Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HSCEI in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on ICBC, PING AN, BIDU, NTES, CCB, LI AUTO, HORIZONROBOT, MEITUAN.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HSCEI in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on ICBC, PING AN, BIDU, NTES, CCB, LI AUTO, HORIZONROBOT, MEITUAN.


HSCEI Index Earning Revision (Sep): ICBC, PING AN, BIDU, NTES, CCB, LI AUTO, HORIZONROBOT, MEITUAN

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Following Trump's threats on tariffs and pull-out of meeting with Xi, the 5% collapse in the HSI futures implies a heavy sell-off in HK when the market reopens.</li>
<li>The stocks with the best YTD performance and significant strengths in the last month are the prime candidates most vulnerable to the initial collapse. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/semiconductor-manufacturing-international-corp-smic" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14231:1" rel="noopener">Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) (981 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kuaishou-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29725:1" rel="noopener">Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba (9988 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hua-hong-semiconductor-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7201:1" rel="noopener">Hua Hong Semiconductor (1347 HK)</a> are badly exposed.</li>
</ul>


Following Trump's threats on tariffs and pull-out of meeting with Xi, the 5% collapse in the HSI futures implies a heavy sell-off in HK when the market reopens.
The stocks with the best YTD performance and significant strengths in the last month are the prime candidates most vulnerable to the initial collapse. 

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) (981 HK), Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK), Alibaba (9988 HK), and Hua Hong Semiconductor (1347 HK) are badly exposed.


External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>We expect the market size of ADAS/AD solutions in China to grow from RMB33bn in 2024E to RMB101bn by 2028E, representing a 32% CAGR over 2024-28E.</li><li>Looking ahead, we believe Chinese suppliers of ADAS/AD solutions are well-positioned to gain market share. I</li><li>n particular, we see meaningful upside for local players such as Horizon Robotics (9660 HK) and Black Sesame (2533 HK), who are ready to scale along the market. Initiate coverage on H</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

We expect the market size of ADAS/AD solutions in China to grow from RMB33bn in 2024E to RMB101bn by 2028E, representing a 32% CAGR over 2024-28E.Looking ahead, we believe Chinese suppliers of ADAS/AD solutions are well-positioned to gain market share. In particular, we see meaningful upside for local players such as Horizon Robotics (9660 HK) and Black Sesame (2533 HK), who are ready to scale along the market. Initiate coverage on HContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Semiconductors - China’s ADAS/AD Players Are Set to Gain Ground at Accelerated Pace

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our outlook remains bullish on global equities (MSCI ACWI). We've been bullish since early-November 2023, save for a two month period from late-July to late-September 2024 when we were neutral.</li>
<li>We also believe the U.S. dollar (DXY) and Treasury yields have put in major tops, which is a crucial risk-on signal for global equities.</li>
<li>With more and more countries breaking out, we remain bullish as long as ACWI-US is above $116, S&amp;P 500 is above 5770-5850, and EURO STOXX 50 is above 5030.</li>
</ul>


Our outlook remains bullish on global equities (MSCI ACWI). We've been bullish since early-November 2023, save for a two month period from late-July to late-September 2024 when we were neutral.
We also believe the U.S. dollar (DXY) and Treasury yields have put in major tops, which is a crucial risk-on signal for global equities.
With more and more countries breaking out, we remain bullish as long as ACWI-US is above $116, S&amp;P 500 is above 5770-5850, and EURO STOXX 50 is above 5030.


Major Top for the U.S. Dollar (DXY) = Risk-On; Bullish Outlook Despite Near-Term Downside Risk

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

<ul>
<li>UBER US/WRD US/BIDU US/9660 HK/XPEV US:Uber cooperates with WeRide in the United Arab Emirates. It previously cooperated with BYD for 100,000 EV's. Is it using China to counter Tesla?.(/////////)</li>
<li>NTES US: NetEase’s New Game &lt;Marvel Rival&gt; Reaches Over 10 Million Players Within 72 Hours of Launch (+)</li>
<li>BABA US/PDD US: Taobao launches new treasure hunting mechanism for upcoming 12/12 sale to attract a younger cohort (+/-)</li>
</ul>


