IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/z-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9838:1" rel="noopener">Z Energy Ltd (ZEL NZ)</a> is a fuel distribution and retailing business which owns and manages over 300 fuel stations in New Zealand under the Z and Caltex brands. Z Energy revealed a non-binding indicative proposal from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ampol-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:345:1" rel="noopener">Caltex Australia (ALD AU)</a>/Ampol to acquire it via a scheme of arrangement. Ampol is offering NZ$3.78 per share. The bid represents a 22% premium to the share price on 12 August (prior to receipt of the announced proposal), a 35% premium to the share price on 26 July (prior to media speculation regarding a bid) and a 47% premium to the share price on 1 June (prior to Ampol’s first rejected proposal).</p><p>Z Energy has agreed to grant Ampol a four-week exclusivity period to conduct due diligence. The indicative offer permits Z Energy to pay dividends up to NZ 10 cents on the scheme implementation to accommodate any regulatory-driven delays. Subject to discussions, Ampol’s offer may include a scrip component and a secondary New Zealand listing.  </p><p>Pushing for a better price is part of the M&amp;A game. The Board had rejected Ampol’s previous three offers as they did not represent compelling value. The Board was able to secure a sweetened bid which offers a 12.8% bump to Ampol’s first offer of NZ$3.35 per share.  </p><p>Ampol’s offer is a premium to Z Energy's historical EV/EBITDA multiples but a discount to pre-COVID-19 share prices. Z Energy’s CEO opines that Ampol’s bid could be a catalyst for other bidders that had previously signalled interest to make a move for Z Energy. Potential bidders could be <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chevron-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11091:1" rel="noopener">Chevron Corp (CVX US)</a>, Vitol, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/glencore-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:764:1" rel="noopener">Glencore Plc (GLEN LN)</a>, Trafigura and Japanese refiners.</p><div class="content-highlight"><p>Overall, we think Ampol’s offer is a good starting point to lay down a valuation benchmark and suspect that there is some upside to the final offer price. At the last close price of NZ$3.48, Z Energy’s shares are trading at an 8.6% gross spread to the indicative offer.</p></div>

Z Energy Ltd (ZEL NZ) is a fuel distribution and retailing business which owns and manages over 300 fuel stations in New Zealand under the Z and Caltex brands. Z Energy revealed a non-binding indicative proposal from Caltex Australia (ALD AU)/Ampol to acquire it via a scheme of arrangement. Ampol is offering NZ$3.78 per share. The bid represents a 22% premium to the share price on 12 August (prior to receipt of the announced proposal), a 35% premium to the share price on 26 July (prior to media speculation regarding a bid) and a 47% premium to the share price on 1 June (prior to Ampol’s first rejected proposal).Z Energy has agreed to grant Ampol a four-week exclusivity period to conduct due diligence. The indicative offer permits Z Energy to pay dividends up to NZ 10 cents on the scheme implementation to accommodate any regulatory-driven delays. Subject to discussions, Ampol’s offer may include a scrip component and a secondary New Zealand listing.  Pushing for a better price is part of the M&amp;A game. The Board had rejected Ampol’s previous three offers as they did not represent compelling value. The Board was able to secure a sweetened bid which offers a 12.8% bump to Ampol’s first offer of NZ$3.35 per share.  Ampol’s offer is a premium to Z Energy's historical EV/EBITDA multiples but a discount to pre-COVID-19 share prices. Z Energy’s CEO opines that Ampol’s bid could be a catalyst for other bidders that had previously signalled interest to make a move for Z Energy. Potential bidders could be Chevron Corp (CVX US), Vitol, Glencore Plc (GLEN LN), Trafigura and Japanese refiners.Overall, we think Ampol’s offer is a good starting point to lay down a valuation benchmark and suspect that there is some upside to the final offer price. At the last close price of NZ$3.48, Z Energy’s shares are trading at an 8.6% gross spread to the indicative offer.

