Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>We see 32 potential and close adds and 44 potential and close deletes for the Hang Seng Composite Index in March. Some of the stocks are close on market cap/liquidity.</li>
<li>We expect 29 stocks to be added to Southbound Stock Connect following the rebalance while 31 stocks could be deleted from the trading link and become Sell-only.</li>
<li>There are stocks that have a very high percentage of holdings via Stock Connect and there could be some unwinding prior to the stocks becoming Sell-only.</li>
</ul>


We see 32 potential and close adds and 44 potential and close deletes for the Hang Seng Composite Index in March. Some of the stocks are close on market cap/liquidity.
We expect 29 stocks to be added to Southbound Stock Connect following the rebalance while 31 stocks could be deleted from the trading link and become Sell-only.
There are stocks that have a very high percentage of holdings via Stock Connect and there could be some unwinding prior to the stocks becoming Sell-only.


HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in March 2025

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Black Sesame International / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The Hang Seng Internet &amp; IT (HSIII) index represents the top 30 stocks related to internet and information technology businesses listed in Hong Kong (HKEX).</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the rankings of potential ADDs and potential DELs for the March 2025 index rebal event.</li>
<li>Based on the latest available data, we see four ADDs and four DELs for HSIII in March 2025.</li>
</ul>


The Hang Seng Internet &amp; IT (HSIII) index represents the top 30 stocks related to internet and information technology businesses listed in Hong Kong (HKEX).
In this insight, we take a look at the rankings of potential ADDs and potential DELs for the March 2025 index rebal event.
Based on the latest available data, we see four ADDs and four DELs for HSIII in March 2025.


Quiddity Leaderboard Hang Seng Internet & IT March 25: 4 Changes Likely, Some Names Have High Impact

<ul>
<li>The HSTECH Index tracks the performance of the top 30 technology companies listed in Hong Kong that have high business exposure to certain technology themes.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the rankings of potential ADDs and potential DELs for the March 2025 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We see two index changes based on the latest available data. However, the reference period is not complete which means our expectations can change over the next few weeks.</li>
</ul>


The HSTECH Index tracks the performance of the top 30 technology companies listed in Hong Kong that have high business exposure to certain technology themes.
In this insight, we take a look at the rankings of potential ADDs and potential DELs for the March 2025 index rebal event.
We see two index changes based on the latest available data. However, the reference period is not complete which means our expectations can change over the next few weeks.


Quiddity Leaderboard HSTECH Mar 25: Two ADDs/DELs Likely but Different Conviction Levels

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Changsha Intelligent Driving Institute, more commonly known as CiDi, filed for an IPO in Hong Kong. The company was valued at ~RMB9B in its last private funding round.</li>
<li>CiDi was backed by HongShan Capital, Xinding Capital, Founder Hesheng Investment, Legend Holdings, Baidu Venture, and Lens Technology, among others.  </li>
<li>The terms of the IPO were not disclosed. CiDi is a category winner that is addressing a large TAM (~$10B by 2030) with room for hyper growth for years.</li>
</ul>


Changsha Intelligent Driving Institute, more commonly known as CiDi, filed for an IPO in Hong Kong. The company was valued at ~RMB9B in its last private funding round.
CiDi was backed by HongShan Capital, Xinding Capital, Founder Hesheng Investment, Legend Holdings, Baidu Venture, and Lens Technology, among others.  
The terms of the IPO were not disclosed. CiDi is a category winner that is addressing a large TAM (~$10B by 2030) with room for hyper growth for years.


CiDi IPO Valuation Analysis: High Valuation Is Warranted Due To Unicorn Status/Hyper Growth Profile

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pony-ai-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44035:1" rel="noopener">Pony AI (PONY US)</a>, an autonomous mobility solutions provider, is looking to raise up to US$195m in its US IPO.</li>
<li>As per Frost &amp; Sullivan, Pony AI was among the first companies in China to obtain licenses to operate fully driverless robotaxis in all four Tier-1 cities in China.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the IPO valuations.</li>
</ul>



Pony AI (PONY US), an autonomous mobility solutions provider, is looking to raise up to US$195m in its US IPO.
As per Frost &amp; Sullivan, Pony AI was among the first companies in China to obtain licenses to operate fully driverless robotaxis in all four Tier-1 cities in China.
We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the IPO valuations.


China

Horizon Robotics develops artificial intelligence (AI) chips and software platforms for intelligent vehicles, focusing on self-driving cars and advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS). The company offers integrated solutions, including its Journey™ series AI processors and Brain Processing Unit (BPU) architecture. Horizon Robotics is headquartered in Beijing, China, and was founded in 2015.

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Horizon Robotics (9660 HK)

HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in March 2025

There could be 78 changes for the HSCI in March. That could result in 57 changes to the Southbound Stock Connect list and also have implications...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard Hang Seng Internet & IT March 25: 4 Changes Likely, Some Names Have High Impact

There could be 6x+ ADV of index buying for the top two expected inflow names. Some outflow names also could have decent impact. Estimated one-way...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard HSTECH Mar 25: Two ADDs/DELs Likely but Different Conviction Levels

The top inflow name and top outflow name are both expected to have more than 7x ADV to trade. We estimate one-way flow to be around US$380mn but...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

CiDi IPO Valuation Analysis: High Valuation Is Warranted Due To Unicorn Status/Hyper Growth Profile

In my insight, I focus on CiDi IPO valuation analysis, outline risks and explain why CiDi IPO may be much more attractive for investors than IPOs...

Andrei Zakharov

Pony AI IPO - Autonomous Valuation

Pony AI (PONY US), an autonomous mobility solutions provider, is looking to raise up to US$195m in its US IPO. In this note, we talk about the IPO...

Sumeet Singh

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