Global Editor, Base Oil News

Iain Pocock

Global Editor

Global Base Oils and Lubricants Markets

Base Oil News

Base Oil News focuses on the interplay between fundamentals and prices in the global base oils and lubricants markets.

Baseoilnews.com combines daily, weekly and monthly base oils and lubes fundamentals data from every region of the world to build the most comprehensive and up-to-date global picture of the state of the market.

The data and analysis provide key tools to understand current market developments and opportunities and to anticipate how the market is likely to behave in the coming months.

Base oils producers, lube blenders and consumers can then better plan accordingly.

Baseoilnews.com analyses and publishes market news and data every day as it breaks.

Commodities

<ul><li>Global base oil supply exceeded demand by the smallest December margin in three years, leaving the market with less buffer as Middle East disruption spreads</li><li>Global supply reached a four-year high in 2025, but expectations of a 2026 surplus have reversed as the conflict disrupts shipments and threatens output</li><li>China’s elevated February output cushions the market against supply shocks, but lower Group III production leaves that segment tighter</li></ul>

Global base oil supply exceeded demand by the smallest December margin in three years, leaving the market with less buffer as Middle East disruption spreadsGlobal supply reached a four-year high in 2025, but expectations of a 2026 surplus have reversed as the conflict disrupts shipments and threatens outputChina’s elevated February output cushions the market against supply shocks, but lower Group III production leaves that segment tighter

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 13 Mar '26

<ul><li>Large Group II cargo with combination of light and heavy grades set to load from Taiwan this week, with India the likely destination.</li><li>Cargo loadings from Taiwan show signs of rising so far in March vs February, but remain well below December and January levels.</li><li>Cargo of Group III base oils loaded from Indonesia in early-March before heading to Europe, set to arrive around mid-April.</li></ul>

Large Group II cargo with combination of light and heavy grades set to load from Taiwan this week, with India the likely destination.Cargo loadings from Taiwan show signs of rising so far in March vs February, but remain well below December and January levels.Cargo of Group III base oils loaded from Indonesia in early-March before heading to Europe, set to arrive around mid-April.

Global Base Oils Cargo Flows: Week To 13 March

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>
India's domestic gas supply collapsed after the US-Iran war shut the Strait of Hormuz, cutting 85-90% of natural gas imports and triggering emergency government rationing.</li>
<li>
Ceramics, QSR chains, food delivery, and gig workers face severe disruption; induction appliance makers and domestic-focused CGD operators emerge as clear structural beneficiaries.</li>
<li>
 Duration determines the damage: a short shock(Scenario-1) is a blip, but a prolonged crisis(Scenario-3) permanently rewires India's cooking fuel mix and equity positioning across sectors.</li>
</ul>



India's domestic gas supply collapsed after the US-Iran war shut the Strait of Hormuz, cutting 85-90% of natural gas imports and triggering emergency government rationing.

Ceramics, QSR chains, food delivery, and gig workers face severe disruption; induction appliance makers and domestic-focused CGD operators emerge as clear structural beneficiaries.

 Duration determines the damage: a short shock(Scenario-1) is a blip, but a prolonged crisis(Scenario-3) permanently rewires India's cooking fuel mix and equity positioning across sectors.


India's LPG Shock: Mapping the Multiplier Effect Across 10 Sectors

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

<ul>
<li>Brent crude has surged 78% in nine days from ~$67/bbl to above $110/bbl as the US-Israel-Iran war blocks Strait of Hormuz shipping, the first such disruption since 1980.</li>
<li>India, importing 85-90% of crude needs, faces a simultaneous hit to CPI (+55-80bp), GDP (-15 to -27bp), current account deficit (widening 0.5% of GDP per $10/bbl), a rupee (92/$). </li>
<li>Markets have begun pricing geopolitical risk but have not fully absorbed the macro cascade. With Nifty down 9% from peak and India VIX at 19+, the correction is incomplete.</li>
</ul>


Brent crude has surged 78% in nine days from ~$67/bbl to above $110/bbl as the US-Israel-Iran war blocks Strait of Hormuz shipping, the first such disruption since 1980.
India, importing 85-90% of crude needs, faces a simultaneous hit to CPI (+55-80bp), GDP (-15 to -27bp), current account deficit (widening 0.5% of GDP per $10/bbl), a rupee (92/$). 
Markets have begun pricing geopolitical risk but have not fully absorbed the macro cascade. With Nifty down 9% from peak and India VIX at 19+, the correction is incomplete.


