Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Greatview Aseptic Packaging / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>To say <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/greatview-aseptic-packaging" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10802:1" rel="noopener">Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK)</a></strong>'s management and <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shandong-xinjufeng-technology-packaging-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36744:1" rel="noopener">Shandong Xinjufeng (301296 CH)</a></strong> (XJF) don't get along is an understatement. GAPack has labelled XJF's pre-conditional Offer hostile and unwelcome.</li>
<li>Last night (6th August), co-founders Jeff Bi and Gang Hong<a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2024/0806/2024080601644.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener"> tabled a non-binding Offer</a>. No price was mentioned. Collectively they hold 14.72% of shares out compared to XJF's 26.8%.</li>
<li>A firm Offer (and price) would have been welcome, and this probably reflects on-going funding negotiations. But the announcement will give minorities pause if/when tendering into XJF's Offer.</li>
</ul>


To say Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK)'s management and Shandong Xinjufeng (301296 CH) (XJF) don't get along is an understatement. GAPack has labelled XJF's pre-conditional Offer hostile and unwelcome.
Last night (6th August), co-founders Jeff Bi and Gang Hong tabled a non-binding Offer. No price was mentioned. Collectively they hold 14.72% of shares out compared to XJF's 26.8%.
A firm Offer (and price) would have been welcome, and this probably reflects on-going funding negotiations. But the announcement will give minorities pause if/when tendering into XJF's Offer.


GAPack (468 HK)'s Co-Founders (Almost) Walk The Walk

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 26th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$1,578.2 million, led by consumer staples, information technology, financials, and offset by consumer discretionary, health care, utilities.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Zijin Mining, Moutai, CATL, Zhongji Innolight, Wuliangye, Boe Technology.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 26th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$1,578.2 million, led by consumer staples, information technology, financials, and offset by consumer discretionary, health care, utilities.
We highlight flows for Zijin Mining, Moutai, CATL, Zhongji Innolight, Wuliangye, Boe Technology.


Northbound Flows (Jul 26th): Zijin Mining, Moutai, Zhongji Innolight, Wuliangye, Boe Technology

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>Since announcing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shandong-xinjufeng-technology-packaging-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36744:1" rel="noopener">Shandong Xinjufeng Technology Packaging (301296 CH)</a>’s pre-conditional voluntary offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/greatview-aseptic-packaging" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10802:1" rel="noopener">Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK)</a> at HK$2.65 per share, the gross spread has increased. </li>
<li>The Board’s strategy is to rally shareholders against a hostile offer. However, the recent AGM protest votes suggest that the Board cannot easily thwart the offer. </li>
<li>Shandong Xinjufeng's renewed efforts to secure Board representation suggest that its offer is in trouble. Meanwhile, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mengniu-dairy-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:354:1" rel="noopener">China Mengniu Dairy Co (2319 HK)</a> seems disinclined to engage in a bidding war. </li>
</ul>


Since announcing Shandong Xinjufeng Technology Packaging (301296 CH)’s pre-conditional voluntary offer for Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK) at HK$2.65 per share, the gross spread has increased. 
The Board’s strategy is to rally shareholders against a hostile offer. However, the recent AGM protest votes suggest that the Board cannot easily thwart the offer. 
Shandong Xinjufeng's renewed efforts to secure Board representation suggest that its offer is in trouble. Meanwhile, China Mengniu Dairy Co (2319 HK) seems disinclined to engage in a bidding war. 


GAPack (468 HK): Grinding Towards a Stalemate

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 28th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$1,763.0 million, led by information technology, consumer staples, consumer discretionary, and offset by utilities.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Foxconn Industrial Internet, Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls, Wanhua Chemical, BYD.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 28th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$1,763.0 million, led by information technology, consumer staples, consumer discretionary, and offset by utilities.
We highlight flows for Foxconn Industrial Internet, Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls, Wanhua Chemical, BYD.


Northbound Flows (Jun 28th): Foxconn Industrial Internet, Wanhua Chemical, BYD

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 21st.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$2,274.9 million, led by consumer staples, consumer discretionary, financials, and offset by information technology, energy.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Seres, Luxshare Precision, Zhongji Innolight, Eoptolink Technology Inc.,, Moutai, Midea, China Yangtze Power, Zijin Mining, Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 21st.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$2,274.9 million, led by consumer staples, consumer discretionary, financials, and offset by information technology, energy.
We highlight flows for Seres, Luxshare Precision, Zhongji Innolight, Eoptolink Technology Inc.,, Moutai, Midea, China Yangtze Power, Zijin Mining, Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial.


Northbound Flows (Jun 21st): Seres, Luxshare Precision, Zhongji Innolight, Eoptolink, Moutai, Midea

China

Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group Co., Ltd. produces milk, powdered milk, ice cream, and other dairy products.  The Company also produces frozen food and noodles.

Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group (A) (600887 CH)

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Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group (A) (600887 CH)

GAPack (468 HK)'s Co-Founders (Almost) Walk The Walk

Technical difficulties resolved, as the EGM requisitioned by Jingfeng Holding is now back on. Jingfeng is an indirect wholly-owned subsidiary of...

David Blennerhassett

Northbound Flows (Jul 26th): Zijin Mining, Moutai, Zhongji Innolight, Wuliangye, Boe Technology

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Zijin Mining, Moutai, CATL, Zhongji Innolight,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

GAPack (468 HK): Grinding Towards a Stalemate

There is a stalemate as the Board and Shandong Xinjufeng appear to have similar levels of support. The risk (12.1% downside to undisturbed)/reward...

Arun George

Northbound Flows (Jun 28th): Foxconn Industrial Internet, Wanhua Chemical, BYD

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Foxconn Industrial Internet, Zhejiang Sanhua...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (Jun 21st): Seres, Luxshare Precision, Zhongji Innolight, Eoptolink, Moutai, Midea

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Seres, Luxshare Precision, Zhongji Innolight,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)