Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Korea's first ATS goes live on March 4, starting with 10 tickers based on liquidity and market cap, expanding to 800 over time. First 10 revealed next week.</li>
<li>KRX vs ATS arbitrage will be key, with execution speed differences causing price dislocations, especially for KOSPI 200 stocks. Lower ATS fees may shift institutional flow, increasing arb opportunities.</li>
<li>On top of that, lack of market makers could widen bid-ask spreads, creating opportunities for spread scalpers to profit.</li>
</ul>


Korea's first ATS goes live on March 4, starting with 10 tickers based on liquidity and market cap, expanding to 800 over time. First 10 revealed next week.
KRX vs ATS arbitrage will be key, with execution speed differences causing price dislocations, especially for KOSPI 200 stocks. Lower ATS fees may shift institutional flow, increasing arb opportunities.
On top of that, lack of market makers could widen bid-ask spreads, creating opportunities for spread scalpers to profit.


Korea’s First ATS Launching March 4: Arb Opportunities to Watch

<ul>
<li>Major banks, Hyundai Motor, POSCO Holdings, and companies like HMM, which updated their articles, will likely set dividend record dates pre-AGM in the mid-to-late February window.</li>
<li>Track backwardation in March futures for mispricings. Companies will likely follow last year’s playbook: AGM in mid-to-late March, record date 3–4 weeks prior, announcement 2 weeks ahead.</li>
<li>Opportunity lies in the March futures basis spread between February contract and record date announcement. Watch those for potential dividend hikes and futures mispricing ahead.</li>
</ul>


Major banks, Hyundai Motor, POSCO Holdings, and companies like HMM, which updated their articles, will likely set dividend record dates pre-AGM in the mid-to-late February window.
Track backwardation in March futures for mispricings. Companies will likely follow last year’s playbook: AGM in mid-to-late March, record date 3–4 weeks prior, announcement 2 weeks ahead.
Opportunity lies in the March futures basis spread between February contract and record date announcement. Watch those for potential dividend hikes and futures mispricing ahead.


Key Info We Need to Know About Boosting Predictability of Dividend Record Dates in Korea

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

<ul>
<li>A potential merger between Nissan Motor and Honda Motor would create the third largest auto group in the world.</li>
<li>If this merger is successful, it could have a short term positive impact on Hyundai Motor since it could result in a reduction of overlapping sales/marketing and production of Nissan.</li>
<li>However, a merger of Honda and Nissan could negatively impact Hyundai Motor over the long term because the merged entity could produce more high quality, price competitive vehicles.</li>
</ul>


A potential merger between Nissan Motor and Honda Motor would create the third largest auto group in the world.
If this merger is successful, it could have a short term positive impact on Hyundai Motor since it could result in a reduction of overlapping sales/marketing and production of Nissan.
However, a merger of Honda and Nissan could negatively impact Hyundai Motor over the long term because the merged entity could produce more high quality, price competitive vehicles.


A Potential Merger Between Honda and Nissan - Impact on Hyundai Motor and Kia Corp

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>The global auto industry faces significant tariff exposure. Option implied volatility offers a forward-looking assessment of risk.</li>
<li>Chinese car makers started to increase in implied volatility more than the other markets at the beginning of February. They now show the highest risk.</li>
<li>Recent implied volatility trends, asymmetric pricing (skew), and the term structure all seem to indicate that the Indian auto sector is the least exposed to international trade relations.</li>
</ul>


The global auto industry faces significant tariff exposure. Option implied volatility offers a forward-looking assessment of risk.
Chinese car makers started to increase in implied volatility more than the other markets at the beginning of February. They now show the highest risk.
Recent implied volatility trends, asymmetric pricing (skew), and the term structure all seem to indicate that the Indian auto sector is the least exposed to international trade relations.


EQD | Volatile Roads: Unveiling Risk in the Asian Auto Industry Through the Options Market

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Global fund positioning in the Motor Vehicles sector has entered a fresh decline following a revival between 2020 and 2023.</li>
<li>A record-low 10% of active Global funds are now overweight, with the sector holding an average underweight of -1.41%, making it the 4th largest industry-level underweight among active managers.</li>
<li>Long-Term declines in Japanese autos have hit new lows, while German and US autos have drifted lower since 2023.</li>
</ul>


Global fund positioning in the Motor Vehicles sector has entered a fresh decline following a revival between 2020 and 2023.
A record-low 10% of active Global funds are now overweight, with the sector holding an average underweight of -1.41%, making it the 4th largest industry-level underweight among active managers.
Long-Term declines in Japanese autos have hit new lows, while German and US autos have drifted lower since 2023.


Global Autos:  Falling Investor Confidence

South Korea

Hyundai Motor Company manufactures, sells, and exports passenger cars, trucks, and commercial vehicles. The Company also sells various auto parts and operates auto repair service centers throughout South Korea. Hyundai Motor provides financial services through its subsidiaries.

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Hyundai Motor (005385 KS)

Korea’s First ATS Launching March 4: Arb Opportunities to Watch

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Sanghyun Park

Key Info We Need to Know About Boosting Predictability of Dividend Record Dates in Korea

This post covers the essentials for improving the predictability of dividend record dates in Korea, providing key information for navigating...

Sanghyun Park

A Potential Merger Between Honda and Nissan - Impact on Hyundai Motor and Kia Corp

In this insight, we discuss the impact of a potential merger between Nissan Motor and Honda Motor which would create one of the largest auto groups...

Douglas Kim

EQD | Volatile Roads: Unveiling Risk in the Asian Auto Industry Through the Options Market

Global auto industry faces tariff risk. The option market assigns the highest risk to Chinese car makers. The Indian auto sector appears least...

Gaudenz Schneider

Global Autos: Falling Investor Confidence

Tesla overtakes Stellantis as the most widely held Auto company. General Motors is ahead of the almost uninvestable Ford Motor Co.

Steven Holden

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Korea’s First ATS Launching March 4: Arb Opportunities to Watch

NextTrade just unveiled its first batch of stocks for the March 4 ATS launch: Lotte Shopping, Cheil Worldwide, Kolon Ind, LG Uplus, S-Oil, Golfzon,...

Sanghyun Park

Key Info We Need to Know About Boosting Predictability of Dividend Record Dates in Korea

This post covers the essentials for improving the predictability of dividend record dates in Korea, providing key information for navigating...

Sanghyun Park

A Potential Merger Between Honda and Nissan - Impact on Hyundai Motor and Kia Corp

In this insight, we discuss the impact of a potential merger between Nissan Motor and Honda Motor which would create one of the largest auto groups...

Douglas Kim

EQD | Volatile Roads: Unveiling Risk in the Asian Auto Industry Through the Options Market

​Global auto industry faces tariff risk. The option market assigns the highest risk to Chinese car makers. The Indian auto sector appears least...

Gaudenz Schneider

Global Autos: Falling Investor Confidence

Tesla overtakes Stellantis as the most widely held Auto company. General Motors is ahead of the almost uninvestable Ford Motor Co.

Steven Holden

Global auto industry faces tariff risk. The option market assigns the highest risk to Chinese car makers. The Indian auto sector appears least...