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

<p>Earlier today, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ampol-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:345:1" rel="noopener">Caltex Australia (ALD AU)</a> announced that it has submitted a non-binding indicative proposal to acquire <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/z-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9838:1" rel="noopener">Z Energy Ltd (ZEL NZ)</a> for NZ$3.78/share, valuing the company at around NZ$2bn and representing an implied Enterprise Value of NZ$2.8bn. The proposal would be implemented by way of a scheme of arrangement.</p><p>The offer price represents a premium of 22% to the close the day before the offer was made and is a 24% premium to the last close. But the offer is also 40% lower than the close price two years ago and 50% lower than the close price three years ago.</p><p>A dividend mechanism has been proposed that would permit <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/z-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9838:1" rel="noopener">Z Energy Ltd (ZEL NZ)</a> to pay a dividend on implementation of the scheme equal to NZ$0.055/share, per calendar day for each day that financial close extends beyond 31 March 2022, up to a limit of NZ$0.10/share.</p><p>The transaction is subject to negotiation of a Scheme Implementation Agreement (SIA), <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ampol-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:345:1" rel="noopener">Caltex Australia (ALD AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/z-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9838:1" rel="noopener">Z Energy Ltd (ZEL NZ)</a> board approval, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/z-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9838:1" rel="noopener">Z Energy Ltd (ZEL NZ)</a> shareholder approval, New Zealand High Court approval, and regulatory clearances under the New Zealand Commerce Act and Overseas Investment Act.</p><p>To partially fund the transaction, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ampol-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:345:1" rel="noopener">Caltex Australia (ALD AU)</a> could issue around A$600m of stock to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/z-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9838:1" rel="noopener">Z Energy Ltd (ZEL NZ)</a> shareholders or conduct a pro rata entitlement offer to its own shareholders.</p><p>We feel that the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/z-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9838:1" rel="noopener">Z Energy Ltd (ZEL NZ)</a> board is still not convinced that the deal price is a good level for shareholders and it could take a bump to get this through. There could also be other players that enter the fray now that they know <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/z-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9838:1" rel="noopener">Z Energy Ltd (ZEL NZ)</a> could consider a deal.</p>

Earlier today, Caltex Australia (ALD AU) announced that it has submitted a non-binding indicative proposal to acquire Z Energy Ltd (ZEL NZ) for NZ$3.78/share, valuing the company at around NZ$2bn and representing an implied Enterprise Value of NZ$2.8bn. The proposal would be implemented by way of a scheme of arrangement.The offer price represents a premium of 22% to the close the day before the offer was made and is a 24% premium to the last close. But the offer is also 40% lower than the close price two years ago and 50% lower than the close price three years ago.A dividend mechanism has been proposed that would permit Z Energy Ltd (ZEL NZ) to pay a dividend on implementation of the scheme equal to NZ$0.055/share, per calendar day for each day that financial close extends beyond 31 March 2022, up to a limit of NZ$0.10/share.The transaction is subject to negotiation of a Scheme Implementation Agreement (SIA), Caltex Australia (ALD AU) and Z Energy Ltd (ZEL NZ) board approval, Z Energy Ltd (ZEL NZ) shareholder approval, New Zealand High Court approval, and regulatory clearances under the New Zealand Commerce Act and Overseas Investment Act.To partially fund the transaction, Caltex Australia (ALD AU) could issue around A$600m of stock to Z Energy Ltd (ZEL NZ) shareholders or conduct a pro rata entitlement offer to its own shareholders.We feel that the Z Energy Ltd (ZEL NZ) board is still not convinced that the deal price is a good level for shareholders and it could take a bump to get this through. There could also be other players that enter the fray now that they know Z Energy Ltd (ZEL NZ) could consider a deal.

