Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 150 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 95.0% as of Jan 3rd.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -2.1ppt week-on-week, led by information technology, utilities, materials and offset by consumer staples, communication services.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for TEC, CanSinoBIO, SD GOLD, CRRC.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 150 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 95.0% as of Jan 3rd.
The average A-H premium changed by -2.1ppt week-on-week, led by information technology, utilities, materials and offset by consumer staples, communication services.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for TEC, CanSinoBIO, SD GOLD, CRRC.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jan 3rd):TEC, CanSinoBIO, SD GOLD, CRRC.

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into CCB, Alibaba, China Mobile, ICBC, ABC.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.
We highlight inflows into CCB, Alibaba, China Mobile, ICBC, ABC.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (December): $10.7bn Inflows Led by Banks

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beigene-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27352:1" rel="noopener">BeiGene</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zto-express-cayman-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33488:1" rel="noopener">ZTO Express Cayman</a> are potential inclusions for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng China Enterprises Index</a> in March while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sino-biopharmaceutical" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:230:1" rel="noopener">Sino Biopharmaceutical</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-ning-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6047:1" rel="noopener">Li Ning</a> are potential deletions.</li>
<li>There is a lower probability of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yum-china-holdings-inc-0533692c-6dae-4014-baa1-ed0b050638f2" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29259:1" rel="noopener">Yum China Holdings (9987 HK)</a> replacing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sunny-optical-technology-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13363:1" rel="noopener">Sunny Optical Technology Group (2382 HK)</a> in the index in March.</li>
<li>There could be a few more index inclusions for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zto-express-cayman-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33488:1" rel="noopener">ZTO Express Cayman</a> in March and the stock could outperform its peers over the next few months.</li>
</ul>



BeiGene and ZTO Express Cayman are potential inclusions for the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index in March while Sino Biopharmaceutical and Li Ning are potential deletions.
There is a lower probability of Yum China Holdings (9987 HK) replacing Sunny Optical Technology Group (2382 HK) in the index in March.
There could be a few more index inclusions for ZTO Express Cayman in March and the stock could outperform its peers over the next few months.


HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: Increase in Velocity Could Lead to 3 Changes in March

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Top holdings remain unchanged: TSMC, Samsung Electronics, and Tencent are almost universally owned. TSMC hits record weights but active funds sell into strength as benchmark weights surpass 10%</li>
<li>Hon Hai, Hyundai Motor, and Singtel lead recoveries from prolonged declines. Baidu Inc. and Kweichow Moutai see sharp ownership drops.</li>
<li>Momentum leaders include Accton Technology, CATL, and KE Holdings. By contrast, Axis Bank, PDD, and Reliance face stalling ownership.</li>
</ul>


Top holdings remain unchanged: TSMC, Samsung Electronics, and Tencent are almost universally owned. TSMC hits record weights but active funds sell into strength as benchmark weights surpass 10%
Hon Hai, Hyundai Motor, and Singtel lead recoveries from prolonged declines. Baidu Inc. and Kweichow Moutai see sharp ownership drops.
Momentum leaders include Accton Technology, CATL, and KE Holdings. By contrast, Axis Bank, PDD, and Reliance face stalling ownership.


Asia Ex-Japan Funds:  Stock Positioning Update

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of December 27th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Tencent, SMIC, China Mobile, ICBC, Weimob, Alibaba.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of December 27th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Tencent, SMIC, China Mobile, ICBC, Weimob, Alibaba.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Dec 27th): Tencent, SMIC, China Mobile, ICBC, Weimob, Alibaba

China

Industrial and Commercial Bank of China Ltd provides a broad range of personal and corporate commercial banking services all over China.  The Bank's businesses include deposit, loan, credit card, fund underwriting and trust, and foreign currency settlement and trading.

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Ind & Comm Bk Of China (A) (601398 CH)

A-H Premium Weekly (Jan 3rd):TEC, CanSinoBIO, SD GOLD, CRRC.

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for TEC (688187 CH/3898 HK), CanSinoBIO (688185 CH/6185 HK), SD...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Connect Flows (December): $10.7bn Inflows Led by Banks

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for December and highlighted flows for CCB, Alibaba, China Mobile, ICBC, ABC, Meituan, Kuaishou, Wuxi...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: Increase in Velocity Could Lead to 3 Changes in March

There could be up to 3 changes for the HSCEI in March. Estimated one-way turnover is 5.24% resulting in a round-trip trade of HK$5,276m (US$680m)....

Brian Freitas

Asia Ex-Japan Funds: Stock Positioning Update

Top holdings remain unchanged: TSMC, Samsung Electronics, and Tencent are almost universally owned. TSMC hits record weights but active funds sell...

Steven Holden

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Dec 27th): Tencent, SMIC, China Mobile, ICBC, Weimob, Alibaba

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Tencent, SMIC, China Mobile, ICBC, Weimob, Alibaba.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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