HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>NHSA will set aside a certain market to provide space for innovative medical devices/consumables to explore the market in addition to centralized procurement. However, we tend to be cautiously optimistic.</li>
<li>We think it is important to clarify for investors what constitutes "commercialization success" – That is to generate revenue at scale and stable profitability through the sale of drugs.</li>
<li>All the products that covered by VBP begin to lose logic. Don't be fooled by those positive interpretations. We are bearish on the sectors with downward logic in long cycle. </li>
</ul>


NHSA will set aside a certain market to provide space for innovative medical devices/consumables to explore the market in addition to centralized procurement. However, we tend to be cautiously optimistic.
We think it is important to clarify for investors what constitutes "commercialization success" – That is to generate revenue at scale and stable profitability through the sale of drugs.
All the products that covered by VBP begin to lose logic. Don't be fooled by those positive interpretations. We are bearish on the sectors with downward logic in long cycle. 


China Healthcare Weekly(Sep9)-Innovative Device Policy,Commercial Success Definition,Don't Be Fooled

<ul>
<li>The Development and Reform Commission of Shenzhen Municipality issued a document about the subsidy for VBP, which is a positive policy and is good for innovation.</li>
<li>The approval of Genuine Biotech’s Azvudine could greatly increase the unpredictability of the approval of domestic innovative drugs, thus greatly increasing the unpredictable risk of domestic innovative drug enterprises.</li>
<li>In terms of internationalization, we summarized what Chinese pharmaceutical companies could do at the current stage. But they are hard to become the mainstream in pharmaceuticals globally in short term.</li>
</ul>


The Development and Reform Commission of Shenzhen Municipality issued a document about the subsidy for VBP, which is a positive policy and is good for innovation.
The approval of Genuine Biotech’s Azvudine could greatly increase the unpredictability of the approval of domestic innovative drugs, thus greatly increasing the unpredictable risk of domestic innovative drug enterprises.
In terms of internationalization, we summarized what Chinese pharmaceutical companies could do at the current stage. But they are hard to become the mainstream in pharmaceuticals globally in short term.


China Healthcare Weekly (July.29)-Subsidy for VBP, Unpredictable NMPA, Ways for Internationalization

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Capital Markets

Concord Healthcare Group / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/concord-healthcare-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36005:1" rel="noopener">Concord Healthcare Group (CHG HK)</a>, the second largest private oncology healthcare company in China, has submitted application proof for an IPO on the HK Stock Exchange in May 2022.  </li>
<li>The company has an accumulated loss of RMB1.7 billion during the last three years, with current net debt-to-capital ratio of 170.1%. Its finance cost account for 92.5% of total revenue.</li>
<li>Concord has a cash balance of just RMB136 million, which makes it hard to grab the growth opportunities in China’s capital-intensive oncology healthcare services segment.</li>
</ul>



Concord Healthcare Group (CHG HK), the second largest private oncology healthcare company in China, has submitted application proof for an IPO on the HK Stock Exchange in May 2022.  
The company has an accumulated loss of RMB1.7 billion during the last three years, with current net debt-to-capital ratio of 170.1%. Its finance cost account for 92.5% of total revenue.
Concord has a cash balance of just RMB136 million, which makes it hard to grab the growth opportunities in China’s capital-intensive oncology healthcare services segment.


Concord Healthcare Group (CHG HK) Pre-IPO: Accumulated Loss and Cash Burn Cloud Growth Prospects

Equity Bottom-Up

Hygeia Healthcare Group / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Driven by the development mode of "organic growth + strategic acquisitions + cooperation with hospital partners", <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hygeia-healthcare-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28875:1" rel="noopener">Hygeia Healthcare Group (6078 HK)</a> could rapidly expand nationwide, with solid business logic. </li>
<li>Hygeia's delicacy management and the strength in operation help the Company to break the limits of the expansion of private hospitals, helping shorten the time it takes to break even.</li>
<li>However, the high uncertainties on policy and State’s attitude towards private hospitals cast shadow on Hygeia's long-term prospects, but investors could still trade this stock in short term.</li>
</ul>


Driven by the development mode of "organic growth + strategic acquisitions + cooperation with hospital partners", Hygeia Healthcare Group (6078 HK) could rapidly expand nationwide, with solid business logic. 
Hygeia's delicacy management and the strength in operation help the Company to break the limits of the expansion of private hospitals, helping shorten the time it takes to break even.
However, the high uncertainties on policy and State’s attitude towards private hospitals cast shadow on Hygeia's long-term prospects, but investors could still trade this stock in short term.


Hygeia Healthcare Group (6078.HK) 2021 Results - Solid Business Logic Comes with Policy Risk

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Jan 28 based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were 3Sbio Inc. (1530 HK), China Gas (384 HK), Hygeia Healthcare (6078 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK), 3Sbio (1530 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Jan 28 based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were 3Sbio Inc. (1530 HK), China Gas (384 HK), Hygeia Healthcare (6078 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK), 3Sbio (1530 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks: 3SBio, China Gas, Hygeia

China

Hygeia is a China based oncology healthcare group.

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Hygeia Healthcare Group (6078 HK)

China Healthcare Weekly(Sep9)-Innovative Device Policy,Commercial Success Definition,Don't Be Fooled

We recommend cautiously optimistic about new innovative device policy. It's important to clarify what constitutes "commercialization success". All...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (July.29)-Subsidy for VBP, Unpredictable NMPA, Ways for Internationalization

The policy about subsidy for VBP is a positive sign for innovation. NMPA is unpredictable, increasing the uncertainty of drug approval. Here's what...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Concord Healthcare Group (CHG HK) Pre-IPO: Accumulated Loss and Cash Burn Cloud Growth Prospects

Concord, a leading private oncology healthcare player in China, intends to list shares in Hong Kong. This loss making and cash burning company do...

Tina Banerjee