Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>Rapid decline in Asian inflation is opening up space for central banks to cut rates further. India's real policy rate is almost at record high and so's China's.</li>
<li>Fiscal space exists in economies with low public debt and low fiscal deficit - Korea, Indonesia, Thailand. China and India have implemented and articulated fiscal expansion intentions.</li>
<li>Monetary policy easing supports consumption/investments through lower cost of capital and drives funds into risk assets. In last twenty years, rate cut episodes in Asia unfailingly led to equity booms.</li>
</ul>


Rapid decline in Asian inflation is opening up space for central banks to cut rates further. India's real policy rate is almost at record high and so's China's.
Fiscal space exists in economies with low public debt and low fiscal deficit - Korea, Indonesia, Thailand. China and India have implemented and articulated fiscal expansion intentions.
Monetary policy easing supports consumption/investments through lower cost of capital and drives funds into risk assets. In last twenty years, rate cut episodes in Asia unfailingly led to equity booms.


Nosediving Inflation, More Rate Cuts, Selective Fiscal Stimuli – Asian Equities to Gallop Along

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist, Clifton Derivatives

John Ley

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist

Clifton Derivatives

Independent derivative and volatility research firm focusing on events/catalysts, earnings, relative value and cross asset volatility strategies.

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>Broad-Based strength across sectors pushed HSI higher despite late-week weakness.</li>
<li>Option trading accelerated into week’s end, with Calls showing a modest uptick.</li>
<li>The HKD pulled back from the top end of its trading range after prior interventions.</li>
</ul>


Broad-Based strength across sectors pushed HSI higher despite late-week weakness.
Option trading accelerated into week’s end, with Calls showing a modest uptick.
The HKD pulled back from the top end of its trading range after prior interventions.


Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (Aug 11 – 15): Market Breadth Expands, Options Activity Grows

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Aug 1st.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.</li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Meituan, Li Auto, TraHK HSI ETF.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Aug 1st.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.
We highlight short changes in Meituan, Li Auto, TraHK HSI ETF.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Meituan, Li Auto, TraHK HSI ETF

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There should be big passive inflows to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/horizon-robotics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35637:1" rel="noopener">Horizon Robotics (9660 HK)</a> over the next 6 weeks and that could take the stock higher in the short term.</li>
<li>Southbound Stock Connect investors have bought more than 10% of the Class B shares outstanding since the stock was added to the link a couple of months ago.</li>
<li>Short interest jumped following the Stock Connect inclusion but there has been covering over the last few weeks. Short-term direction for the stock price looks to be higher.</li>
</ul>


There should be big passive inflows to Horizon Robotics (9660 HK) over the next 6 weeks and that could take the stock higher in the short term.
Southbound Stock Connect investors have bought more than 10% of the Class B shares outstanding since the stock was added to the link a couple of months ago.
Short interest jumped following the Stock Connect inclusion but there has been covering over the last few weeks. Short-term direction for the stock price looks to be higher.


Horizon Robotics (9660 HK): Index Inclusion & Upweights to Drive US$1bn Inflows

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>National Securities Depository Limited <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/national-securities-depository-ltd-nsdl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39939:1" rel="noopener">NSDL (NSDL IN)</a> raised around US$460m in its India IPO.</li>
<li>It is the largest depository in India in terms of number of issuers, number of active instruments, market share in demat value of settlement volume and value of assets.</li>
<li>We have looked at the past performance in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the demand and trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>


National Securities Depository Limited NSDL (NSDL IN) raised around US$460m in its India IPO.
It is the largest depository in India in terms of number of issuers, number of active instruments, market share in demat value of settlement volume and value of assets.
We have looked at the past performance in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the demand and trading dynamics.


National Securities Depository Limited (NSDL) IPO Trading - Strong Demand, Set for a Pop

Hong Kong

Hong Kong Exchanges & Clearing Limited owns and operates the stock exchange, futures exchange, and their related clearing houses in Hong Kong.  The Company provides the trading platforms for a range of cash and derivatives products and the facilities for processing trades.

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HKEX (388 HK)

Nosediving Inflation, More Rate Cuts, Selective Fiscal Stimuli – Asian Equities to Gallop Along

Asian central banks have room to cut rates further as inflation plunges, with fiscal space in some economies. Rate cut episodes over last 20 yrs...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (Aug 11 – 15): Market Breadth Expands, Options Activity Grows

A storong market across sectors with option trading increasing and heavier particpation in Calls,. HKD retreated from peak range after interventions.

John Ley

HK Short Interest Weekly: Meituan, Li Auto, TraHK HSI ETF

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Aug 1st and highlight short interest changes in Meituan, Li Auto, TraHK HSI...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Horizon Robotics (9660 HK): Index Inclusion & Upweights to Drive US$1bn Inflows

Index inclusion and float increase over the next 6 weeks could lead to US$1bn of inflows to Horizon Robotics. Stock Connect investors hold around...

Brian Freitas

National Securities Depository Limited (NSDL) IPO Trading - Strong Demand, Set for a Pop

National Securities Depository Limited NSDL (NSDL IN) raised around US$460m in its India IPO. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Nosediving Inflation, More Rate Cuts, Selective Fiscal Stimuli – Asian Equities to Gallop Along

​Asian central banks have room to cut rates further as inflation plunges, with fiscal space in some economies. Rate cut episodes over last 20 yrs...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (Aug 11 – 15): Market Breadth Expands, Options Activity Grows

A storong market across sectors with option trading increasing and heavier particpation in Calls,. HKD retreated from peak range after interventions.

John Ley

HK Short Interest Weekly: Meituan, Li Auto, TraHK HSI ETF

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Aug 1st and highlight short interest changes in Meituan, Li Auto, TraHK HSI...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Horizon Robotics (9660 HK): Index Inclusion & Upweights to Drive US$1bn Inflows

Index inclusion and float increase over the next 6 weeks could lead to US$1bn of inflows to Horizon Robotics. Stock Connect investors hold around...

Brian Freitas

National Securities Depository Limited (NSDL) IPO Trading - Strong Demand, Set for a Pop

National Securities Depository Limited NSDL (NSDL IN) raised around US$460m in its India IPO. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

Asian central banks have room to cut rates further as inflation plunges, with fiscal space in some economies. Rate cut episodes over last 20 yrs...