IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/waterdrop-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33018:1" rel="noopener">Waterdrop Inc (WDH US)</a> is the largest independent third-party insurance platform in China as measured by life and health insurance first-year premiums (FYP) distributed in 2020, according to iResearch. Waterdrop is backed by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent Holdings (700 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swiss-re-ag-1f83dcbc-730e-46fa-82f2-bfe7e8e361a1" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27914:1" rel="noopener">Swiss Re AG (SREN SW)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan-dianping" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a>.</p></div><div><p>At the mid-point of the proposed IPO price range of $10.00-12.00 per ADS, Waterdrop will have a market cap of $4.3 billion. At the mid-point of the IPO price range, the net proceeds are $301.6 million. New and existing shareholders have indicated on $210 million of the IPO, including Boyu Capital ($100 million), HOPU Investments (at least $80 million), and Kevin Sunny Holding ($30 million). The indications of interest represent 63.6% of the ADSs on offer at the mid-point of the IPO price range.</p></div><div><div><div class="content-highlight"><p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/waterdrop-ipo-initiation-going-for-brokers" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:50610" rel="noopener">Waterdrop IPO Initiation: Going for Brokers</a>, we opined that as a leading online third-party insurance broker, Waterdrop is well-positioned to benefit from favourable industry trends. The key unknown is whether the changing regulations will throw a spanner in the works. Notwithstanding the regulatory overhang, we concluded that Waterdrop is worth a look. Our analysis suggests that the IPO price range is full at the high-end but has some upside at the low-end. </p></div></div></div>

Waterdrop Inc (WDH US) is the largest independent third-party insurance platform in China as measured by life and health insurance first-year premiums (FYP) distributed in 2020, according to iResearch. Waterdrop is backed by Tencent Holdings (700 HK), Swiss Re AG (SREN SW) and Meituan (3690 HK).At the mid-point of the proposed IPO price range of $10.00-12.00 per ADS, Waterdrop will have a market cap of $4.3 billion. At the mid-point of the IPO price range, the net proceeds are $301.6 million. New and existing shareholders have indicated on $210 million of the IPO, including Boyu Capital ($100 million), HOPU Investments (at least $80 million), and Kevin Sunny Holding ($30 million). The indications of interest represent 63.6% of the ADSs on offer at the mid-point of the IPO price range.In Waterdrop IPO Initiation: Going for Brokers, we opined that as a leading online third-party insurance broker, Waterdrop is well-positioned to benefit from favourable industry trends. The key unknown is whether the changing regulations will throw a spanner in the works. Notwithstanding the regulatory overhang, we concluded that Waterdrop is worth a look. Our analysis suggests that the IPO price range is full at the high-end but has some upside at the low-end. 

Japan/Asia Long-Short, LightStream Research

Mio Kato

Japan/Asia Long-Short

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Event-Driven

<p>With increased news flow surrounding antitrust activity in China the Huya-Douyu merger is likely to be a key litmus test of Beijing’s attitude going forward. We are increasingly concerned about the possibility of the deal being scuppered but given Huya’s recent underperformance we believe the stock may be a buy regardless of outcome.</p>

With increased news flow surrounding antitrust activity in China the Huya-Douyu merger is likely to be a key litmus test of Beijing’s attitude going forward. We are increasingly concerned about the possibility of the deal being scuppered but given Huya’s recent underperformance we believe the stock may be a buy regardless of outcome.

Huya – Looking Attractive Now Regardless of Merger Outcome

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul class="">
<li>Xiaomi plans to produce electric vehicle.</li>
<li>The court forces Douyu to compensate Huya for broadcaster poaching.</li>
<li>Tencent Music and Vipshop launch share repurchase programs.</li>
</ul>
<p><strong>Our coverage on Chinese equities:</strong></p>
<p>E-commerce: Alibaba (9988 HK, BABA US), Meituan (3690 HK), JD.com (9618 HK, JD US), JD Health (6618 HK), KE (BEKE US).</p>
<p>Online Entertainment: Tencent (700 HK), Kuaishou (1024 HK), NetEase (9999 HK, NTES US), Bilibili (BILI US), Tencent Music (TME).</p>
<p>Others: Xiaomi (1810 HK).</p>


Xiaomi plans to produce electric vehicle.
The court forces Douyu to compensate Huya for broadcaster poaching.
Tencent Music and Vipshop launch share repurchase programs.