Ampol's NBIO for Z Energy: May Need More to Go Through

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<div>
<p>On the 14 March, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tilt-renewables-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24371:1" rel="noopener">Tilt Renewables Ltd (TLT NZ)</a> <a href="http://nzx-prod-s7fsd7f98s.s3-website-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/attachments/TLT/369079/342312.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> a binding agreement from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mighty-river-power" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9933:1" rel="noopener">Mercury NZ Ltd (MCY NZ)</a> and PowAR by way of a Scheme at NZ$7.80/share, or a 99% premium to the undisturbed price.  PowAR is a partnership between <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/agl-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:554:1" rel="noopener">AGL Energy Ltd (AGL AU)</a>, QIC, and Australia’s sovereign wealth fund.</p>
</div>
<div>
<p>Should the Scheme be approved, Tilt will sell its Australian assets to PowAR, and Mercury NZ would acquire the New Zealand assets. The Offer had the backing of Infratil and Mercury, holding 65.46% and 19.92% respectively.</p>
</div>
<div>
<p>On the 16 April, Tilt <a href="https://cdn-api.markitdigital.com/apiman-gateway/ASX/asx-research/1.0/file/2924-02364436-3A565443?access_token=83ff96335c2d45a094df02a206a39ff4" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> it has amended the terms of the Scheme Implementation Agreement (SIA), such that PowAR/Mercury would now pay NZ$8.10/share. The SIA had also been amended to include the removal of provisions allowing Tilt to evaluate any competing proposal to the Scheme or to terminate the SIA if a superior proposal were to be received.</p>
<p>Given the SIA cannot be terminated in such circumstances, neither Mercury nor Infratil are released from their voting commitments. This means that the emergence of a superior alternative transaction is remote unless the SIA terminates due to reasons such as a condition not being fulfilled.</p>
</div>
<div>
<p>The Scheme Booklet is now <a href="http://nzx-prod-s7fsd7f98s.s3-website-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/attachments/TLT/373692/348047.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">out</a>. The Scheme Meeting will be held on the 14 July, with an expected implementation date of the 3 August.</p>
<div>
<p>The Independent Advisor has concluded the Scheme was "reasonable". </p>
</div>
<div>
<p>More below the fold.</p>
</div>
</div>


On the 14 March, Tilt Renewables Ltd (TLT NZ) announced a binding agreement from Mercury NZ Ltd (MCY NZ) and PowAR by way of a Scheme at NZ$7.80/share, or a 99% premium to the undisturbed price.  PowAR is a partnership between AGL Energy Ltd (AGL AU), QIC, and Australia’s sovereign wealth fund.


Should the Scheme be approved, Tilt will sell its Australian assets to PowAR, and Mercury NZ would acquire the New Zealand assets. The Offer had the backing of Infratil and Mercury, holding 65.46% and 19.92% respectively.


On the 16 April, Tilt announced it has amended the terms of the Scheme Implementation Agreement (SIA), such that PowAR/Mercury would now pay NZ$8.10/share. The SIA had also been amended to include the removal of provisions allowing Tilt to evaluate any competing proposal to the Scheme or to terminate the SIA if a superior proposal were to be received.
Given the SIA cannot be terminated in such circumstances, neither Mercury nor Infratil are released from their voting commitments. This means that the emergence of a superior alternative transaction is remote unless the SIA terminates due to reasons such as a condition not being fulfilled.


The Scheme Booklet is now out. The Scheme Meeting will be held on the 14 July, with an expected implementation date of the 3 August.

The Independent Advisor has concluded the Scheme was "reasonable". 


More below the fold.



