Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Just over halfway through the review period for the June rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a>, there could be 10 constituent changes.</li>
<li>The estimated impact on the potential inclusions ranges from 0.03-3.6 days of ADV while the impact on the potential deletions varies from 0.8-4.3 days of ADV.</li>
<li>The list of forecast adds and deletes has been fairly stable over the last month. The forecast adds have run up at a blistering pace and outperformed the forecast deletes.</li>
</ul>


Just over halfway through the review period for the June rebalance of the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX), there could be 10 constituent changes.
The estimated impact on the potential inclusions ranges from 0.03-3.6 days of ADV while the impact on the potential deletions varies from 0.8-4.3 days of ADV.
The list of forecast adds and deletes has been fairly stable over the last month. The forecast adds have run up at a blistering pace and outperformed the forecast deletes.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: 10 Changes a Side; Strong Outperformance

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Capital Markets

HD Hyundai Marine Solution  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we review the share price performances of the top 13 IPOs (in terms of market cap) in Korea in the past 8 months. </li>
<li>We review the the share price performances over different time periods (1 day, 1 week,  and 1 month). We also analyze the demand ratios and lock-up periods of the IPOs. </li>
<li>On average, 12.7% of the IPO shares are under lockup periods for the 13 companies listed below. HD Hyundai Marine Solution IPO has 45.8% of shares under lock-up.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we review the share price performances of the top 13 IPOs (in terms of market cap) in Korea in the past 8 months. 
We review the the share price performances over different time periods (1 day, 1 week,  and 1 month). We also analyze the demand ratios and lock-up periods of the IPOs. 
On average, 12.7% of the IPO shares are under lockup periods for the 13 companies listed below. HD Hyundai Marine Solution IPO has 45.8% of shares under lock-up.


A Review of Post IPO Price Performance of Top 13 IPOs in Korea Past 8 Months

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>LS Materials completed its 15-day review but hasn't been announced for fast entry, likely due to KRX's Korean document disclosing the effective date starting February 1, 2024.</li>
<li>LS Materials will be in the June rebalancing, having not met the 6-month listing requirement for the June review, thus subject to the special entry rule.</li>
<li>Hyundai Hyms, surging 300% from IPO, ranks 58th by market cap, poised for KOSDAQ 150 entry. If successful, Unitest will be removed.</li>
</ul>


LS Materials completed its 15-day review but hasn't been announced for fast entry, likely due to KRX's Korean document disclosing the effective date starting February 1, 2024.
LS Materials will be in the June rebalancing, having not met the 6-month listing requirement for the June review, thus subject to the special entry rule.
Hyundai Hyms, surging 300% from IPO, ranks 58th by market cap, poised for KOSDAQ 150 entry. If successful, Unitest will be removed.


Clarifying KOSDAQ 150 Fast Entry Confusions: LS Materials & Hyundai Hyms

<ul>
<li>Hyundai Hyms reported excellent IPO bookbuilding results. IPO price has been determined at 7,300 won per share, which is 16% higher than the high end of the IPO price range.</li>
<li>A total of 2,099 institutional investors participated in this IPO book building. The demand ratio was 681 to 1. Hyundai Hyms IPO will start trading on 26 January.</li>
<li>Given the solid upside, we expect investors to push up the share price above the high end of our IPO sensitivity analysis (9,092 won) in the first day of trading. </li>
</ul>


Hyundai Hyms reported excellent IPO bookbuilding results. IPO price has been determined at 7,300 won per share, which is 16% higher than the high end of the IPO price range.
A total of 2,099 institutional investors participated in this IPO book building. The demand ratio was 681 to 1. Hyundai Hyms IPO will start trading on 26 January.
Given the solid upside, we expect investors to push up the share price above the high end of our IPO sensitivity analysis (9,092 won) in the first day of trading. 


Hyundai Hyms IPO Bookbuilding Results Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our base case valuation of Hyundai Hyms is implied target price of 8,025 won per share, which is 27% higher than the high end of the IPO price range. </li>
<li>We believe Hyundai Hyms' valuation premium to the comps is appropriate due to much stronger operating profit growth and its strong relationships with HD Hyundai Heavy Industries.</li>
<li>Hyundai Hyms's main business includes shipbuilding equipment and related services. The company manufactures a wide variety of items necessary for ship construction, such as ship unit blocks and piping manufacturing.</li>
</ul>


Our base case valuation of Hyundai Hyms is implied target price of 8,025 won per share, which is 27% higher than the high end of the IPO price range. 
We believe Hyundai Hyms' valuation premium to the comps is appropriate due to much stronger operating profit growth and its strong relationships with HD Hyundai Heavy Industries.
Hyundai Hyms's main business includes shipbuilding equipment and related services. The company manufactures a wide variety of items necessary for ship construction, such as ship unit blocks and piping manufacturing.


South Korea

Hyundai Hyms Co., Ltd. manufactures and distributes shipbuilding components. The Company produces fore blocks, aft blocks, ship pipes and steel outfittings, steel pretreatment, section cutting and built up, and other related products. Hyundai Hyms also produces gas generators.

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Hyundai Hyms (460930 KS)

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: 10 Changes a Side; Strong Outperformance

There could be 10 changes for the index in June. The inclusion of two names depends on the index committee. The forecast adds have run up strongly...

Brian Freitas

A Review of Post IPO Price Performance of Top 13 IPOs in Korea Past 8 Months

In this insight, we review the share price performances of the top 13 IPOs (in terms of market cap) in Korea in the past 8 months. We also analyze...

Douglas Kim

Clarifying KOSDAQ 150 Fast Entry Confusions: LS Materials & Hyundai Hyms

This post investigates the complexities of the newly introduced KOSDAQ 150 fast entry rules, addressing the ambiguity surrounding recent IPOs, LS...

Sanghyun Park

Hyundai Hyms IPO Bookbuilding Results Analysis

Hyundai Hyms reported excellent IPO bookbuilding results. IPO price has been determined at 7,300 won per share, which is 16% higher than the high...

Douglas Kim

Hyundai Hyms IPO Valuation Analysis

We believe Hyundai Hyms' valuation premium to the comps is appropriate due to much stronger operating profit growth and its strong relationships...

Douglas Kim

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