Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of TOPIX CORE 30 in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on Sony, Hoya, Toyota Motor, SoftBank, Honda Motor, Tokyo Electron, Tokio Marine, Sumitomo Mitsui Financial.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of TOPIX CORE 30 in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on Sony, Hoya, Toyota Motor, SoftBank, Honda Motor, Tokyo Electron, Tokio Marine, Sumitomo Mitsui Financial.


TOPIX CORE 30 Index Earning Revision (Feb): Sony, Hoya, Toyota Motor, SoftBank, Honda Motor

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Capital Markets

Shanghai Conant Optical / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-conant-optical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33004:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Conant Optical (2276 HK)</a> (2276 HK) announced the placement of 27M shares for subscription at HK$52 per share.</li>
<li>Company intends to use the proceeds majorly for construction of production line of XR supporting business, R&amp;D initiatives and working capital purpose.  </li>
<li>Given the current market price at which the stock is trading, the placement looks attractive. We continue to remain bullish on the name and the placement seems an opportune moment.</li>
</ul>



Shanghai Conant Optical (2276 HK) (2276 HK) announced the placement of 27M shares for subscription at HK$52 per share.
Company intends to use the proceeds majorly for construction of production line of XR supporting business, R&amp;D initiatives and working capital purpose.  
Given the current market price at which the stock is trading, the placement looks attractive. We continue to remain bullish on the name and the placement seems an opportune moment.


Conant Optical (2276 HK) Placement: Robust Outlook, Margin Strength Makes Growth Optics Clearer

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nihon-kohden-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7668:1" rel="noopener">Nihon Kohden (6849 JP)</a> reiterated previous guidance for overall revenue to be ¥240B in FY26 (+6.5% YoY). Domestic sales have been slightly revised downwards while overseas revenue witnessed upward revision.</li>
<li>North America to be near-term growth driver. H1FY26 revenue from North America increased 16% YoY to ¥22.3B. Expected to grow 18% YoY to ¥49.5B (55% of overseas sales) in FY26.</li>
<li>Nihon Kohden has a sustainable long-term growth prospect. The three-year business plan further enhances conviction on the same.</li>
</ul>



Nihon Kohden (6849 JP) reiterated previous guidance for overall revenue to be ¥240B in FY26 (+6.5% YoY). Domestic sales have been slightly revised downwards while overseas revenue witnessed upward revision.
North America to be near-term growth driver. H1FY26 revenue from North America increased 16% YoY to ¥22.3B. Expected to grow 18% YoY to ¥49.5B (55% of overseas sales) in FY26.
Nihon Kohden has a sustainable long-term growth prospect. The three-year business plan further enhances conviction on the same.


Nihon Kohden (6849 JP): Stable Japan, Growing US; ¥5B Share Buyback Plan Augurs Well

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Bain Capital is looking to place 36m shares of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kioxia-holdings-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29243:1" rel="noopener">Kioxia Holdings (285A JP)</a> to overseas investors at a 7-9% discount to the last close of the stock.</li>
<li>The stock has run up a lot since its IPO with the last leg driven by inclusion in a global index that took place at the close on Friday.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba (6502 JP)</a> had already been selling stock, and the Bain selling could take the stock lower, especially with limited passive buying in the short-term to support the big runup.</li>
</ul>


Bain Capital is looking to place 36m shares of Kioxia Holdings (285A JP) to overseas investors at a 7-9% discount to the last close of the stock.
The stock has run up a lot since its IPO with the last leg driven by inclusion in a global index that took place at the close on Friday.

Toshiba (6502 JP) had already been selling stock, and the Bain selling could take the stock lower, especially with limited passive buying in the short-term to support the big runup.


Kioxia (285A JP) Placement: Limited Passive Buying & Big Runup Opens Up More Downside

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Kioxia Holdings  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Bain aims to raise around US$2bn via selling around 6% of its stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kioxia-holdings-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29243:1" rel="noopener">Kioxia Holdings (285A JP)</a>. The IPO linked lockup on its shareholding had expired in Jun 2025.</li>
<li>Kioxia is a manufacturer and a global leader in flash memory and solid state drives for smartphones, PCs, enterprise servers and data centers.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>


Bain aims to raise around US$2bn via selling around 6% of its stake in Kioxia Holdings (285A JP). The IPO linked lockup on its shareholding had expired in Jun 2025.
Kioxia is a manufacturer and a global leader in flash memory and solid state drives for smartphones, PCs, enterprise servers and data centers.
In this note, we will talk about deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Kioxia Placement - US$2bn Deal, Relatively Small, Index Upweight but the Shares Have Runup

Japan

Hoya Corp manufactures electro-optics products such as mask blanks for semiconductors, photomasks for LCD panels, optical glasses, glass memory disks for HDDs, medical flexible endoscopes, eyeglasses, and contact lenses. The Company also provides information system architecture.

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Hoya Corp (7741 JP)

TOPIX CORE 30 Index Earning Revision (Feb): Sony, Hoya, Toyota Motor, SoftBank, Honda Motor

We analyzed TOPIX CORE 30's consensus for Feb 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in Sony, Hoya, Toyota Motor, SoftBank, Honda Motor, Tokyo...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Conant Optical (2276 HK) Placement: Robust Outlook, Margin Strength Makes Growth Optics Clearer

Shanghai Conant Optical (2276 HK) places 27M shares at HK$52/share for XR production line, R&D, and working capital. The placement is an opportune...

Tina Banerjee

Kioxia (285A JP) Placement: Limited Passive Buying & Big Runup Opens Up More Downside

Toshiba unloaded a lot of Kioxia shares in Sep/Oct. Now Bain is selling US$2bn+ of stock and there could be more next year. The recent results...

Brian Freitas

Kioxia Placement - US$2bn Deal, Relatively Small, Index Upweight but the Shares Have Runup

Bain aims to raise around US$2bn via selling around 6% of its stake in Kioxia Holdings (285A JP). The IPO linked lockup on its shareholding had...

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

TOPIX CORE 30 Index Earning Revision (Feb): Sony, Hoya, Toyota Motor, SoftBank, Honda Motor

We analyzed TOPIX CORE 30's consensus for Feb 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in Sony, Hoya, Toyota Motor, SoftBank, Honda Motor, Tokyo...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Conant Optical (2276 HK) Placement: Robust Outlook, Margin Strength Makes Growth Optics Clearer

​Shanghai Conant Optical (2276 HK) places 27M shares at HK$52/share for XR production line, R&D, and working capital. The placement is an opportune...

Tina Banerjee

Nihon Kohden (6849 JP): Stable Japan, Growing US; ¥5B Share Buyback Plan Augurs Well

​Nihon Kohden reaffirms revenue guidance for FY26, with focus on growth in North America and sustainable long-term prospects. The share buyback...

Tina Banerjee

Kioxia (285A JP) Placement: Limited Passive Buying & Big Runup Opens Up More Downside

Toshiba unloaded a lot of Kioxia shares in Sep/Oct. Now Bain is selling US$2bn+ of stock and there could be more next year. The recent results...

Brian Freitas

Kioxia Placement - US$2bn Deal, Relatively Small, Index Upweight but the Shares Have Runup

Bain aims to raise around US$2bn via selling around 6% of its stake in Kioxia Holdings (285A JP). The IPO linked lockup on its shareholding had...

Sumeet Singh

Shanghai Conant Optical (2276 HK) places 27M shares at HK$52/share for XR production line, R&D, and working capital. The placement is an opportune...

Nihon Kohden reaffirms revenue guidance for FY26, with focus on growth in North America and sustainable long-term prospects. The share buyback...