Tilt Renewables: Scheme Booklet Out. EGM Firmed

<p>Back on the 14 March, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tilt-renewables-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24371:1" rel="noopener">Tilt Renewables Ltd (TLT NZ)</a> <a href="http://nzx-prod-s7fsd7f98s.s3-website-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/attachments/TLT/369079/342312.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> a binding agreement from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mighty-river-power" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9933:1" rel="noopener">Mercury NZ Ltd (MCY NZ)</a> and PowAR by way of a Scheme at NZ$7.80/share, or a 99% premium to the undisturbed price.  PowAR is a partnership between <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/agl-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:554:1" rel="noopener">AGL Energy Ltd (AGL AU)</a>, QIC, and Australia’s sovereign wealth fund.</p>
<div>
<p>Should the Scheme be successful, Tilt will sell its Australian assets to PowAR, and Mercury NZ acquires the New Zealand assets, including all future development operations. The Offer has the backing of Infratil and Mercury, holding 65.5% and 19.92% respectively.</p>
<p>After entering a <a href="https://cdn-api.markitdigital.com/apiman-gateway/ASX/asx-research/1.0/file/2924-02363756_NPS-3A565326?access_token=83ff96335c2d45a094df02a206a39ff4" target="_blank" rel="noopener">trading halt</a> early last Friday, Tilt <a href="https://cdn-api.markitdigital.com/apiman-gateway/ASX/asx-research/1.0/file/2924-02364436-3A565443?access_token=83ff96335c2d45a094df02a206a39ff4" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> it has amended the terms of the Scheme Implementation Agreement (SIA), such that PowAR/Mercury will now pay NZ$8.10/share</p>
<p>In addition to the increased price, the SIA has been amended to remove provisions allowing Tilt to evaluate any “<em>competing proposal giving greater certainty to all parties and Tilt shareholders that the transaction will complete by August</em>."</p>
<p>AGL also <a href="https://cdn-api.markitdigital.com/apiman-gateway/ASX/asx-research/1.0/file/2924-02364591-2A1293172?access_token=83ff96335c2d45a094df02a206a39ff4" target="_blank" rel="noopener">said</a> Tilt had received a competing proposal from a third party. Reportedly Canadian pension fund CDPQ made a bid of NZ$8/share Offer, and that Tilt tapped the consortium to match or beat that proposal.</p>
<p>The prospect of a last-minute gate-crasher now appears diminished. More below the fold.</p>
</div>

Back on the 14 March, Tilt Renewables Ltd (TLT NZ) announced a binding agreement from Mercury NZ Ltd (MCY NZ) and PowAR by way of a Scheme at NZ$7.80/share, or a 99% premium to the undisturbed price.  PowAR is a partnership between AGL Energy Ltd (AGL AU), QIC, and Australia’s sovereign wealth fund.

Should the Scheme be successful, Tilt will sell its Australian assets to PowAR, and Mercury NZ acquires the New Zealand assets, including all future development operations. The Offer has the backing of Infratil and Mercury, holding 65.5% and 19.92% respectively.
After entering a trading halt early last Friday, Tilt announced it has amended the terms of the Scheme Implementation Agreement (SIA), such that PowAR/Mercury will now pay NZ$8.10/share
In addition to the increased price, the SIA has been amended to remove provisions allowing Tilt to evaluate any “competing proposal giving greater certainty to all parties and Tilt shareholders that the transaction will complete by August."
AGL also said Tilt had received a competing proposal from a third party. Reportedly Canadian pension fund CDPQ made a bid of NZ$8/share Offer, and that Tilt tapped the consortium to match or beat that proposal.
The prospect of a last-minute gate-crasher now appears diminished. More below the fold.


Tilt Renewables: Mercury/PowAR's Bump Heads Off Third-Party Bidders


For the month of March, 16 new deals were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$21bn.


Clicking on the company name in the table below will take you to the entity page where you can read the initial insight(s) written by Smartkarma contributors on these new deals and follow-up discussions, or simply click on the insight link(s) below the name.





New Deals


Industry


Size (US$bn)


Type


Premium




Australia




Crown Resorts (CWN AU) 
Casino
6.3
Non-binding Scheme
36.8%


Crown Resorts (CWN AU): Blackstone Rolls the Dice



McPherson's Ltd (MCP AU) 
Cosmetics
0.1
On-Market
6.9%


McPherson (MCP AU): Unconditional On-Market Offer



Mainstream Group Holdings Ltd (MAI AU) 
Admin provider
0.2
Scheme
8.6%


Mainstream Group (MAI AU): Go-Shop Provision Makes It Interesting



Mortgage Choice (MOC AU) 
Mortgage broker
0.2
Scheme
66%



Mortgage Choice (MOC AU): REA's Scheme Offer









Hong Kong




China Youzan Limited (8083 HK) 
e-Commerce
4.3
Scheme
(30.2%)


