Learnings from Two Short-Dollar Positions in an Oil Crisis
Post-mortem on two short-dollar trades through the oil shock: a EUR/USD seagull salvaged at −85% and a flat USD/INR short. What paid, which exit...
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India: No Rate Hike in FY27, as Growth Slows a Tad and CAD Widens to 1% of GDP
RBI maintains policy rate, focuses on attracting foreign inflows to debt markets. With Services growing 9%, RGDP to grow 7.3% in FY27, as...
130 Views
India: INR and Equities Under-Valued, with Small CAD, and EPS Set to Accelerate
Smaller trade deficit in Jan-Apr'26 likely kept CAD at 0.6% of GDP in FY26, widening slightly to 1% in FY27. INR's REER fall caused by net FPI...
140 Views
Higher Import Prices and Modest Export Rebound to Push CAD to 1% of GDP in FY27
India's goods exports struggle due to US tariffs, while services exports continue to outpace imports, leading to a widening trade deficit and but...
155 Views
Walker’s Weekly: Dr. Jim's Summary of Key Global Macro Developments - 17 April 2026
Given the geographic location, India is probably going to be the first country in the region to yield data that look as if they're affected by...
182 Views