Financials & FinTech research, Galliano’s Financials Research

Victor Galliano

Financials & FinTech research

Financials & FinTech, EM & Developed Markets

Galliano’s Financials Research

Galliano's Financials Research provides fundamental research in Emerging Markets financials, including FinTech, as well as financials in select Developed Markets.

The investment style applied is generally value oriented, although Growth At Reasonable Price (GARP) strategies can also be used where appropriate. 

Our investment research approach aim is often contrarian, looking to capitalise on overly sceptical or optimistic consensus views. In terms of valuation techniques, the focus is on PBV ratio to ROE, PE multiples and dividend yield, as well as the application of PEG ratios and, where appropriate, Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuations.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We take profits on our Canara Bank buy recommendation, due to adverse credit quality trends, and we stick with our two high conviction buy names UBI and Bank of Baroda</li>
<li>UBI ranks top in our proprietary scorecard, replacing Canara Bank; UBI has high earnings and dividend yields; it ranks highly on NPL coverage and it has a well-controlled write-off ratio</li>
<li>Baroda remains our core value pick; it has attractive valuations and potential to expand returns which we expect to emerge over the medium term, especially given its control of write-offs</li>
</ul>


We take profits on our Canara Bank buy recommendation, due to adverse credit quality trends, and we stick with our two high conviction buy names UBI and Bank of Baroda
UBI ranks top in our proprietary scorecard, replacing Canara Bank; UBI has high earnings and dividend yields; it ranks highly on NPL coverage and it has a well-controlled write-off ratio
Baroda remains our core value pick; it has attractive valuations and potential to expand returns which we expect to emerge over the medium term, especially given its control of write-offs


Indian Banks: Stick with Baroda and UBI on the Buy List, Downgrading Canara

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>With the review period now complete, there could be 11 changes for the NIFTY Midcap 150 Index at the September rebalance.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 7.7% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 17.6bn (US$201m). With over US$43bn tracking the index actively, the impact on the stocks will be much larger.</li>
<li>The outright forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last 4 months and there has been a jump in the last week.</li>
</ul>


With the review period now complete, there could be 11 changes for the NIFTY Midcap 150 Index at the September rebalance.
Estimated one-way turnover is 7.7% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 17.6bn (US$201m). With over US$43bn tracking the index actively, the impact on the stocks will be much larger.
The outright forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last 4 months and there has been a jump in the last week.


NIFTY MIDCAP150 Index Rebalance Preview: 11 Potential Changes in September

<ul>
<li>In May, SEBI recommended changes to the minimum number of constituents for non-benchmark indices and the capping for those indices. The recommendations have to be implemented by 3 November.</li>
<li>There is a high probability that NSE Indices implements the changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-bank-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26811:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Bank Index (NSEBANK INDEX)</a> at the September rebalance. Nothing has been announced yet though.</li>
<li>If implemented in September, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yes-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:767:1" rel="noopener">Yes Bank</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/union-bank-of-india" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:546:1" rel="noopener">Union Bank Of India</a> could be added to the index. Estimated one-way turnover is 22.35% and the round-trip trade is INR 149bn (US$1.7bn). </li>
</ul>


In May, SEBI recommended changes to the minimum number of constituents for non-benchmark indices and the capping for those indices. The recommendations have to be implemented by 3 November.
There is a high probability that NSE Indices implements the changes for the NSE Nifty Bank Index (NSEBANK INDEX) at the September rebalance. Nothing has been announced yet though.
If implemented in September, Yes Bank and Union Bank Of India could be added to the index. Estimated one-way turnover is 22.35% and the round-trip trade is INR 149bn (US$1.7bn). 


NIFTY Bank Index: Big Flows & The Upcoming Methodology Change

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Knowledge Realty Trust / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/knowledge-realty-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44486:1" rel="noopener">Knowledge Realty Trust (258259D IN)</a> is looking to raise around US$551m in its India IPO. It has undertaken a pre-IPO placement round of around INR14bn (US$160m) in June 2025.</li>
<li>Knowledge Realty Trust (KRT) owns and manages a high-quality office portfolio in India covering 87% of India's office supply and gross absorption between CY16-1QCY25, as per the CBRE report.</li>
<li>In our earlier notes, we have looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we talk about implied valuations in the IPO price range.</li>
</ul>



Knowledge Realty Trust (258259D IN) is looking to raise around US$551m in its India IPO. It has undertaken a pre-IPO placement round of around INR14bn (US$160m) in June 2025.
Knowledge Realty Trust (KRT) owns and manages a high-quality office portfolio in India covering 87% of India's office supply and gross absorption between CY16-1QCY25, as per the CBRE report.
In our earlier notes, we have looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we talk about implied valuations in the IPO price range.


