Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Indian IT outperformed over 10 years, but recent underperformance and weak R&amp;D spending raise questions on innovation versus high dividend and buyback payouts.</li>
<li>AI disruption threatens coding demand and outsourcing models, risking productivity shocks, workforce layoffs, and urban consumption downturns if companies don’t adapt with innovation.</li>
<li>Boards must prioritize bold investments and acquisitions over capital returns, positioning Indian IT as innovation leaders rather than risk-averse cash generators.</li>
</ul>


Indian IT outperformed over 10 years, but recent underperformance and weak R&amp;D spending raise questions on innovation versus high dividend and buyback payouts.
AI disruption threatens coding demand and outsourcing models, risking productivity shocks, workforce layoffs, and urban consumption downturns if companies don’t adapt with innovation.
Boards must prioritize bold investments and acquisitions over capital returns, positioning Indian IT as innovation leaders rather than risk-averse cash generators.


Indian IT | Urge to the Boards – Stop the Buybacks

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist, Clifton Derivatives

John Ley

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist

Clifton Derivatives

Independent derivative and volatility research firm focusing on events/catalysts, earnings, relative value and cross asset volatility strategies.

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906" rel="noopener">Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX EQUITY)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX)</a> all have elevated implied vols vs their peers and vs historical observations for October.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-500-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22886" rel="noopener">S&amp;P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a>  implied vols are on the low end of what is typically realized in October.</li>
<li>Most markets see price weakness in the 3rd week of the month with realized volatility underperforming over the back half of the month.</li>
</ul>



Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX), Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX EQUITY) and Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) all have elevated implied vols vs their peers and vs historical observations for October.

NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX) , S&amp;P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX) and S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)  implied vols are on the low end of what is typically realized in October.
Most markets see price weakness in the 3rd week of the month with realized volatility underperforming over the back half of the month.


EQD | Asia Monthly Vol Roadmap: Elevated IV's in CSI300 and Hang Seng Present Tactical Opportunity

Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Sree Capital

Sreemant Dudhoria,CFA

Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Fundamental Research on Listed Indian Companies

Sree Capital

Sree Capital is a platform to share fundamental research on listed Indian companies. We do this research for our own investment

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/infosys-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:267:1" rel="noopener">Infosys Ltd (INFO IN)</a> reported a stable Q1FY26 with constant currency (CC) revenue growth of 2.6% QoQ and 3.8% YoY, despite persistent macro headwinds in key geographies.</li>
<li>While the company increased its lower end of guidance from 0 to 3% to 1%-3% CC, the sector still faces challenges from macro uncertainty.</li>
<li>While there are no fireworks in the results, it is much getter than <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-consultancy-svcs-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18708:1" rel="noopener">Tata Consultancy Svcs (TCS IN)</a> . We present analysis on the same.</li>
</ul>



Infosys Ltd (INFO IN) reported a stable Q1FY26 with constant currency (CC) revenue growth of 2.6% QoQ and 3.8% YoY, despite persistent macro headwinds in key geographies.
While the company increased its lower end of guidance from 0 to 3% to 1%-3% CC, the sector still faces challenges from macro uncertainty.
While there are no fireworks in the results, it is much getter than Tata Consultancy Svcs (TCS IN) . We present analysis on the same.


Infosys (INFY) — No Fireworks but Better Performance than TCS

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/infosys-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:267:1" rel="noopener">Infosys</a> (INFO IN / INFY US) reports Q1 FY26 results on Wednesday, 23 July 2025 at 15:45 IST; earnings days historically triggered outsized price moves.</li>
<li>
Highlight: Analyzing historical post-earnings price movements, along with forward-looking options-implied volatility, provides valuable insights for event-driven strategies.</li>
<li>
Why Read: Access the data and insights to take advantage of anticipated price moves and volatility crush. Potential option strategies explained.</li>
</ul>



Infosys (INFO IN / INFY US) reports Q1 FY26 results on Wednesday, 23 July 2025 at 15:45 IST; earnings days historically triggered outsized price moves.

Highlight: Analyzing historical post-earnings price movements, along with forward-looking options-implied volatility, provides valuable insights for event-driven strategies.