China Youzan (8083 HK): Proposal Towards Relisting Youzan Tech








Japan




Funai Electric (6839 JP) 
Electronics
0.2
Tender Offer
25.2%


Funai Electric (6839 JP): Tender Offer Price Seems Light



IGNIS Ltd (3689 JP) 
Software
0.2
Tender Offer
52.12%


IGNIS (3689) MBO +63% Is Probably Too Light



Shoko Co Ltd (8090 JP) 
Trading co
0.1
Tender Offer
10.6%



Shoko (8090 JP) Tender Offer - Showa Denko Sells Too Cheap. Looks Bumpity Shoko (8090 JP) TOB:  Still Looks Bumpity




Takeei Corp (2151 JP)/ Rever Holdings Corp (5690 JP)

Staffing cos
0.5
Merger



Takeei (2151 JP) - Rever (5690 JP) Merger: TOPIX Event to Be Triggered








New Zealand




Tilt Renewables Ltd (TLT NZ) 
Energy
2.1
Scheme
99%


Tilt Renewables: Mercury/PowAr's Big Blow








Singapore




Global Cord Blood (CO US) 
Cord Blood
0.2
Pre-con proposal
65.4%


Global Cord Blood: Haitong Raids The Bank



Jardine Strategic Holdings (JS SP) 
Conglomerate
5.5
Amalgamation
20.2%



Jardine Matheson: Collapsing The Circularity
Jardine Strategic: What's Yours Is Mine
Jardine Strategic: SGM On The 12 April




Procurri Corporation (PROC SP) 
IT Hardware
0.1
Partial
32.7%


Procurri Corporation (PROC SP): Partial Tender Offers Scant Opportunity. Read more: https://skr.ma/FTYAh








Singapore Reinsurance (SRE SP) 
Reinsurance
0.2
Vol. Offer
17.8%


Singapore Reinsurance (SRE SP): Tender Offer Trading Tight








Thailand




Vinythai Public Co (VNT TB) 
Chemicals
0.3
Delisting Offer
57.8%


Vinythai (VNT TH): Delisting Offer From PTTGC








Philippines




2GO Group Inc (2GO PM) 
Logistics
0.2
MTO
30.49%


2GO Group (2GO PH): SMIC's MGO






Source: Smartkarma Insights





The average premium for the new deals announced (or first discussed) in March was ~33%, with a year-to-date average of ~32% (58 deals). This compares to the average premium for all deals in 2020 (158 deals) and 2019 (145 deals) of 31% and 31.5% respectively. 



Summary of News in March of Arb Situations On Smartkarma's Radar



(Again, click on the company names to take to you to the insights and/or discussion posts for a more comprehensive read-through on each situation)






Australia


Comments (with links to announcements &amp; insights)




3P Learning (3PL AU) 

No March Update




Asaleo Care Ltd (AHY AU) 

No March Update




Bingo Industries (BIN AU) 

No March Update




Coca Cola Amatil (CCL AU) 

12-Mar: The Scheme booklet for Coca Cola Amatil (CCL AU) has been registered with ASIC. The Scheme Meeting will be held on the 16 April. 




Think Childcare (TNK AU) 

4-Mar: Think Childcare (TNK AU): Trading Through Terms. Should You Fold Now?




Vitalharvest Freehold Trust (VTH AU) 

11-Mar: Vitalharvest (VTH AU): Macquarie Ups Its Offer
18-Mar:Vitalharvest (VTH AU): Roc Blinks, And Bumps




Vocus Communications (VOC AU) 

10-Mar: Vocus Comms (VOC AU): MIRA/Aware's Done Deal




WPP AUNZ (WPP AU) 

18-Mar: WPP AUNZ (WPP AU)'s Scheme booklet registered with the ASIC. Scheme Meeting to be held on the 21 April. 










Hong Kong


Comments (with links to announcements &amp; insights)




Beijing Digital Telecom (6188 HK) 

No March update




Beijing Jingneng Clean Energy (579 HK) 

1-Mar: Beijing Jingneng (579 HK): And That's a Fail




China Logistics Property Holdings (1589 HK) 

No March update




China Machinery Engineering (1829 HK) 

3-Mar: PRC approval, a pre-condition, to the Offer remains outstanding in a monthly update from China Machinery Engineering (1829 HK).




