Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mobile-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27:1" rel="noopener">China Mobile (941 HK)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mobile-ltd-cca8f162-fa93-4d59-944e-86bad7251e5c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35371:1" rel="noopener">China Mobile (600941 CH)</a> will release 2024 results on Thursday 20 March 2025. </li>
<li>Historically, the stock shows minimal post-earnings volatility, with rare exceptions. Options markets project moderate movement. Opportunities exist for investors with strong directional conviction.</li>
<li>Given China Mobile's recent history of dividend increases and strong stock performance, a significant dividend boost is possible.</li>
</ul>



China Mobile (941 HK) / China Mobile (600941 CH) will release 2024 results on Thursday 20 March 2025. 
Historically, the stock shows minimal post-earnings volatility, with rare exceptions. Options markets project moderate movement. Opportunities exist for investors with strong directional conviction.
Given China Mobile's recent history of dividend increases and strong stock performance, a significant dividend boost is possible.


China Mobile (941 HK): Expected Move on Profit Announcement and Option Insights

Ping An Insurance (H) / Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>Ping An Insurance (2318 HK / 601318 CH) is set to announce Annual 2024 Results on 19 March 2025.</li>
<li>Option markets are currently pricing in a significantly larger post-announcement price move than historical patterns would suggest.</li>
<li>Two trade examples for calendar spreads, taking advantage of elevated near-term implied volatility, are presented.</li>
</ul>


Ping An Insurance (2318 HK / 601318 CH) is set to announce Annual 2024 Results on 19 March 2025.
Option markets are currently pricing in a significantly larger post-announcement price move than historical patterns would suggest.
Two trade examples for calendar spreads, taking advantage of elevated near-term implied volatility, are presented.


Ping An Insurance (2318 HK): 2024 Earnings, Divergence Between Option-Implied And Historic Move

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd-69366efb-cf6b-404d-a0e4-c6b9b2e128dc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17:1" rel="noopener">Tencent Holdings (ADR) (TCEHY US)</a> is set to announce Annual 2024 Results on 19 March 2025.</li>
<li>Options pricing implies a 4-6% move after earnings, significantly higher than historical patterns. From an options perspective, calendar spreads offer opportunities.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent</a>'s significant index weighting, around 8% in key Hong Kong indices, means its earnings has the potential to impact broader market performance.</li>
</ul>



Tencent (700 HK) / Tencent Holdings (ADR) (TCEHY US) is set to announce Annual 2024 Results on 19 March 2025.
Options pricing implies a 4-6% move after earnings, significantly higher than historical patterns. From an options perspective, calendar spreads offer opportunities.

Tencent's significant index weighting, around 8% in key Hong Kong indices, means its earnings has the potential to impact broader market performance.


Tencent (700 HK): Expected Move on Profit Announcement and Option Insights

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)</a> is set to announce 2024 results after the close on 18 March. </li>
<li>Options markets imply a price movement in excess of historic averages, creating trading opportunities through calendar spreads and short straddles that capitalize on March's elevated implied volatility.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)</a> is a major constituent in key Hong Kong indices (<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI Index</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">HSTECH Index</a>). Its post-results move will likely impact the broader market.</li>
</ul>



Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK) is set to announce 2024 results after the close on 18 March. 
Options markets imply a price movement in excess of historic averages, creating trading opportunities through calendar spreads and short straddles that capitalize on March's elevated implied volatility.

Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK) is a major constituent in key Hong Kong indices (HSI Index, HSCEI Index, and HSTECH Index). Its post-results move will likely impact the broader market.


Xiaomi (1810 HK): Overpriced Volatility Ahead of 2024 Results

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist, Clifton Derivatives

John Ley

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist

Clifton Derivatives

Independent derivative and volatility research firm focusing on events/catalysts, earnings, relative value and cross asset volatility strategies.

Hang Seng China Enterprises Index / Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>We highlight HSCEI’s outperformance vs. SPX across both long- and short-term price histories.</li>
<li>Mixed performance this week, with stimulus enthusiasm on Friday helping the market recover to a flat finish.</li>
<li>Given recent outperformance, we outline a tactical hedge to manage risk.</li>
</ul>


We highlight HSCEI’s outperformance vs. SPX across both long- and short-term price histories.
Mixed performance this week, with stimulus enthusiasm on Friday helping the market recover to a flat finish.
Given recent outperformance, we outline a tactical hedge to manage risk.


HSCEI Index Options Weekly (March 10-14): A Tactical Hedge as Relative Outperformance Continues

Hong Kong

The Hang Seng Index is a free-float capitalization-weighted index of a selection of companies from the Stock Exchange of Hong Kong. The components of the index are divided into four subindices: Commerce and Industry, Finance, Utilities, and Properties. The index was developed with a base level of 100 as of July 31, 1964.

Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)

China Mobile (941 HK): Expected Move on Profit Announcement and Option Insights

China Mobile to release 2024 results with potential for significant dividend boost and opportunities for investors with strong directional...

Gaudenz Schneider

Ping An Insurance (2318 HK): 2024 Earnings, Divergence Between Option-Implied And Historic Move

Ping An Insurance to announce 2024 results with option markets expecting larger price move than usual; trade examples for calendar spreads provided.

Gaudenz Schneider

Tencent (700 HK): Expected Move on Profit Announcement and Option Insights

Tencent to announce Annual 2024 Results on 19 March 2025. Options pricing suggests a 4-6% move. Calendar spreads offer opportunities.

Gaudenz Schneider

Xiaomi (1810 HK): Overpriced Volatility Ahead of 2024 Results

Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK) to announce 2024 results with options markets indicating potential trading opportunities. Potential impact on key Hong Kong...

Gaudenz Schneider

HSCEI Index Options Weekly (March 10-14): A Tactical Hedge as Relative Outperformance Continues

HSCEI outperforms SPX in both long- and short-term, with mixed performance this week and a tactical hedge recommended to manage risk.

John Ley

China Mobile (941 HK): Expected Move on Profit Announcement and Option Insights

​China Mobile to release 2024 results with potential for significant dividend boost and opportunities for investors with strong directional...

Gaudenz Schneider

Ping An Insurance (2318 HK): 2024 Earnings, Divergence Between Option-Implied And Historic Move

​Ping An Insurance to announce 2024 results with option markets expecting larger price move than usual; trade examples for calendar spreads provided.

Gaudenz Schneider

Tencent (700 HK): Expected Move on Profit Announcement and Option Insights

​Tencent to announce Annual 2024 Results on 19 March 2025. Options pricing suggests a 4-6% move. Calendar spreads offer opportunities.

Gaudenz Schneider

Xiaomi (1810 HK): Overpriced Volatility Ahead of 2024 Results

​Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK) to announce 2024 results with options markets indicating potential trading opportunities. Potential impact on key Hong Kong...

Gaudenz Schneider

HSCEI Index Options Weekly (March 10-14): A Tactical Hedge as Relative Outperformance Continues

​HSCEI outperforms SPX in both long- and short-term, with mixed performance this week and a tactical hedge recommended to manage risk.

John Ley

China Mobile to release 2024 results with potential for significant dividend boost and opportunities for investors with strong directional...

Ping An Insurance to announce 2024 results with option markets expecting larger price move than usual; trade examples for calendar spreads provided.

Tencent to announce Annual 2024 Results on 19 March 2025. Options pricing suggests a 4-6% move. Calendar spreads offer opportunities.

Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK) to announce 2024 results with options markets indicating potential trading opportunities. Potential impact on key Hong Kong...

HSCEI outperforms SPX in both long- and short-term, with mixed performance this week and a tactical hedge recommended to manage risk.