UBER US/WRD US/BIDU US/9660 HK/XPEV US:Uber cooperates with WeRide in the United Arab Emirates. It previously cooperated with BYD for 100,000 EV's. Is it using China to counter Tesla?.(/////////)
NTES US: NetEase’s New Game &lt;Marvel Rival&gt; Reaches Over 10 Million Players Within 72 Hours of Launch (+)
BABA US/PDD US: Taobao launches new treasure hunting mechanism for upcoming 12/12 sale to attract a younger cohort (+/-)


[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:UBER US/WRD US/BIDU US/9660HK/XPEV US/NTES/BABA/PDD/3690HK/TCOM /700HK

China

Horizon Robotics develops artificial intelligence (AI) chips and software platforms for intelligent vehicles, focusing on self-driving cars and advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS). The company offers integrated solutions, including its Journey™ series AI processors and Brain Processing Unit (BPU) architecture. Horizon Robotics is headquartered in Beijing, China, and was founded in 2015.

Price Gauge
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Horizon Robotics (9660 HK)

HSCEI Index Earning Revision (Sep): ICBC, PING AN, BIDU, NTES, CCB, LI AUTO, HORIZONROBOT, MEITUAN

We analyzed HSCEI's consensus for Sep 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in ICBC, PING AN, BIDU, NTES, CCB, LI AUTO, HORIZONROBOT, MEITUAN.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Strategy: Who Will Suffer the Most?

Trump's tariff threats and market uncertainty lead to a potential heavy sell-off in HK, with top-performing stocks like SMIC, Kuaishou, Alibaba,...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Semiconductors - China’s ADAS/AD Players Are Set to Gain Ground at Accelerated Pace

We expect the market size of ADAS/AD solutions in China to grow from RMB33bn in 2024E to RMB101bn by 2028E, representing a 32% CAGR over 2024-28E.

CMB International

Major Top for the U.S. Dollar (DXY) = Risk-On; Bullish Outlook Despite Near-Term Downside Risk

Major Top for the U.S. Dollar $DXY = Risk-On; Bullish Outlook Intact on $ACWI despite near-term downside risk. We remain bullish if $ACWI > $116,...

Vermilion Research

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:UBER US/WRD US/BIDU US/9660HK/XPEV US/NTES/BABA/PDD/3690HK/TCOM /700HK

Uber partners with WeRide in UAE after previous EV collaboration with BYD, raising questions if it's using China to compete with Tesla.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HSCEI Index Earning Revision (Sep): ICBC, PING AN, BIDU, NTES, CCB, LI AUTO, HORIZONROBOT, MEITUAN

We analyzed HSCEI's consensus for Sep 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in ICBC, PING AN, BIDU, NTES, CCB, LI AUTO, HORIZONROBOT, MEITUAN.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Strategy: Who Will Suffer the Most?

​Trump's tariff threats and market uncertainty lead to a potential heavy sell-off in HK, with top-performing stocks like SMIC, Kuaishou, Alibaba,...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Semiconductors - China’s ADAS/AD Players Are Set to Gain Ground at Accelerated Pace

We expect the market size of ADAS/AD solutions in China to grow from RMB33bn in 2024E to RMB101bn by 2028E, representing a 32% CAGR over 2024-28E.

CMB International

Major Top for the U.S. Dollar (DXY) = Risk-On; Bullish Outlook Despite Near-Term Downside Risk

Major Top for the U.S. Dollar $DXY = Risk-On; Bullish Outlook Intact on $ACWI despite near-term downside risk. We remain bullish if $ACWI > $116,...

Vermilion Research

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:UBER US/WRD US/BIDU US/9660HK/XPEV US/NTES/BABA/PDD/3690HK/TCOM /700HK

​Uber partners with WeRide in UAE after previous EV collaboration with BYD, raising questions if it's using China to compete with Tesla.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Trump's tariff threats and market uncertainty lead to a potential heavy sell-off in HK, with top-performing stocks like SMIC, Kuaishou, Alibaba,...

Uber partners with WeRide in UAE after previous EV collaboration with BYD, raising questions if it's using China to compete with Tesla.