HKC Holdings (190 HK) 

No March update. Despatch of Scheme Doc pushed out to 30 April 




I.T Ltd (999 HK) 

22-Mar: I.T. (999 HK): Scheme Meeting 16 April. IFA Says Fair




Kerry Logistics Network (636 HK) 

18-Mar: Kerry Properties (683 HK) said it would: "declare a special dividend to distribute approximately 25% to 30% of such net proceeds" from the sake of shares in Kerry Logistics Network (636 HK).




New Century REIT (1275 HK) 

18-Mar: Circular despatched. EGM on the 12 April




Polytec Asset Holdings (208 HK) 

No March update. Polytec Asset Holdings (208 HK)extended the despatch of the Scheme Doc to 16 April.




Rivera Holdings (281 HK) 

No March update. Scheme Doc pushed way out to 7 June 




Sichuan Languang Justbon Service Group (2606 HK) 

11-Mar: There are some subtle changes to the MOU terms announced by Sichuan Languang Justbon Service Group (2606 HK) last night.  
Share to be acquired include 115,090,200 H shares AND 750,000 domestic shares or 65.04% of shares out, up from 64.62% in the initial announcement.  
 The price per H shares will be RMB42.8546/share , up from RMB42.1105.
23-Mar: Languang Justbon (2606 HK): Be Wary Of Chasing The Delisting Bump




China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK) 

1-Mar: An update to say there is no update.




Zhejiang New Century Hotel Management Group (1158 HK) 

No March update




Zhuhai Holdings Investment (908 HK) 

No March update. The despatch of the Scheme Doc for Zhuhai Holdings Investment (908 HK) has been pushed back to the 21 April.










India


Comments (with links to insights)




Engineers India (ENGR IN) 

No March update




INEOS Styrolution India Limited (INEOS IN) 

No March update




National Aluminium (NACL IN) 

No March update




Vedanta Ltd (VEDL IN) 

13-Mar: Vedanta (VEDL) Awaits Open Offer Revision. Now Less Event-y More Commodity-y
17-Mar: Vedanta (VEDL) Open Offer Raised in Price and Size!










Japan


Comments (with links to announcements &amp; insights)




Being Co Ltd (4734 JP) 
25-Mar: The Tender Offer for Being Co Ltd (4734 JP) was successful. The bidder now has 88+%.



BeNEXT Group (2154 JP) 
25-Mar: BeNEXT - Yumeshin Merger: FTSE Upweight Is a Positive Surprise




Cocokara Fine (3098 JP) 
10-Mar: Matsukiyo-Cocokara Situation Gets Its Activist Noise Started 1-Mar:MatsuKiyoCocokara Merger and Implied Forward Forecasts which followed MatsukiyoCocokara &amp; Co - The Merger




Dynac Holdings Corporation (2675 JP) 
No March update



Honshu Chemical Industry (4115 JP) 

No March update




Japan Asia (3751 JP) 

1-Mar: Japan Asia Group (3751) : Defense Against Hostile TOB Is Bad News
18-Mar: Murakami-San Launches New JAG (3751) Tender Offer




Maeda Road Construction Co (1883 JP) 

13-Mar: Maeda Corp (1824 JP) has bought 21.8113mm shares of Maeda Road Construction Co (1883 JP).The pro-ration is 60.2913754%




N Field Co Ltd (6077 JP) 

No March update




Sakai Ovex (3408 JP) 

8-Mar: Savai Ovex MBO - A Very Weak Bump
28-Mar: Sakai Ovex Tender Offer Fails But The Stock Gains an Activist




Sanken Electric (6707 JP) 

9-Mar: Effissimo, Sanken, and Allegro - Thinking About the Future
25-Mar: Effissimo Capital Management held 24.05mm shares prior to launching its tender offer and it appears it managed to buy 24.04mm shares in the Tender Offer. That gets them to 19.93%, up from 9.97%. 




