Financial News, Analysis and Data, FNArena

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Equity Bottom-Up

Gemlife Communities Group / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Australians are never far away from two of the most discussed secular thematics; housing and aging demographics, two long-term trends which can throw up attractive investment opportunities.</li>
<li>GemLife Communities Group ((GLF)) which arrived at the ASX via the largest initial public offering of the year to date with an upsized and oversubscribed deal, raised $750m and listed with a market capitalisation near $1.6bn.</li>
<li>The market cap currently stands at $1.75bn and the newcomer was highlighted as one of the top smaller cap performers during the August reporting season.</li>
</ul>


Australians are never far away from two of the most discussed secular thematics; housing and aging demographics, two long-term trends which can throw up attractive investment opportunities.
GemLife Communities Group ((GLF)) which arrived at the ASX via the largest initial public offering of the year to date with an upsized and oversubscribed deal, raised $750m and listed with a market capitalisation near $1.6bn.
The market cap currently stands at $1.75bn and the newcomer was highlighted as one of the top smaller cap performers during the August reporting season.


GemLife: A Gemstone For Australia's Downsizers

<ul><li>Update on changes to and revisions of analysts' Best Ideas and Conviction Calls, as well as Model Portfolio compositions</li></ul>

Update on changes to and revisions of analysts' Best Ideas and Conviction Calls, as well as Model Portfolio compositions

Rudi's View: Charter Hall, Droneshield, Pinnacle, WiseTech & More

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Reportedly buyout firms are "vying for" <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trend-micro-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13172:1" rel="noopener">Trend Micro Inc (4704 JP)</a>. The stock went limit up today. Again. The stock is now getting to the expensive side.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/furukawa-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19521:1" rel="noopener">Furukawa (5715 JP)</a> has changed their capital allocation policy for the third time. The company is a cyclical, and will likely always suffer the indignity of a cyclical multiple.</li>
<li>While it often pays to follows where the family invests when assessing holdco structures, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/melco-international-development-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:809:1" rel="noopener">Melco International (200 HK)</a>'s NAV discount is simply too narrow for a simple holding company structure.</li>
</ul>


Reportedly buyout firms are "vying for" Trend Micro Inc (4704 JP). The stock went limit up today. Again. The stock is now getting to the expensive side.

Furukawa (5715 JP) has changed their capital allocation policy for the third time. The company is a cyclical, and will likely always suffer the indignity of a cyclical multiple.
While it often pays to follows where the family invests when assessing holdco structures, Melco International (200 HK)'s NAV discount is simply too narrow for a simple holding company structure.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Trend Micro, Furukawa, Melco, Ingenia/Lifestyle

<ul>
<li>I tally 59 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.</li>
<li>Two new deals discussed this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/paragon-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5994:1" rel="noopener">Paragon REIT (PGNREIT SP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kaonavi-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29703:1" rel="noopener">Kaonavi Inc (4435 JP)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates/news took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arcadium-lithium-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40438:1" rel="noopener">Arcadium Lithium (LTM AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sun-art-retail-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:401:1" rel="noopener">Sun Art Retail (6808 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hkbn-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:289:1" rel="noopener">HKBN Ltd (1310 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 59 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.
Two new deals discussed this week: Paragon REIT (PGNREIT SP) and Kaonavi Inc (4435 JP).
Key updates/news took place on: Arcadium Lithium (LTM AU), Sun Art Retail (6808 HK), HKBN Ltd (1310 HK), and Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Paragon REIT, Kaonavi, Arcadium Lithium, Sun Art Retail, HKBN, and Seven & I

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://archive.is/UEitc#selection-923.40-923.121" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Reportedly</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ingenia-communities-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5495:1" rel="noopener">Ingenia Communities (INA AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lifestyle-communities-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18592:1" rel="noopener">Lifestyle Communities (LIC AU)</a> -  companies which provide low-cost housing needs for working, semi-retired, and/or retired people - are mulling a merger.</li>
<li>Part of the rumourmill pivots off of the fact Lifestyle will release its 1H25E results after market on the 24th Feb, shortly ahead of Ingenia's own release the following morning.</li>
<li>Lifestyle's share price remain 25% adrift of levels shortly ahead of a July 2024 ABC report alleging excessive exit fees. </li>
</ul>



Reportedly, Ingenia Communities (INA AU) and Lifestyle Communities (LIC AU) -  companies which provide low-cost housing needs for working, semi-retired, and/or retired people - are mulling a merger.
Part of the rumourmill pivots off of the fact Lifestyle will release its 1H25E results after market on the 24th Feb, shortly ahead of Ingenia's own release the following morning.
Lifestyle's share price remain 25% adrift of levels shortly ahead of a July 2024 ABC report alleging excessive exit fees. 


Thoughts On An Ingenia (INA AU) / Lifestyle (LIC AU) Merger

Australia

Ingenia Communities Group manages, develops and invests in a portfolio of retirement village accomodation housing units.

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Ingenia Communities (INA AU)

GemLife: A Gemstone For Australia's Downsizers

Australians are never far away from two of the most discussed secular thematics; housing and aging demographics, two long-term trends which can...

FNArena

Rudi's View: Charter Hall, Droneshield, Pinnacle, WiseTech & More

Update on changes to and revisions of analysts' Best Ideas and Conviction Calls, as well as Model Portfolio compositions

FNArena

Last Week in Event SPACE: Trend Micro, Furukawa, Melco, Ingenia/Lifestyle

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Paragon REIT, Kaonavi, Arcadium Lithium, Sun Art Retail, HKBN, and Seven & I

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Thoughts On An Ingenia (INA AU) / Lifestyle (LIC AU) Merger

Synergies are apparent. An all-scrip deal makes sense. I might look to take down borrow on Ingenia. Or simply go outright long in Lifestyle here.

David Blennerhassett

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