External broker reports(aggregated public sources), MNC Sekuritas

MNC Sekuritas

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

MNC Sekuritas, the first wholly-owned subsidiary established by the Group back in 1989, provides a complete range of services, from equity, fixed income, investment banking to providing research to optimize clients’ investments. Thus far, the company has more than 140 points of sales with over 100,000 clients. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>CCI slipped to 117.5 in May-25 (vs 121.7 in Apr-25), marking the lowest point since Oct-22.</li><li>This continued downtrend suggests that households remain wary of economic uncertainties, particularly with muted wage growth and rising cost of living.</li><li>The Current Economic Index declined to 106.0 (vs 113.7 in Apr-25) and Consumer Expectation Index dropped to 129.0 in May-25 (vs 129.8 in Apr-25), with income expectation slipping to 135.4 and business activity index falling to 127.8. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

CCI slipped to 117.5 in May-25 (vs 121.7 in Apr-25), marking the lowest point since Oct-22.This continued downtrend suggests that households remain wary of economic uncertainties, particularly with muted wage growth and rising cost of living.The Current Economic Index declined to 106.0 (vs 113.7 in Apr-25) and Consumer Expectation Index dropped to 129.0 in May-25 (vs 129.8 in Apr-25), with income expectation slipping to 135.4 and business activity index falling to 127.8. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer Sector Waiting for a Clearer Sign: Between Caution and Catalyst

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), BRI Danareksa Research

BRI Danareksa Research

As a one-stop financial solution with the vision to be the most valuable securities house, BRI Danareksa Sekuritas (BRIDS) has maintained an excellent track record and extensive experience in the capital market as an underwriter, broker, and financial advisor for individual, institutional, foreign and domestic, private and government clients. Established in 1992, PT Danareksa Sekuritas is a securities company that performs activities as a securities broker, underwriter, or arranger and financial advisor.

<ul><li>We expect govt’s economic stimulus and stronger IDR to support purchasing power and Consumer companies’ earnings in 2H25.</li><li>We foresee a decent +6.4%/+5.2% rev/core net profit growth in FY25F, supported by ongoing cost efficiencies to help limit EBIT margin decline.</li><li>Resuming our coverage with an Overweight rating given the resilient sector’s growth outlook. Our top pick is ICBP (Buy, TP Rp14,000).</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We expect govt’s economic stimulus and stronger IDR to support purchasing power and Consumer companies’ earnings in 2H25.We foresee a decent +6.4%/+5.2% rev/core net profit growth in FY25F, supported by ongoing cost efficiencies to help limit EBIT margin decline.Resuming our coverage with an Overweight rating given the resilient sector’s growth outlook. Our top pick is ICBP (Buy, TP Rp14,000).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer: A Laggard Sector with Potential Catalysts to Support Growth; Resuming Coverage with OW

<ul><li>In May25, domestic funds added positions in Metals, Auto and Retailers while trimming Tech, Consumers, and Petrochemicals.</li><li>Banks’ soft earnings may drive further trimming in the sector; catalysts for Metals remain, but positioning is already high in ANTM and INCO. </li><li>JCI remains attractive versus EM peers on growth outlook and valuation; our picks for 2Q-3Q25 are: BBCA, ICBP, ISAT, and CTRA.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

In May25, domestic funds added positions in Metals, Auto and Retailers while trimming Tech, Consumers, and Petrochemicals.Banks’ soft earnings may drive further trimming in the sector; catalysts for Metals remain, but positioning is already high in ANTM and INCO. JCI remains attractive versus EM peers on growth outlook and valuation; our picks for 2Q-3Q25 are: BBCA, ICBP, ISAT, and CTRA.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Equity Strategy: Jun25 Positioning: What to Add if Investors Trim Banks?

Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

GMR Hyderabad International Airport / Credit

<ul>
<li>In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: GMR Hyderabad, China Vanke, Indofood CBP, Pertamina (Persero), Rakuten Group</li>
<li>Treasuries fell, with yields rising yesterday as the market continued to dial back expectations for Fed rate cuts. Fed-dated OIS were pricing in 49 bps of rate cuts in 2025 as of yesterday (vs. 54 bps as of Tuesday).</li>
<li>The yield on the 2Y UST rose 5 bps to 4.05%, while the yield on the 10Y UST expanded 7 bps to 4.54%. Equities edged higher, with the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq up 0.1% and 0.7%, respectively.</li>
</ul>


In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: GMR Hyderabad, China Vanke, Indofood CBP, Pertamina (Persero), Rakuten Group
Treasuries fell, with yields rising yesterday as the market continued to dial back expectations for Fed rate cuts. Fed-dated OIS were pricing in 49 bps of rate cuts in 2025 as of yesterday (vs. 54 bps as of Tuesday).
The yield on the 2Y UST rose 5 bps to 4.05%, while the yield on the 10Y UST expanded 7 bps to 4.54%. Equities edged higher, with the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq up 0.1% and 0.7%, respectively.


ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The Indonesian market has seen a sharp sell-off with a confluence of concerns centred around the execution and implementation of government policy but the fall was mainly driven by retail.</li>
<li>The sell-off does not reflect an underlying deterioration of growth prospects for the economy or indeed earnings, although 4Q2024 results saw a slower performance for some sectors. </li>
<li>The government has already taken note and has determined to take action to reassure investors through policy measures. Valuations have already reached a historically attractive level.</li>
</ul>


The Indonesian market has seen a sharp sell-off with a confluence of concerns centred around the execution and implementation of government policy but the fall was mainly driven by retail.
The sell-off does not reflect an underlying deterioration of growth prospects for the economy or indeed earnings, although 4Q2024 results saw a slower performance for some sectors. 
The government has already taken note and has determined to take action to reassure investors through policy measures. Valuations have already reached a historically attractive level.


CrossASEAN Strategy - Indonesia's Delicate Balance

Indonesia

PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk provides a wide range of food products. The Company is a total food solutions company with operations in all stages of food manufacturing from the production of raw materials and their processing through to consumer products on the retailer's shelf.

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Indofood CBP Sukses (ICBP IJ)

Consumer Sector Waiting for a Clearer Sign: Between Caution and Catalyst

This continued downtrend suggests that households remain wary of economic uncertainties, particularly with muted wage growth and rising cost of...

MNC Sekuritas

Consumer: A Laggard Sector with Potential Catalysts to Support Growth; Resuming Coverage with OW

Resuming our coverage with an Overweight rating given the resilient sector’s growth outlook. Our top pick is ICBP (Buy, TP Rp14,000).

BRI Danareksa Research

Equity Strategy: Jun25 Positioning: What to Add if Investors Trim Banks?

In May25, domestic funds added positions in Metals, Auto and Retailers while trimming Tech, Consumers, and Petrochemicals.

BRI Danareksa Research

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: GMR Hyderabad, China Vanke, Indofood CBP,...

Lucror Analytics

CrossASEAN Strategy - Indonesia's Delicate Balance

The Indonesian market has seen a sharp sell-off with a confluence of concerns centred around the execution and implementation of government policy...

Angus Mackintosh

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