Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Nov 28th. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD2.2bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Intouch, Airports of Thailand, PTT GlobalChem, CP Foods, Advanced Info Service, Airports Of Thailand, Advanced Info Service, Cp Foods.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Nov 28th. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD2.2bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Intouch, Airports of Thailand, PTT GlobalChem, CP Foods, Advanced Info Service, Airports Of Thailand, Advanced Info Service, Cp Foods.


Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Nov 28th): Intouch, Airports of Thailand, PTT GlobalChem, CP Foods

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Delta Electronics (Thailand) / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>With a third of the review period yet to go, we forecast 2 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stock-exchange-of-thailand-set-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31493:1" rel="noopener">Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX)</a> in December.</li>
<li>Capping changes for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/delta-electronics-thailand-pcl-98806732-8ac4-42b2-a565-ba32673d1e5a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20912:1" rel="noopener">Delta Electronics Thailand (DELTA TB)</a> will result in big passive selling in the stock and funding inflows for the other index constituents.</li>
<li>The forecast adds have moved higher and outperformed the index while the forecast deletes have drifted lower over the last 6 months.</li>
</ul>


With a third of the review period yet to go, we forecast 2 changes for the Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX) in December.
Capping changes for Delta Electronics Thailand (DELTA TB) will result in big passive selling in the stock and funding inflows for the other index constituents.
The forecast adds have moved higher and outperformed the index while the forecast deletes have drifted lower over the last 6 months.


SET50 Index Rebalance Preview: Two Changes in Dec, Big DELTA Capping

Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>KTX maintains a Neutral rating and raises our fair value to Bt14.80 (from Bt13.61), based on the earnings yield method with a required return of 8.0%, implying a target PER of 12.6x.</li><li>We maintain a Neutral view following Friday’s analyst meeting. 3Q25E earnings are expected to soften YoY due to the high base. However, they should improve QoQ, supported by a higher sales mix of premium products, despite headwinds from the stronger baht.</li><li>The company’s 3Q25E sales appear to outperform Thailand’s overall export trend, likely supported by premium product sales. Our study shows that the company’s quarterly revenue has a statistically significant correlation of 0.82 with the reported export value of dog and cat food (with a one-month lag).</li></ul>

KTX maintains a Neutral rating and raises our fair value to Bt14.80 (from Bt13.61), based on the earnings yield method with a required return of 8.0%, implying a target PER of 12.6x.We maintain a Neutral view following Friday’s analyst meeting. 3Q25E earnings are expected to soften YoY due to the high base. However, they should improve QoQ, supported by a higher sales mix of premium products, despite headwinds from the stronger baht.The company’s 3Q25E sales appear to outperform Thailand’s overall export trend, likely supported by premium product sales. Our study shows that the company’s quarterly revenue has a statistically significant correlation of 0.82 with the reported export value of dog and cat food (with a one-month lag).

I-TAIL CORPORATION Plc. (ITC): 3Q25E Earnings Set To Drop YoY But Rise QoQ

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>The SET50 index tracks the performance of the top 50 largest and most liquid names listed on the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET).</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at our capping flow expectations for the September 2025 index rebal event.</li>
<li>Separately, we expect at least two index changes during the next index review in December 2025.</li>
</ul>


The SET50 index tracks the performance of the top 50 largest and most liquid names listed on the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET).
In this insight, we take a look at our capping flow expectations for the September 2025 index rebal event.
Separately, we expect at least two index changes during the next index review in December 2025.


Quiddity Leaderboard SET50 Dec25: Delta Capping in Sep25; At Least Two Index Changes Likely in Dec25

<ul>
<li>The SET50 index tracks the performance of the top 50 largest and most liquid names listed on the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET).</li>
<li>In this insight, we have presented our latest capping flow expectations for the September 2025 index rebal event.</li>
<li>Separately, we expect at least one index change during the next index review in December 2025.</li>
</ul>


The SET50 index tracks the performance of the top 50 largest and most liquid names listed on the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET).
In this insight, we have presented our latest capping flow expectations for the September 2025 index rebal event.
Separately, we expect at least one index change during the next index review in December 2025.


Quiddity Leaderboard SET50 Dec25: Capping for Delta in September; Index Changes Likely in December

Thailand

i-Tail Corporation Public Company Limited manufactures, imports, and distributes pet food products, including wet and dry food for cats and dogs, treats, and kidney-friendly options. The company sells its products under brands such as Bellotta, Marvo, ChangeTer, Calico Bay, and Paramount. It was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.

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i-Tail Corporation (ITC TB)

Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Nov 28th): Intouch, Airports of Thailand, PTT GlobalChem, CP Foods

We analyzed SET short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Intouch (INTUCH TB), Airports of Thailand (AOT...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

SET50 Index Rebalance Preview: Two Changes in Dec, Big DELTA Capping

There should be 2 constituent changes for the SET50 in Dec. There will also be big selling in DELTA to cap the stock at 10% index weight. The adds...

Brian Freitas

I-TAIL CORPORATION Plc. (ITC): 3Q25E Earnings Set To Drop YoY But Rise QoQ

KTX maintains a Neutral rating and raises our fair value to Bt14.80 (from Bt13.61), based on the earnings yield method with a required return of...

Krungthai XSpring

Quiddity Leaderboard SET50 Dec25: Delta Capping in Sep25; At Least Two Index Changes Likely in Dec25

There are currently two expected ADDs and DELs for Dec 2025. However, there are couple of potential ADDs just below line which could trigger more...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard SET50 Dec25: Capping for Delta in September; Index Changes Likely in December

We expect one ADD and one DEL during the December 2025 index review based on the latest data. However, there could be more changes depending on...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

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