Tokyo Rope Mfg (5981 JP) 

9-Mar: After all was said and done, the Tender Offer was completed, with Nippon Steel Corporation (5401 JP) getting to 19.9% after buying 1.625mm shares at JPY 1500/share. Pro-ration was quite high at 75.86%. 




Tsukui Corp (2398 JP) 

25-Mar: The Tsukui Corp (2398 JP) Tender Offer/MBO was completed successfully. The minimum hurdle was 29.316mm shares. The actual shares received in the Tender was 45.719mm or 64.07% of shares out. This will get squeezed out in the EGM as the non-tendering parties join with MBK and they have close to 90% together.




Unimat Retirement Community (9707 JP) 

26-Mar: the Unimat Retirement Community (9707 JP) Tender Offer was successful. The bidder got to 80.53%. An EGM will follow along with a squeezeout/delisting. The cowbell has not been very loud.










New Zealand


Comments (with links announcements)




Infratil Ltd (IFT NZ) 

No March update











Philippines


Comments (with links announcements)




Lopez Holdings (LPZ PM) 

19-Mar: The Tender Offer for Lopez Holdings (LPZ PM) closed on the 8 March. The accepted Tender Offer Shares were intended to be crossed through the PSE eight business days after the close of the Tender Offer Period or on 18 March. That has now taken place. The public float now stands at 29.32%. 











Singapore


Comments (with links to announcements &amp; insights)




CEI Limited (CEI SP) 

19-Mar: Offer declared unconditonal




GL Ltd (GLL SP) 

1-Mar: SIAS Questions GL Limited's Offer: More Bark Than Bite 15-Mar:  GL Limited: Guoco Bumps &amp; Declares Offer Unconditional 18-Mar: Guoco Group Ltd (53 HK) gets &gt;90% and will now move to compulsory acquire shares in GL Ltd (GLL SP).




Penguin International (PBS SP) 

24-Mar: Penguin International (PBS SP): Offer Extended, No Bump, Time to Unwind
26-Mar: 75% threshold surpassed: As at 6.00 p.m. (Singapore time) on 25 March 2021, the Offeror has gained control of 167,789,621 shares, representing approximately 76.21% of the total number of shares in the Company. 




Soilbuild Business Space REIT (SBREIT SP) 

11-Mar: Phew - that was close. 89.32% voted FOR but the headcount scrapped in at 56.56%.  Last day of trading in Soilbuild Business Space REIT (SBREIT SP) was the 26 March.










Taiwan


Comments (with links to announcements &amp; insights)




Jih Sun Financial (5820 TT) 

20-Mar: Jih Sun Financial Deal Down To The Wire
23-Mar: Jih Sun Tender Offer Successful - Now the Squeezeout






New Zealand

Infratil Limited is an infrastructure investment company. The Company invests in airports, energy such as renewable and waste-energy, and public transportation.

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Infratil Ltd (IFT NZ)

Ampol Lobs an Offer for Z Energy

Z Energy revealed a non-binding indicative proposal from Ampol at NZ$3.78 per share. We suspect that there is some upside to the final offer price....

Arun George

Ampol's NBIO for Z Energy: May Need More to Go Through

Ampol has submitted a non-binding indicative proposal to buy Z Energy at HK$3.78/share in cash. We feel that the deal will go through with a bump....

Brian Freitas

Tilt Renewables: Scheme Booklet Out. EGM Firmed

Done deal and trading tight at a 1.0%/7.2% gross/annualised spread. Given the spread and Tilt's low liquidity, this insight is bearish.

David Blennerhassett

Tilt Renewables: Mercury/PowAR's Bump Heads Off Third-Party Bidders

Trading tight at a 1.8%/6.0% gross/annualised spread. You could buy here for the spread, and the outside chance a superior Offer does indeed emerge.

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia M&A: March 2021 Roundup

The average premium for the new deals announced (or first discussed) in March was ~31%, with a year-to-date average of ~31% (57 deals).

David Blennerhassett

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