and six sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

Japan Weekly | Market Resilience - Honda, MMC, Sega

Japanese markets showed strong resilience this week, with the Nikkei 225 and Topix both climbing significantly, boosted by a weaker yen benefiting...

Mark Chadwick

Ohayo Japan | Nissan and Honda in Merger Talks

Dow Jones falls for ninth consecutive session, marking longest losing streak since 1978. Nissan and Honda reportedly in talks for merger. Oasis...

Mark Chadwick

Aequitas: PayPay Lockup Expiry - US$10.5bn Lockup Release

PayPay (PAYP US) (PP), a payments and financial services platform, raised around US$880m in its US IPO in March 2026, the lockup on its...

Sumeet Singh

Japan Morning Connection: Expect Rebound After Strong US Job Data

Japan's market is expected to rise following the US jobs report, benefiting exporters and shippers after a recent drop.

Andrew Jackson

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (14 Sep 2026)

​Discover ten pair trade opportunities across four markets and six sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

Japan Weekly | Market Resilience - Honda, MMC, Sega

​Japanese markets showed strong resilience this week, with the Nikkei 225 and Topix both climbing significantly, boosted by a weaker yen benefiting...

Mark Chadwick

Ohayo Japan | Nissan and Honda in Merger Talks

​Dow Jones falls for ninth consecutive session, marking longest losing streak since 1978. Nissan and Honda reportedly in talks for merger. Oasis...

Mark Chadwick

Aequitas: PayPay Lockup Expiry - US$10.5bn Lockup Release

PayPay (PAYP US) (PP), a payments and financial services platform, raised around US$880m in its US IPO in March 2026, the lockup on its...

Sumeet Singh

Japan Morning Connection: Expect Rebound After Strong US Job Data

​Japan's market is expected to rise following the US jobs report, benefiting exporters and shippers after a recent drop.

Andrew Jackson

Discover ten pair trade opportunities across four markets and six sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Japanese markets showed strong resilience this week, with the Nikkei 225 and Topix both climbing significantly, boosted by a weaker yen benefiting...

Dow Jones falls for ninth consecutive session, marking longest losing streak since 1978. Nissan and Honda reportedly in talks for merger. Oasis...

Japan's market is expected to rise following the US jobs report, benefiting exporters and shippers after a recent drop.