Asia and Global Semiconductor and Tech Research

Andrew Lu

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Tesla is facing a dilemma whether to aggressively cut price to boost shipment but lose margins or to keep price stable with a more moderated shipment growth like 10-20% y/y. </li>
<li>Three challenges ahead: 1. Collapsing margin vs. rising margin for key competitors? 2. Cybertruck is selling at a loss, more margin downside? 3. Valuation reset for lower sales CAGR? </li>
<li>Cautious on Tesla as its sales/earnings CAGR is falling below 20% with a rich valuation until we see cost cut on Cybertruck, FSD AI breakthrough, and low price model introduction.</li>
</ul>


Tesla is facing a dilemma whether to aggressively cut price to boost shipment but lose margins or to keep price stable with a more moderated shipment growth like 10-20% y/y. 
Three challenges ahead: 1. Collapsing margin vs. rising margin for key competitors? 2. Cybertruck is selling at a loss, more margin downside? 3. Valuation reset for lower sales CAGR? 
Cautious on Tesla as its sales/earnings CAGR is falling below 20% with a rich valuation until we see cost cut on Cybertruck, FSD AI breakthrough, and low price model introduction.


Tesla (TSLA) No Longer Prevails, a Dilemma and Touch Challenges Ahead

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<ul>
<li>The fact that Tesla Korea is losing its market share significantly in Korea portends increased challenges for Tesla Motors on a global basis. </li>
<li>The number of new Tesla vehicles registered in Korea was 1,303 units in 1Q 2023, down 52% YoY. </li>
<li>In this insight, we provide three major reasons for Tesla's market share losses in Korea. We also provide Tesla Korea's 2022 results analysis.</li>
</ul>


The fact that Tesla Korea is losing its market share significantly in Korea portends increased challenges for Tesla Motors on a global basis. 
The number of new Tesla vehicles registered in Korea was 1,303 units in 1Q 2023, down 52% YoY. 
In this insight, we provide three major reasons for Tesla's market share losses in Korea. We also provide Tesla Korea's 2022 results analysis.


Market Share Loss for Tesla Korea Accelerating in 1Q 2023

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Beijing Sinohytec   / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-sinohytec-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34068:1" rel="noopener">Beijing Sinohytec Co Ltd (688339 CH)</a> (BSH) is looking to raise up to US$400m via its H-shares listing.</li>
<li>BSH provides fuel cell systems in China, focusing on the design, development and manufacture of fuel cell systems and stacks mainly for commercial vehicles, such as buses and trucks.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the company’s past performance and other deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Beijing Sinohytec Co Ltd (688339 CH) (BSH) is looking to raise up to US$400m via its H-shares listing.
BSH provides fuel cell systems in China, focusing on the design, development and manufacture of fuel cell systems and stacks mainly for commercial vehicles, such as buses and trucks.
In this note, we talk about the company’s past performance and other deal dynamics.


Beijing SinoHytec A/H Listing - A Whole Lot of Promise but Not Much Earnings to Show for It Yet

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Nov 28th. The aggregated holding was USD803.0bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD5,160mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in SAMSUNG BIOLOGICS, Samsung Electronics, NAVER, HD HYUNDAI HEAVY INDUSTRIES, KEPCO.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Nov 28th. The aggregated holding was USD803.0bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD5,160mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in SAMSUNG BIOLOGICS, Samsung Electronics, NAVER, HD HYUNDAI HEAVY INDUSTRIES, KEPCO.


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Nov 28th): SAMSUNG BIOLOGICS, Samsung Electronics, NAVER

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
Highlights: Currently twelve pair trade opportunities across four markets and five sectors persist.</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

Highlights: Currently twelve pair trade opportunities across four markets and five sectors persist.

Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (1 Dec)

South Korea

Hyundai Motor Company manufactures, sells, and exports passenger cars, trucks, and commercial vehicles. The Company also sells various auto parts and operates auto repair service centers throughout South Korea. Hyundai Motor provides financial services through its subsidiaries.

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Hyundai Motor (005385 KS)

Tesla (TSLA) No Longer Prevails, a Dilemma and Touch Challenges Ahead

Tesla No Longer Prevails, a Dilemma and Three Touch Challenges Ahead: 1. Collapsing margin vs. rising margin for peers; 2. Cybertruck is selling at...

Andrew Lu

Beijing SinoHytec A/H Listing - A Whole Lot of Promise but Not Much Earnings to Show for It Yet

Beijing Sinohytec Co Ltd (688339 CH) (BSH) is looking to raise up to US$400m via its H-shares listing. In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Nov 28th): SAMSUNG BIOLOGICS, Samsung Electronics, NAVER

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in SAMSUNG BIOLOGICS, Samsung Electronics, NAVER, HD...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (1 Dec)

Statistical methodology identifies twelve pair trade opportunities across four markets and five sectors, offering unique insights into relative...

Gaudenz Schneider

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Tesla (TSLA) No Longer Prevails, a Dilemma and Touch Challenges Ahead

Tesla No Longer Prevails, a Dilemma and Three Touch Challenges Ahead: 1. Collapsing margin vs. rising margin for peers; 2. Cybertruck is selling at...

Andrew Lu

Market Share Loss for Tesla Korea Accelerating in 1Q 2023

In this insight, we provide three major reasons for Tesla's market share losses in Korea. We also provide Tesla Korea's 2022 results analysis.

Douglas Kim

Beijing SinoHytec A/H Listing - A Whole Lot of Promise but Not Much Earnings to Show for It Yet

Beijing Sinohytec Co Ltd (688339 CH) (BSH) is looking to raise up to US$400m via its H-shares listing. In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Nov 28th): SAMSUNG BIOLOGICS, Samsung Electronics, NAVER

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in SAMSUNG BIOLOGICS, Samsung Electronics, NAVER, HD...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (1 Dec)

​Statistical methodology identifies twelve pair trade opportunities across four markets and five sectors, offering unique insights into relative...

Gaudenz Schneider

Statistical methodology identifies twelve pair trade opportunities across four markets and five sectors, offering unique insights into relative...