Black Oil, Red Markets: How Rising Crude Prices Impacting Indian Economy & Markets

<ul><li>Asia's January base oils exports rise to a 17-month high, as firm demand limits surplus build-up but leaves the market exposed to Middle East supply disruption.</li><li>South Korea's output hits a three-year high, building stocks ahead of plant maintenance and potential crude supply disruption.</li><li>Global Group III imports from the Middle East hit a six-year high in 2025, deepening reliance on supply lines now facing acute disruption.</li></ul>

Asia's January base oils exports rise to a 17-month high, as firm demand limits surplus build-up but leaves the market exposed to Middle East supply disruption.South Korea's output hits a three-year high, building stocks ahead of plant maintenance and potential crude supply disruption.Global Group III imports from the Middle East hit a six-year high in 2025, deepening reliance on supply lines now facing acute disruption.

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 6 Mar '26

India

Indian Oil Corporation Limited explores for and refines crude oil, in addition to manufacturing petroleum & petroleum products. The Company's products include lubricating oils, liquid petroleum gas, aviation turbine fuels, greases, wax, bitumen and asphalt. Indian Oil Corporation has retail outlets throughout India. The greatest majority shareholding in the Company is held by Indian Government.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Indian Oil Corp (IOCL IN)

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 13 Mar '26

Global base oil supply exceeded demand by the smallest December margin in three years, leaving the market with less buffer as Middle East...

Base Oil News

Global Base Oils Cargo Flows: Week To 13 March

Large Group II cargo with combination of light and heavy grades set to load from Taiwan this week, with India the likely destination. Cargo...

Base Oil News

India's LPG Shock: Mapping the Multiplier Effect Across 10 Sectors

India's gas supply crisis post US-Iran war leads to rationing, disrupting various industries; duration of crisis crucial for long-term impact and...

Nimish Maheshwari

Black Oil, Red Markets: How Rising Crude Prices Impacting Indian Economy & Markets

Brent crude surges due to US-Israel-Iran tensions, impacting India's economy and stock market. Markets not fully pricing in macro risks.

Sudarshan Bhandari

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 6 Mar '26

Asia's January base oils exports rise to a 17-month high, as firm demand limits surplus build-up but leaves the market exposed to Middle East...

Base Oil News

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 13 Mar '26

Global base oil supply exceeded demand by the smallest December margin in three years, leaving the market with less buffer as Middle East...

Base Oil News

Global Base Oils Cargo Flows: Week To 13 March

Large Group II cargo with combination of light and heavy grades set to load from Taiwan this week, with India the likely destination. Cargo...

Base Oil News

India's LPG Shock: Mapping the Multiplier Effect Across 10 Sectors

​India's gas supply crisis post US-Iran war leads to rationing, disrupting various industries; duration of crisis crucial for long-term impact and...

Nimish Maheshwari

Black Oil, Red Markets: How Rising Crude Prices Impacting Indian Economy & Markets

​Brent crude surges due to US-Israel-Iran tensions, impacting India's economy and stock market. Markets not fully pricing in macro risks.

Sudarshan Bhandari

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 6 Mar '26

Asia's January base oils exports rise to a 17-month high, as firm demand limits surplus build-up but leaves the market exposed to Middle East...

Base Oil News

India's gas supply crisis post US-Iran war leads to rationing, disrupting various industries; duration of crisis crucial for long-term impact and...

Brent crude surges due to US-Israel-Iran tensions, impacting India's economy and stock market. Markets not fully pricing in macro risks.