Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Korea Investment Management will be launching a new nuclear power related ETF called Kindex Nuclear Theme Deep Search ETF on 28 June. </li>
<li>NH-Amundi Asset Management will also be launching Hanaro Nuclear iSelect ETF on 28 June. Both ETFs are the first ones to focus on the nuclear power related stocks in Korea.</li>
<li>The launch of these ETFs should have a positive impact on the major nuclear power related stocks including Doosan Enerbility (034020 KS) and Kepco Plant Service &amp; Engineering (051600 KS).</li>
</ul>


Korea Investment Management will be launching a new nuclear power related ETF called Kindex Nuclear Theme Deep Search ETF on 28 June. 
NH-Amundi Asset Management will also be launching Hanaro Nuclear iSelect ETF on 28 June. Both ETFs are the first ones to focus on the nuclear power related stocks in Korea.
The launch of these ETFs should have a positive impact on the major nuclear power related stocks including Doosan Enerbility (034020 KS) and Kepco Plant Service &amp; Engineering (051600 KS).


Launch of Kindex Nuclear Theme Deep Search ETF & Hanaro Nuclear ISelect ETF in Korea

<ul>
<li>We discuss ways of finding alpha with the end of mandatory lock-up periods data from Korea Securities Depository (KSD) which comes out at the end of each month.</li>
<li>Key companies that are highlighted in this monthly data have been typically underperforming the market much more than the market overall this year.</li>
<li>Among these stocks, some of the big underperformers this year include Kakao Pay (377300 KS), HYBE (352820 KS), WYSIWYG Studios (299900 KS), and DearU (376300 KS).</li>
</ul>


We discuss ways of finding alpha with the end of mandatory lock-up periods data from Korea Securities Depository (KSD) which comes out at the end of each month.
Key companies that are highlighted in this monthly data have been typically underperforming the market much more than the market overall this year.
Among these stocks, some of the big underperformers this year include Kakao Pay (377300 KS), HYBE (352820 KS), WYSIWYG Studios (299900 KS), and DearU (376300 KS).


Finding Alpha with the End of Mandatory Lock-Up Periods Data from Korea Securities Depository

<ul>
<li>Our base case valuation LG Energy Solution is implied market cap of 75 trillion won or target price of 319,089 won, representing 25% below current share price.</li>
<li>Currently, LGES is trading at a premium valuation multiple on a EV/EBITDA (2023E) versus CATL. We believe LGES should trade at a discount to CATL in the next 6-12 months. </li>
<li>LGES's 6 months lock-up ends on 27 July and there are 4.3% of outstanding shares that can be sold which is likely to put negative pressure on share price.</li>
</ul>


Our base case valuation LG Energy Solution is implied market cap of 75 trillion won or target price of 319,089 won, representing 25% below current share price.
Currently, LGES is trading at a premium valuation multiple on a EV/EBITDA (2023E) versus CATL. We believe LGES should trade at a discount to CATL in the next 6-12 months. 
LGES's 6 months lock-up ends on 27 July and there are 4.3% of outstanding shares that can be sold which is likely to put negative pressure on share price.


LG Energy Solution: End of 6 Months Lock-Up Period & Valuation Sensitivity Analysis

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>All of these additions experienced significant levels of short trading yesterday. In particular, those newly listed stocks saw harsher shorting attacks, similar to what we witnessed at the last rebalancing.</li>
<li>A certain level of short selling trend for newly listed stocks will likely work the same this time, and the applicable period is expected to be 3-4 trading days.</li>
<li>That is, we need to target the newly listed stocks again for this rebalancing: Iljin Hysolus (271940 KS), K Car (381970 KS), and SD Biosensor (137310 KS).</li>
</ul>


All of these additions experienced significant levels of short trading yesterday. In particular, those newly listed stocks saw harsher shorting attacks, similar to what we witnessed at the last rebalancing.
A certain level of short selling trend for newly listed stocks will likely work the same this time, and the applicable period is expected to be 3-4 trading days.
That is, we need to target the newly listed stocks again for this rebalancing: Iljin Hysolus (271940 KS), K Car (381970 KS), and SD Biosensor (137310 KS).


Shorting Trend Projections on KOSPI 200 Additions

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>There are 7 adds and 7 deletes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> rebalance to be implemented at the close on 9 June.</li>
<li>There are also a bunch of stocks that will have changes applied to their free float. There were announced last week and are much less tracked.</li>
<li>The flows and impact on some of the float change names are significant and pre-positioning and passive flows could move the stocks over the next few days.</li>
</ul>


There are 7 adds and 7 deletes for the Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX) rebalance to be implemented at the close on 9 June.
There are also a bunch of stocks that will have changes applied to their free float. There were announced last week and are much less tracked.
The flows and impact on some of the float change names are significant and pre-positioning and passive flows could move the stocks over the next few days.


KOSPI200 Index Rebalance: Float Changes, Flows & Trades

South Korea

HD Hyundai Heavy Industries Co., Ltd. operates as a shipbuilding company. The Company provides naval shipbuilding, industrial shipbuilding, crude oil tanker, bulk carrier, container carrier, and other related services. HD Hyundai Heavy Industries also offers offshore and engineering, engine and machinery, offshore, industrial, and marine plant services.

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HD Hyundai Heavy Industries (329180 KS)

Launch of Kindex Nuclear Theme Deep Search ETF & Hanaro Nuclear ISelect ETF in Korea

The launch of the new nuclear power related ETFs should have a positive impact on the major nuclear power related stocks including Doosan...

Douglas Kim

Finding Alpha with the End of Mandatory Lock-Up Periods Data from Korea Securities Depository

We discuss ways of finding alpha with the end of mandatory lock-up periods data from Korea Securities Depository (KSD) which comes out at the end...

Douglas Kim

LG Energy Solution: End of 6 Months Lock-Up Period & Valuation Sensitivity Analysis

Our base case valuation LG Energy Solution is implied market cap of 75 trillion won or target price of 319,089 won, representing 25% below current...

Douglas Kim

Shorting Trend Projections on KOSPI 200 Additions

This post examines the shorting patterns for the KOSPI 200 additions at the last rebalancing and argues the same patterns will likely repeat for...

Sanghyun Park

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance: Float Changes, Flows & Trades

There are significant flows and impact on some stocks that have float changes at the upcoming KOSPI2 rebalance. With over 5 days ADV to buy,...

Brian Freitas

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