HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

China Longyuan Power Group / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-longyuan-power-group-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14215:1" rel="noopener">China Longyuan Power (916 HK)</a> is now attractively priced at 5.9x and 5.2x PERs for FY23 and FY24, respectively. The 2Q23 result clearly showed that business is gathering momentum.</li>
<li>Margins have demonstrated good improvement despite weaker tariffs and coal sale business. With a very low base in last year, its 2H23 earnings growth will be impressive.</li>
<li>There is positive progress on new project sign-up which has secured its pipeline. Asset injection from parent will stay as a major theme in the next two years.</li>
</ul>



China Longyuan Power (916 HK) is now attractively priced at 5.9x and 5.2x PERs for FY23 and FY24, respectively. The 2Q23 result clearly showed that business is gathering momentum.
Margins have demonstrated good improvement despite weaker tariffs and coal sale business. With a very low base in last year, its 2H23 earnings growth will be impressive.
There is positive progress on new project sign-up which has secured its pipeline. Asset injection from parent will stay as a major theme in the next two years.


China Longyuan (916 HK): Value Has Definitely Emerged

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 119.3% as of Sep 1st.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 2.6ppt week on week, led by information technology, consumer discretionary, health care and offset by financials, utilities.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Zhejiang Shiba, Cansino Biolog, Nanjing Panda, China Railway, Hua Hong Semi and Cc Securities.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 119.3% as of Sep 1st.
The average A-H premium changed by 2.6ppt week on week, led by information technology, consumer discretionary, health care and offset by financials, utilities.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Zhejiang Shiba, Cansino Biolog, Nanjing Panda, China Railway, Hua Hong Semi and Cc Securities.


A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 1st):Zhejiang Shiba, Cansino Biolog, Nanjing Panda, China Railway

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outlfows, and holding by mainland investors.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Meituan, Kuaishou, CNOOC, PetroChina, Tencent, BYD, HSBC, HKEx.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outlfows, and holding by mainland investors.
We highlight flows for Meituan, Kuaishou, CNOOC, PetroChina, Tencent, BYD, HSBC, HKEx.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (July): Meituan, Kuaishou, CNOOC, PetroChina, Tencent, BYD, HSBC, HKEx

China Power International Development / Equity Bottom-Up

China Power International Development (2380 HK)

<ul>
<li>The Rmb10.8bn acquisition of clean energy assets from parent by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-power-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15548:1" rel="noopener">China Power International (2380 HK)</a> is positive in raising its clean energy proportion to over 70% of total capacity.</li>
<li>The drop in share price reflects concerns about elevation of gearing and the need for potential equity funding. However, even all equity financing scenario will only dilute EPS by 1%.</li>
<li>We think its earnings quality will improve, balance sheet will be enhanced and profitability will be raised. Its 1H23 positive profit alert also showed a recovery in operational performance. </li>
</ul>


The Rmb10.8bn acquisition of clean energy assets from parent by China Power International (2380 HK) is positive in raising its clean energy proportion to over 70% of total capacity.
The drop in share price reflects concerns about elevation of gearing and the need for potential equity funding. However, even all equity financing scenario will only dilute EPS by 1%.
We think its earnings quality will improve, balance sheet will be enhanced and profitability will be raised. Its 1H23 positive profit alert also showed a recovery in operational performance. 


China Power International (2380 HK): A Major Move to Raise Clean Energy Exposure

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 28th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$5,187.1 million, led by financials, consumer staples, industrials sectors, and offset by information technology.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Moutai, CATL, East Money Information, Wuliangye, Ping An Insurance, Haitian Flavouring, LUxshare, BOE.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 28th.
We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$5,187.1 million, led by financials, consumer staples, industrials sectors, and offset by information technology.
We highlight flows for Moutai, CATL, East Money Information, Wuliangye, Ping An Insurance, Haitian Flavouring, LUxshare, BOE.


Northbound Flows (Jul 28th): $5.2bn Inflows

China

Huaneng Power International, Inc. is a Chinese electric power company primarily engaged in the development, construction, operation, and management of power plants. The company generates and sells electricity and heat from a diversified portfolio including coal-fired, gas-fired, hydro, wind, photovoltaic, and biomass resources. It was founded on June 30, 1994, and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Huaneng Power International (902 HK)

China Longyuan (916 HK): Value Has Definitely Emerged

Longyuan is attractively priced and showing strong business momentum, with improved margins and impressive growth. New project sign-ups and asset...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 1st):Zhejiang Shiba, Cansino Biolog, Nanjing Panda, China Railway

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Zhejiang Shiba, Cansino Biolog, Nanjing Panda, China Railway.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Connect Flows (July): Meituan, Kuaishou, CNOOC, PetroChina, Tencent, BYD, HSBC, HKEx

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for July and highlight flows for Meituan, Kuaishou, CNOOC, PetroChina, Tencent, BYD, HSBC, HKEx.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Power International (2380 HK): A Major Move to Raise Clean Energy Exposure

CPI's Rmb10.8bn acquisition from its parent will make clean energy reach 70% of total capacity. The move will enhance earnings by 10% and an all...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Northbound Flows (Jul 28th): $5.2bn Inflows

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for last week and highlight flows for Moutai, CATL, East Money Information, Wuliangye, Ping An...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

China Longyuan (916 HK): Value Has Definitely Emerged

​Longyuan is attractively priced and showing strong business momentum, with improved margins and impressive growth. New project sign-ups and asset...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 1st):Zhejiang Shiba, Cansino Biolog, Nanjing Panda, China Railway

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Zhejiang Shiba, Cansino Biolog, Nanjing Panda, China Railway.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Connect Flows (July): Meituan, Kuaishou, CNOOC, PetroChina, Tencent, BYD, HSBC, HKEx

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for July and highlight flows for Meituan, Kuaishou, CNOOC, PetroChina, Tencent, BYD, HSBC, HKEx.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Power International (2380 HK): A Major Move to Raise Clean Energy Exposure

CPI's Rmb10.8bn acquisition from its parent will make clean energy reach 70% of total capacity. The move will enhance earnings by 10% and an all...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Northbound Flows (Jul 28th): $5.2bn Inflows

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for last week and highlight flows for Moutai, CATL, East Money Information, Wuliangye, Ping An...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Longyuan is attractively priced and showing strong business momentum, with improved margins and impressive growth. New project sign-ups and asset...