Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Topix fell 0.5% weekly amid broad weakness (62% of large-caps down), though shipping (+10.1%) and mining (+5.8%) sectors surged on crisis benefits</li>
<li>Iran war and Strait of Hormuz disruptions caused oil price spikes to $111+, stoking stagflation fears and economic risks for oil-dependent Japan.</li>
<li>BOJ held rates at 0.75% citing Middle East uncertainties; strong wage hikes continued, but export growth slowed.</li>
</ul>


Topix fell 0.5% weekly amid broad weakness (62% of large-caps down), though shipping (+10.1%) and mining (+5.8%) sectors surged on crisis benefits
Iran war and Strait of Hormuz disruptions caused oil price spikes to $111+, stoking stagflation fears and economic risks for oil-dependent Japan.
BOJ held rates at 0.75% citing Middle East uncertainties; strong wage hikes continued, but export growth slowed.


Japan Strategy Weekly | Strait Chaos Fuels Winners & Losers

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
 Highlights: In Japan, currently three pair trade opportunities persist across three sectors.</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

 Highlights: In Japan, currently three pair trade opportunities persist across three sectors.

Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Japan: Relative Value Opportunities and Pair Trades (28 Sep 2026)

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

<ul>
<li>In Q4 2025, the global server market sees significant changes with E Ink and C3 launching Pixel Paper Labs in Sri Lanka.</li>
<li>China's rare earth export controls are tightening, leading to major hiring initiatives that impact global supply chains.</li>
<li>Nintendo's FY25 forecast improves due to strong Switch 2 sales, while Tesla faces challenges in India due to high import duties.</li>
</ul>


In Q4 2025, the global server market sees significant changes with E Ink and C3 launching Pixel Paper Labs in Sri Lanka.
China's rare earth export controls are tightening, leading to major hiring initiatives that impact global supply chains.
Nintendo's FY25 forecast improves due to strong Switch 2 sales, while Tesla faces challenges in India due to high import duties.


Tech Supply Chain Tracker (07-Nov-2025): Global Server Market Forecast, Q4 2025

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

Semiconductors /In Depth: Chip Foundries Kick Off State-Backed Consolidation DriveChina-U.S. /Xi to Meet Trump in South Korea to Discuss Bilateral TiesRestructuring /Exclusive: Suning’s $28 Billion Restructuring Plan Tests China’s Approach to Corporate Failure

Semiconductors /In Depth: Chip Foundries Kick Off State-Backed Consolidation DriveChina-U.S. /Xi to Meet Trump in South Korea to Discuss Bilateral TiesRestructuring /Exclusive: Suning’s $28 Billion Restructuring Plan Tests China’s Approach to Corporate Failure

CX Daily: Chip Foundries Kick Off State-Backed Consolidation Drive 

Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

<ul>
<li>Numbers from PulteGroup pointing to a nascent bottoming sends builders higher.</li>
<li>Texas Instruments down afterhours will weigh on Rohm, Fuji Elec, Renesas etc, but this may be short lived.</li>
<li>Can Davinci success in the US be a positive read for Sysmex's Hinotori with the stock on its knees?</li>
</ul>


Numbers from PulteGroup pointing to a nascent bottoming sends builders higher.
Texas Instruments down afterhours will weigh on Rohm, Fuji Elec, Renesas etc, but this may be short lived.
Can Davinci success in the US be a positive read for Sysmex's Hinotori with the stock on its knees?


Japan Morning Connection: So Far Takaichi as PM Is Turning Out to Be a Sell the Fact Moment

Japan

Honda Motor Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures, and distributes motorcycles, automobiles, and power products such as generators and farm machinery. The Company also operates a financial credit business. Honda Motor has manufacturing facilities in the US, Canada, the UK, France, Italy, Spain, Brazil, Mexico, India, and Thailand.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Honda Motor (7267 JP)

Japan Strategy Weekly | Strait Chaos Fuels Winners & Losers

Topix index drops as large-caps decline, while shipping and mining sectors benefit from crisis; oil price spikes due to Iran war raise stagflation...

Mark Chadwick

Japan: Relative Value Opportunities and Pair Trades (28 Sep 2026)

Discover three pair trade opportunities across three sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (07-Nov-2025): Global Server Market Forecast, Q4 2025

In Q4 2025, the global server market sees E Ink's Pixel Paper Labs launch, China's rare earth export controls, Nintendo's FY25 forecast improves...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

CX Daily: Chip Foundries Kick Off State-Backed Consolidation Drive

Semiconductors /In Depth: Chip Foundries Kick Off State-Backed Consolidation Drive China-U.S. /Xi to Meet Trump in South Korea to Discuss Bilateral...

Caixin Global

Japan Morning Connection: So Far Takaichi as PM Is Turning Out to Be a Sell the Fact Moment

Power and analog semi's may take a hit after Texas Instruments fell after hours. May be a buy the dip opportunity for Rohm, Fuji Elec and Renesas....

Andrew Jackson

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Japan Strategy Weekly | Strait Chaos Fuels Winners & Losers

​Topix index drops as large-caps decline, while shipping and mining sectors benefit from crisis; oil price spikes due to Iran war raise stagflation...

Mark Chadwick

Japan: Relative Value Opportunities and Pair Trades (28 Sep 2026)

​Discover three pair trade opportunities across three sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (07-Nov-2025): Global Server Market Forecast, Q4 2025

In Q4 2025, the global server market sees E Ink's Pixel Paper Labs launch, China's rare earth export controls, Nintendo's FY25 forecast improves...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

CX Daily: Chip Foundries Kick Off State-Backed Consolidation Drive

Semiconductors /In Depth: Chip Foundries Kick Off State-Backed Consolidation Drive China-U.S. /Xi to Meet Trump in South Korea to Discuss Bilateral...

Caixin Global

Japan Morning Connection: So Far Takaichi as PM Is Turning Out to Be a Sell the Fact Moment

Power and analog semi's may take a hit after Texas Instruments fell after hours. May be a buy the dip opportunity for Rohm, Fuji Elec and Renesas....

Andrew Jackson

Topix index drops as large-caps decline, while shipping and mining sectors benefit from crisis; oil price spikes due to Iran war raise stagflation...

Discover three pair trade opportunities across three sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.