Knowledge Realty Trust IPO - Steady FY25 Growth, Digestible Pricing

<ul>
<li>Antfin (Netherlands) Holding B.V. (Antfin) is looking to raise up to US$434 via a cleanup of its remaining 5.8% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/one-97-communications-limited-paytm" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26149:1" rel="noopener">Paytm (PAYTM IN)</a>.</li>
<li>Antfin has been selling off its stake in PayTM since it pared around 12% in Nov 2021 IPO. It last sold a 4% stake to raise upto US$242m in May2025.</li>
<li>In this note, we run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>


Antfin (Netherlands) Holding B.V. (Antfin) is looking to raise up to US$434 via a cleanup of its remaining 5.8% stake in Paytm (PAYTM IN).
Antfin has been selling off its stake in PayTM since it pared around 12% in Nov 2021 IPO. It last sold a 4% stake to raise upto US$242m in May2025.
In this note, we run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.


India

IndusInd Bank Limited is a Mumbai-based Indian new generation bank established in 1994. The Bank provides a range of banking and financial services including  wholesale banking, credit monitoring, risk management, tele-banking, investment banking and commercial lending. IndusInd Bank operates branches throughout India as well as an office in Dubai and London.

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Indusind Bank (IIB IN)

Indian Banks: Stick with Baroda and UBI on the Buy List, Downgrading Canara

We downgrade Canara Bank to neutral due to credit quality concerns, focusing on our conviction buys UBI and Bank of Baroda with their attractive...

Victor Galliano

NIFTY MIDCAP150 Index Rebalance Preview: 11 Potential Changes in September

There could be 11 changes in Sep. Estimated one-way turnover is 7.7% and round-trip trade is INR 17.6bn. With over US$43bn tracking the index...

Brian Freitas

NIFTY Bank Index: Big Flows & The Upcoming Methodology Change

SEBI recommended changes need to be implemented by 3 Nov. That could be done at the Sep rebal. YES Bank, Union Bank are potential adds. HDFCB,...

Brian Freitas

Knowledge Realty Trust IPO - Steady FY25 Growth, Digestible Pricing

Knowledge Realty Trust (KRT) is looking to raise around US$551m in its India IPO. The trust undertook a pre-IPO round of around INR14bn (US$160m)...

Akshat Shah

PayTM Block - US$434m Clean-Up by Antfin

Antfin (Netherlands) Holding B.V. (Antfin) is looking to raise up to US$434 via a cleanup of its remaining 5.8% stake in One 97 Communications Ltd...

Akshat Shah

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Indian Banks: Stick with Baroda and UBI on the Buy List, Downgrading Canara

​We downgrade Canara Bank to neutral due to credit quality concerns, focusing on our conviction buys UBI and Bank of Baroda with their attractive...

Victor Galliano

NIFTY MIDCAP150 Index Rebalance Preview: 11 Potential Changes in September

There could be 11 changes in Sep. Estimated one-way turnover is 7.7% and round-trip trade is INR 17.6bn. With over US$43bn tracking the index...

Brian Freitas

NIFTY Bank Index: Big Flows & The Upcoming Methodology Change

SEBI recommended changes need to be implemented by 3 Nov. That could be done at the Sep rebal. YES Bank, Union Bank are potential adds. HDFCB,...

Brian Freitas

Knowledge Realty Trust IPO - Steady FY25 Growth, Digestible Pricing

Knowledge Realty Trust (KRT) is looking to raise around US$551m in its India IPO. The trust undertook a pre-IPO round of around INR14bn (US$160m)...

Akshat Shah

PayTM Block - US$434m Clean-Up by Antfin

Antfin (Netherlands) Holding B.V. (Antfin) is looking to raise up to US$434 via a cleanup of its remaining 5.8% stake in One 97 Communications Ltd...

Akshat Shah

We downgrade Canara Bank to neutral due to credit quality concerns, focusing on our conviction buys UBI and Bank of Baroda with their attractive...