IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/insignia-financial-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12349:1" rel="noopener">Insignia Financial (IFL AU)</a> IE considers CC Capital’s scheme offer at A$4.80 fair and reasonable, as it is within its valuation range of A$4.49 to A$5.08.</li>
<li>The key scheme conditions are shareholder, FIRB and APRA approval. Regulatory approvals should be forthcoming, and the scheme vote is low-risk.</li>
<li>The offer is attractive, particularly as peers have derated. At the last close and for a 28 April payment, the gross/annualised spread is 2.8%/19.1%.  </li>
</ul>


The Insignia Financial (IFL AU) IE considers CC Capital’s scheme offer at A$4.80 fair and reasonable, as it is within its valuation range of A$4.49 to A$5.08.
The key scheme conditions are shareholder, FIRB and APRA approval. Regulatory approvals should be forthcoming, and the scheme vote is low-risk.
The offer is attractive, particularly as peers have derated. At the last close and for a 28 April payment, the gross/annualised spread is 2.8%/19.1%.  


Insignia Financial (IFL AU): Scheme Vote on 13 April

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
Highlights: Currently nine pair trade opportunities across four markets and four sectors persist.</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

Highlights: Currently nine pair trade opportunities across four markets and four sectors persist.

Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (15 Sep)

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
Highlights: Currently six pair trade opportunities across three markets and four sectors persist.</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

Highlights: Currently six pair trade opportunities across three markets and four sectors persist.

Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (8 Sep)

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
Highlights: Currently four pair trade opportunities across two markets and three sectors persist.</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

Highlights: Currently four pair trade opportunities across two markets and three sectors persist.

Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (1 Sep)

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Nearing the end of the review period, we forecast no inclusions to the index in September. There could be up to 3 deletions at the review though.</li>
<li>Even if there are no constituent changes, capping changes will lead to one-way turnover of 3.8% and a round-trip trade of A$232m.</li>
<li>If there are 3 deletes as forecast, one-way turnover increases to 6.3% resulting in a round-trip trade of A$384m.</li>
</ul>


Nearing the end of the review period, we forecast no inclusions to the index in September. There could be up to 3 deletions at the review though.
Even if there are no constituent changes, capping changes will lead to one-way turnover of 3.8% and a round-trip trade of A$232m.
If there are 3 deletes as forecast, one-way turnover increases to 6.3% resulting in a round-trip trade of A$384m.


MV Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance Preview: Three Potential Deletions in September

Australia

HUB24 Limited is a financial services company.  The Company focuses on the delivery of a platform which supports investors.  The platform is a next-generation service with state-of-the-art portfolio management, transaction, and reporting solutions for licensees, financial advisers, accountants, stockbrokers, and institutions.

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Hub24 Ltd (HUB AU)

Insignia Financial (IFL AU): Scheme Vote on 13 April

Regulatory approvals should be forthcoming, and the scheme vote is low-risk. At the last close and for a 28 April payment, the gross/annualised...

Arun George

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (15 Sep)

Statistical methodology identifies nine pair trade opportunities across four markets and four sectors, offering unique insights into relative value.

Gaudenz Schneider

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (8 Sep)

Statistical methodology identifies six pair trade opportunities in multiple markets and sectors, offering unique insights for investors.

Gaudenz Schneider

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (1 Sep)

Statistical methodology identifies four pair trade opportunities in multiple markets and sectors, offering unique insights for investors.

Gaudenz Schneider

MV Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance Preview: Three Potential Deletions in September

We do not forecast any inclusions but there could be 3 deletions. Just capping changes will lead to one-way turnover of 3.8% and a round-trip trade...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Insignia Financial (IFL AU): Scheme Vote on 13 April

Regulatory approvals should be forthcoming, and the scheme vote is low-risk. At the last close and for a 28 April payment, the gross/annualised...

Arun George

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (15 Sep)

​Statistical methodology identifies nine pair trade opportunities across four markets and four sectors, offering unique insights into relative value.

Gaudenz Schneider

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (8 Sep)

​Statistical methodology identifies six pair trade opportunities in multiple markets and sectors, offering unique insights for investors.

Gaudenz Schneider

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (1 Sep)

​Statistical methodology identifies four pair trade opportunities in multiple markets and sectors, offering unique insights for investors.

Gaudenz Schneider

MV Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance Preview: Three Potential Deletions in September

We do not forecast any inclusions but there could be 3 deletions. Just capping changes will lead to one-way turnover of 3.8% and a round-trip trade...

Brian Freitas

Statistical methodology identifies nine pair trade opportunities across four markets and four sectors, offering unique insights into relative value.

Statistical methodology identifies six pair trade opportunities in multiple markets and sectors, offering unique insights for investors.

Statistical methodology identifies four pair trade opportunities in multiple markets and sectors, offering unique insights for investors.