Our coverage on Chinese equities:
E-commerce: Alibaba (9988 HK, BABA US), Meituan (3690 HK), JD.com (9618 HK, JD US), JD Health (6618 HK), KE (BEKE US).
Online Entertainment: Tencent (700 HK), Kuaishou (1024 HK), NetEase (9999 HK, NTES US), Bilibili (BILI US), Tencent Music (TME).
Others: Xiaomi (1810 HK).

China Internet Weekly (Apr 5): Xiaomi Plans Electric Vehicle, Huya Gets Compensation from Douyu

<ul class="">
<li>Chinese equities plunged, because a Chinese equity holder had to meet a margin call.</li>
<li>Alibaba's Taobao Deals is planning a store on Tencent's WeChat.</li>
<li>Xiaomi's Internet of Things is facing an industry stagnance.</li>
<li>Huay improved both growth and margin, but still cannot acquire Douyu.</li>
</ul>
<p>Our main coverage on overseas listed Chinese equities: Alibaba (9988 HK), Bilibili (BILI US), JD.com (9618 HK), KE (BEKE US), Kuaishou (1024), Meituan (3690 HK), NetEase (9999 HK), Tencent (700 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK).</p>


Chinese equities plunged, because a Chinese equity holder had to meet a margin call.
Alibaba's Taobao Deals is planning a store on Tencent's WeChat.
Xiaomi's Internet of Things is facing an industry stagnance.
Huay improved both growth and margin, but still cannot acquire Douyu.

Our main coverage on overseas listed Chinese equities: Alibaba (9988 HK), Bilibili (BILI US), JD.com (9618 HK), KE (BEKE US), Kuaishou (1024), Meituan (3690 HK), NetEase (9999 HK), Tencent (700 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK).

China Internet Weekly (Mar 29): Margin Call Punched Chinese Equities, Alibaba Plans Store on Tencent

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

<div><p>Bilibili raised around US$3bn in its secondary listing in Hong Kong. </p></div><div>
<p>We have covered the background of the deal in our earlier notes:</p>
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/bilibili-secondary-listing-early-look-will-probably-be-more-like-jd-and-netease" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Bilibili Secondary Listing Early Look - Will Probably Be More like JD and NetEase,</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/bilibili-secondary-listing-early-look-4q20-results-quick-note" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Bilibili Secondary Listing Early Look - 4Q20 Results Quick Note and</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/bilibili-secondary-listing-volatile-but-should-be-hot" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Bilibili Secondary Listing - Volatile but Should Be Hot</a></li>
</ul>
</div><div><p>In this note, we'll talk about the updates since then.</p></div>

Bilibili raised around US$3bn in its secondary listing in Hong Kong. 
We have covered the background of the deal in our earlier notes:

Bilibili Secondary Listing Early Look - Will Probably Be More like JD and NetEase,
Bilibili Secondary Listing Early Look - 4Q20 Results Quick Note and
Bilibili Secondary Listing - Volatile but Should Be Hot

In this note, we'll talk about the updates since then.

Bilibili Secondary Trading - Hot Demand, Baba Takes Another Bite, but Still Set for a Weak Listing

United States

HUYA Inc. operates as a game live streaming platform. The Company offers interactive video broadcast services including e-sports, music, reality show, entertainment genres, talent shows, and anime and outdoor activities. HUYA serves customers in China.

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HUYA (HUYA US)

Waterdrop IPO: Valuation Insights

Waterdrop has launched its IPO to raise net proceeds of $301.6 million at the mid-point of the price range of $10-12. The price range is full at...

Arun George

Huya – Looking Attractive Now Regardless of Merger Outcome

Huya could benefit from a break of the Douyu deal due to significant operational outperformance, while a merger approval could help broad sentiment...

Mio Kato

China Internet Weekly (Apr 5): Xiaomi Plans Electric Vehicle, Huya Gets Compensation from Douyu

Xiaomi plans to produce electric vehicle.The court forces Douyu to compensate Huya for broadcaster poaching.Tencent Music and Vipshop launches...

Ming Lu

China Internet Weekly (Mar 29): Margin Call Punched Chinese Equities, Alibaba Plans Store on Tencent

Chinese equities plunged, because a Chinese equity holder had to meet a margin call.Alibaba's Taotao Deals is planning a store on Tencent's WeChat.

Ming Lu

Bilibili Secondary Trading - Hot Demand, Baba Takes Another Bite, but Still Set for a Weak Listing

Bilibili raised around US$3bn in its secondary listing in Hong Kong. In this note, we'll talk about the updates since our previous note.

Sumeet Singh

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