Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>AH Premia are lower again (new 5yr low) in the first full week after the CNY holiday. HK stocks up BIG vs A-shares. H/A discounts <em>slightly</em> narrower on average.</li>
<li>That tells you that the big winners in HK the past two weeks are those stocks without A-shares. This past week Healthcare sector pairs saw the best relative H-share performance.</li>
<li>Foreigners returning to HK markets but less to the H in H/A pairs. They are buying HK/China "foreign-investor beta" not China breadth. Feels spivvy, and short-term.</li>
</ul>


AH Premia are lower again (new 5yr low) in the first full week after the CNY holiday. HK stocks up BIG vs A-shares. H/A discounts slightly narrower on average.
That tells you that the big winners in HK the past two weeks are those stocks without A-shares. This past week Healthcare sector pairs saw the best relative H-share performance.
Foreigners returning to HK markets but less to the H in H/A pairs. They are buying HK/China "foreign-investor beta" not China breadth. Feels spivvy, and short-term.


A/H Premium Tracker (To 14 Feb 2025):  AH Premia Fall but Foreigners Buying Non-H/A Pair HK Stocks

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into Tencent, SMIC, ICBC, China Mobile, Xiaomi and outflows from Meituan.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.
We highlight inflows into Tencent, SMIC, ICBC, China Mobile, Xiaomi and outflows from Meituan.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (January): $18.1bn Inflows

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The HSCEI serves as a benchmark to reflect the overall performance of the top 50 "Mainland China" securities listed in Hong Kong.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the final rankings for the HSCEI potential ADDs and potential DELs for the index rebal event in March 2025.</li>
<li>We expect one change for the HSCEI index in March 2025 and capping flows of US$136mn one-way.</li>
</ul>


The HSCEI serves as a benchmark to reflect the overall performance of the top 50 "Mainland China" securities listed in Hong Kong.
In this insight, we take a look at the final rankings for the HSCEI potential ADDs and potential DELs for the index rebal event in March 2025.
We expect one change for the HSCEI index in March 2025 and capping flows of US$136mn one-way.


Quiddity Leaderboard HSCEI Mar 25: China Resources Power (836 HK) Could Replace Li Ning (2331 HK)

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>CSRC's Market Value Management Guidelines will indirectly benefit the H-share stocks with their A-share counterparts with a P/B of below 1x.  </li>
<li>Chinese banks dominated the list with below-book A-shares. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-everbright-bank-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16221:1" rel="noopener">China Everbright Bank (6818 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-citic-bank-corp-ltd-ea6c25fd-4b20-45cb-a4a6-df7a60136f03" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:653:1" rel="noopener">China Citic Bank H (998 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/industrial-and-commercial-bank-of-china-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1119:1" rel="noopener">ICBC (H) (1398 HK)</a> are the prime beneficiaries.</li>
<li>Infrastructure construction companies <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-railway-construction-corp-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:263:1" rel="noopener">China Railway Cons Corp (1186 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-railway-group-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:264:1" rel="noopener">China Railway Group H (390 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-communications-construction-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:265:1" rel="noopener">China Comm Cons (1800 HK)</a> are also well-positioned to gain.</li>
</ul>


CSRC's Market Value Management Guidelines will indirectly benefit the H-share stocks with their A-share counterparts with a P/B of below 1x.  
Chinese banks dominated the list with below-book A-shares. China Everbright Bank (6818 HK), China Citic Bank H (998 HK), and ICBC (H) (1398 HK) are the prime beneficiaries.
Infrastructure construction companies China Railway Cons Corp (1186 HK), China Railway Group H (390 HK), and China Comm Cons (1800 HK) are also well-positioned to gain.


China & HK Strategy: Names to Watch for Market Value Management

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into Alibaba, Xiaomi, SMIC, Geely, CCB and outflows from Meituan.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.
We highlight inflows into Alibaba, Xiaomi, SMIC, Geely, CCB and outflows from Meituan.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (October): $12 Bn Inflows

China

Huadian Power International Corporation Limited generates and sells electricity which is all fed into the Shandong Provincial Grid operated by Shandong Electric Power (Group) Corporation (SEPCO), the immediate holding company of the Company.  The Company also sells heat.

Price Gauge
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Huadian Power Intl Corp A (600027 CH)

A/H Premium Tracker (To 14 Feb 2025): AH Premia Fall but Foreigners Buying Non-H/A Pair HK Stocks

New 5yr low for AH Premia but HK indices beat A-shares by far more than Hs in H/A Pairs outperformed their As. AGAIN. This dichotomy tells you the...

Travis Lundy

Hong Kong Connect Flows (January): $18.1bn Inflows

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for January and highlighted flows for Tencent, SMIC, ICBC, China Mobile, Xiaomi and Meituan.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Quiddity Leaderboard HSCEI Mar 25: China Resources Power (836 HK) Could Replace Li Ning (2331 HK)

The 12-month reference period used for index selection rankings is now complete. We expect China Resources Power (836 HK) to replace Li Ning (2331...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

China & HK Strategy: Names to Watch for Market Value Management

SASAC issued "Several opinions on improving and strengthening the market value management of listed companies controlled by central enterprises"...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Hong Kong Connect Flows (October): $12 Bn Inflows

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for October and highlighted flows for Alibaba, Xiaomi, SMIC, Geely, CCB, and Meituan.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)