Why Read: Access the data and insights to take advantage of anticipated price moves and volatility crush. Potential option strategies explained.


Infosys (INFO IN) Q1 Results: What Options Markets Are Pricing In

<ul>
<li>This strategy exploits relative value in implied volatilities and combines it with a long Nifty 50 vs. short Nikkei 225 directional view over a period of two months.</li>
<li>The strategy performs well if the Nifty 50 rises and outperforms the Nikkei 225. If both indices decline, neither profit nor loss is incurred.</li>
<li>Leverage increases both the strategy's payoff and probability of success.</li>
</ul>


This strategy exploits relative value in implied volatilities and combines it with a long Nifty 50 vs. short Nikkei 225 directional view over a period of two months.
The strategy performs well if the Nifty 50 rises and outperforms the Nikkei 225. If both indices decline, neither profit nor loss is incurred.
Leverage increases both the strategy's payoff and probability of success.


EQD | Long Nifty 50 Vs. Short Nikkei 225 - A Relative Value Option Strategy with a Kicker

India

Infosys Limited provides IT consulting and software services, including e-business, program management and supply chain solutions. The Group's services include application development, product co-development, and system implementation and system engineering. Infosys targets businesses specializing in the insurance, banking, telecommunication and manufacturing sectors.

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Infosys Ltd (INFO IN)

Indian IT | Urge to the Boards – Stop the Buybacks

Indian IT industry faces challenges with underperformance and lack of innovation, must prioritize bold investments to adapt to AI disruption and...

Pranav Bhavsar

EQD | Asia Monthly Vol Roadmap: Elevated IV's in CSI300 and Hang Seng Present Tactical Opportunity

Implied volatility levels across key Asian indices present several tactical opportunities this month for outright or pairs trades...

John Ley

Infosys (INFY) — No Fireworks but Better Performance than TCS

No fireworks in Infosys Ltd Q1FY26 results, but its still better than Tata Consultancy Svcs. Guidance raised to 1%-3% CC, but sector still faces...

Sreemant Dudhoria,CFA

Infosys (INFO IN) Q1 Results: What Options Markets Are Pricing In

Actionable strategies ahead of Infosys Q1 on 23 July 2025: Historical moves, implied volatility, and what the options market is signaling.

Gaudenz Schneider

EQD | Long Nifty 50 Vs. Short Nikkei 225 - A Relative Value Option Strategy with a Kicker

Option strategy: exploit relative value in implied volatilities combined with directional positioning for a leveraged payoff in a long Nifty 50 vs....

Gaudenz Schneider

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Indian IT | Urge to the Boards – Stop the Buybacks

​Indian IT industry faces challenges with underperformance and lack of innovation, must prioritize bold investments to adapt to AI disruption and...

Pranav Bhavsar

EQD | Asia Monthly Vol Roadmap: Elevated IV's in CSI300 and Hang Seng Present Tactical Opportunity

​Implied volatility levels across key Asian indices present several tactical opportunities this month for outright or pairs trades...

John Ley

Infosys (INFY) — No Fireworks but Better Performance than TCS

No fireworks in ​Infosys Ltd Q1FY26 results, but its still better than Tata Consultancy Svcs. Guidance raised to 1%-3% CC, but sector still faces...

Sreemant Dudhoria,CFA

Infosys (INFO IN) Q1 Results: What Options Markets Are Pricing In

Actionable strategies ahead of Infosys Q1 on 23 July 2025: Historical moves, implied volatility, and what the options market is signaling.

Gaudenz Schneider

EQD | Long Nifty 50 Vs. Short Nikkei 225 - A Relative Value Option Strategy with a Kicker

Option strategy: exploit relative value in implied volatilities combined with directional positioning for a leveraged payoff in a long Nifty 50 vs....

Gaudenz Schneider

Indian IT industry faces challenges with underperformance and lack of innovation, must prioritize bold investments to adapt to AI disruption and...

Implied volatility levels across key Asian indices present several tactical opportunities this month for outright or pairs trades...

No fireworks in Infosys Ltd Q1FY26 results, but its still better than Tata Consultancy Svcs. Guidance raised to 1%-3% CC, but sector still faces...