External broker reports(aggregated public sources), BRI Danareksa Research

BRI Danareksa Research

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

As a one-stop financial solution with the vision to be the most valuable securities house, BRI Danareksa Sekuritas (BRIDS) has maintained an excellent track record and extensive experience in the capital market as an underwriter, broker, and financial advisor for individual, institutional, foreign and domestic, private and government clients. Established in 1992, PT Danareksa Sekuritas is a securities company that performs activities as a securities broker, underwriter, or arranger and financial advisor.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We met with the Telecommunications Ministry (Kemkominfo), coming away with positive takeaways for the operators, as the ministry: a) fully supports another merger, b) will supply operators with more frequency spectrum soon, and c) is considering whether to allow operators to charge sharing fees to OTT players using their networks.</li><li>Reiterate our Overweight rating on the sector.</li><li>The ministry fully supports another merger under certain conditions.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We met with the Telecommunications Ministry (Kemkominfo), coming away with positive takeaways for the operators, as the ministry: a) fully supports another merger, b) will supply operators with more frequency spectrum soon, and c) is considering whether to allow operators to charge sharing fees to OTT players using their networks.Reiterate our Overweight rating on the sector.The ministry fully supports another merger under certain conditions.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Telco: Positive KTAs from Our Meeting with Kemkominfo ( OVERWEIGHT)

<ul><li>We met with a CEO, CMO and 2 CFOs from the 3 leading telcos who share some common objectives in driving usage, the payload and increasing ARPU.</li><li>Telkomsel has the upper hand by furnishing abundant data supply to users.</li><li>The common theme for IOH and EXCL to play is the sale-lease back of fiber and some RAN equipment potentially lightening their balance sheets. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We met with a CEO, CMO and 2 CFOs from the 3 leading telcos who share some common objectives in driving usage, the payload and increasing ARPU.Telkomsel has the upper hand by furnishing abundant data supply to users.The common theme for IOH and EXCL to play is the sale-lease back of fiber and some RAN equipment potentially lightening their balance sheets. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Telco: Positive Industry Outlook from Asset-Light Model and Revenue Momentum

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Indonesia's election race is about to begin with the Presidential candidates announcing running mates on 26th October and with campaigns that could boost consumer demand. </li>
<li>The Indonesian economy should see GDP growth above 5% in 2023 and 2024, with inflation already under control at 2.28% in September. FDI remains positive although may slow before elections. </li>
<li>We explore the prospects for different sectors with a positive view on banks, retail, consumer staples, property, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/astra-international-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46:1" rel="noopener">Astra International</a> as a market proxy, with some opportunities in tech.</li>
</ul>


Indonesia's election race is about to begin with the Presidential candidates announcing running mates on 26th October and with campaigns that could boost consumer demand. 
The Indonesian economy should see GDP growth above 5% in 2023 and 2024, with inflation already under control at 2.28% in September. FDI remains positive although may slow before elections. 
We explore the prospects for different sectors with a positive view on banks, retail, consumer staples, property, and Astra International as a market proxy, with some opportunities in tech.


Indonesian Strategy - Election Race Hots Up Amidst Profits Recovery

<ul><li>Telco3Q23 preview: expect positive qoq revenues growth, with foundations for more growth to come.</li><li>Our 3Q23 preview suggests that idle capacity from new capex spent during the quarter shall drive an increase in subs and/or bump existing subs onto higher quota packs in a seasonally low traffic period (3Q)</li><li>We expect this to result in sector revenues growth of 1.0-1.5%qoq</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Telco3Q23 preview: expect positive qoq revenues growth, with foundations for more growth to come.Our 3Q23 preview suggests that idle capacity from new capex spent during the quarter shall drive an increase in subs and/or bump existing subs onto higher quota packs in a seasonally low traffic period (3Q)We expect this to result in sector revenues growth of 1.0-1.5%qoqContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xl-axiata-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15028:1" rel="noopener">XL Axiata (EXCL IJ)</a> continues to impress with its growth in revenues and data, driven by its 4G focus and high-quality network, with improving margins at the same time.</li>
<li>The XL convergence story continues to build, with convergence penetration increasing but the real kicker wILL come once the restructuring with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-net-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1050:1" rel="noopener">Link Net</a> completes but benefits are already accruing. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xl-axiata-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15028:1" rel="noopener">XL Axiata</a> remains the purest data player in Indonesia, with convergence set to be the next driver. Valuations are attractive on 4.4x FY2024E EV/EBITDA with strong growth ahead. </li>
</ul>



XL Axiata (EXCL IJ) continues to impress with its growth in revenues and data, driven by its 4G focus and high-quality network, with improving margins at the same time.
The XL convergence story continues to build, with convergence penetration increasing but the real kicker wILL come once the restructuring with Link Net completes but benefits are already accruing. 

XL Axiata remains the purest data player in Indonesia, with convergence set to be the next driver. Valuations are attractive on 4.4x FY2024E EV/EBITDA with strong growth ahead. 


XL Axiata (EXCL IJ) - Linked Up for Future Growth

Indonesia

PT Indosat Tbk is a telecommunication and information service provider in Indonesia that provides cellular services (prepaid and postpaid), fixed data services or MIDI (Multimedia, Internet & Data Communication) and fixed voice services including fixed wireless access services.

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Indosat Tbk PT (ISAT IJ)

Telco: Positive KTAs from Our Meeting with Kemkominfo ( OVERWEIGHT)

We met with the Telecommunications Ministry (Kemkominfo), coming away with positive takeaways for the operators, as the ministry: a) fully supports...

BRI Danareksa Research

Telco: Positive Industry Outlook from Asset-Light Model and Revenue Momentum

We met with a CEO, CMO and 2 CFOs from the 3 leading telcos who share some common objectives in driving usage, the payload and increasing ARPU.

BRI Danareksa Research

Indonesian Strategy - Election Race Hots Up Amidst Profits Recovery

We explore the prospects across different sectors in Indonesia with a positive view on banks, retail, consumer staples, property, and Astra...

Angus Mackintosh

Telco: 3Q23 Preview

We see a different EBITDA margin narrative for each player but foresee a positive trajectory for the sector overall in 3Q23.

BRI Danareksa Research

XL Axiata (EXCL IJ) - Linked Up for Future Growth

XL Axiata remains the purest data player in Indonesia, with convergence set to the the next driver, boosted by LinkNet synergies. Valuations...

Angus Mackintosh

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