Podcast Exploring Themes Driving Global Markets, Nomura - The Week Ahead

Nomura – The Week Ahead

Podcast Exploring Themes Driving Global Markets

Nomura - The Week Ahead

We explore the main themes that will drive global markets over the coming week, discussing the key market moving events and risks to keep on your radar.

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>Key data releases in the upcoming week include PMI data from China, CPI data from Tokyo and Australia, GDP data from India, and Industrial production data from Korea</li><li>US core PCE inflation data forecasted to be 0.252% for April, indicating a possible slowdown in inflation</li><li>Fed expected to delay easing cycle start until September, with recent data showing signs of slowing growth and consumer sector cracks</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Key data releases in the upcoming week include PMI data from China, CPI data from Tokyo and Australia, GDP data from India, and Industrial production data from KoreaUS core PCE inflation data forecasted to be 0.252% for April, indicating a possible slowdown in inflationFed expected to delay easing cycle start until September, with recent data showing signs of slowing growth and consumer sector cracksThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Podcast by Ted Seides on Capital Allocators, Capital Allocators

Capital Allocators

Podcast by Ted Seides on Capital Allocators

Allocator and asset management expert, Ted Seides, conducts in-depth interviews with leaders in the institutional investing industry. Guests include Chief Investment Officers from leading allocators, asset managers, strategists, thought leaders, and many more. Our mission is to learn, share, and help implement the process of premier investors.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Dan Taniba moved to India 25 years ago, transitioning from the startup and venture capital world to public equities in 2007</li><li>Discussion covers challenges of venture capital, investing in India, and the case for public equities</li><li>Conversation delves into India capital's perspective on various aspects of investing, with examples and personal anecdotes interwoven throughout.</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Dan Taniba moved to India 25 years ago, transitioning from the startup and venture capital world to public equities in 2007Discussion covers challenges of venture capital, investing in India, and the case for public equitiesConversation delves into India capital's perspective on various aspects of investing, with examples and personal anecdotes interwoven throughout.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Dan Tennebaum - The Case for India at India Capital (EP.387)

Geopolitical Analyst, Steno Research, Steno Research

Mikkel Rosenvold

Geopolitical Analyst, Steno Research

Macro and Geopolitical Research House

Steno Research

Steno Research is a new macro and geopolitical research house. We are based out of Copenhagen, Denmark, but have an international team and a strong network of sources and partners around the world. The team is lead by Andreas Steno, previous global head of strategy at Nordea Bank, and Mikkel Rosenvold, former chief consultant in the Danish Ministry of Finance.

<ul>
<li>Welcome to this week’s Great Game where we will catch up on events in the Middle East and also cover the Trump trial that’s currently taking all the attention in the US Election race.</li>
<li>Situation:Israel responded very lightly to the massive Iranian attack on April 13th and we haven’t heard any more from that conflict over the past week.</li>
<li>As we predicted, Israel’s response was “next to nothing” and clearly acknowledged the de-escalatory nature of Iran’s strike. I know some took offense to that analysis, but it is genuinely our assessment and I think events since has reinforced that view.</li>
</ul>


Welcome to this week’s Great Game where we will catch up on events in the Middle East and also cover the Trump trial that’s currently taking all the attention in the US Election race.
Situation:Israel responded very lightly to the massive Iranian attack on April 13th and we haven’t heard any more from that conflict over the past week.
As we predicted, Israel’s response was “next to nothing” and clearly acknowledged the de-escalatory nature of Iran’s strike. I know some took offense to that analysis, but it is genuinely our assessment and I think events since has reinforced that view.


Great Game – Could Biden Have Even More to Fear from Trump’s Trial?

Chief Economist & Political Strategist, CrossASEAN Research

Prasenjit K. Basu

Chief Economist & Political Strategist

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

<ul>
<li>Merchandise exports grew 11.9%YoY in Feb'24 (+7.5%YoY in Jan-Feb'24) amid a broad-based rebound in engineering, pharma, chemical, electronic exports. With exports outpacing imports, the merchandise deficit declined 8.2%YoY in Apr'23-Feb'24. </li>
<li>Services exports are robust, with many hitherto-imported services also moving onshore. The services trade surplus widened 20%YoY in Apr'23-Jan'24, likely enabling the FY24 CAD to shrink to 0.6% of GDP.</li>
<li>With goods exports set to accelerate, and crude oil prices relatively tame, we expect the current account to swing to a surplus in CY24 (and +0.5% of GDP in FY25). </li>
</ul>


Merchandise exports grew 11.9%YoY in Feb'24 (+7.5%YoY in Jan-Feb'24) amid a broad-based rebound in engineering, pharma, chemical, electronic exports. With exports outpacing imports, the merchandise deficit declined 8.2%YoY in Apr'23-Feb'24. 
Services exports are robust, with many hitherto-imported services also moving onshore. The services trade surplus widened 20%YoY in Apr'23-Jan'24, likely enabling the FY24 CAD to shrink to 0.6% of GDP.
With goods exports set to accelerate, and crude oil prices relatively tame, we expect the current account to swing to a surplus in CY24 (and +0.5% of GDP in FY25). 


India: Merchandise and Services Both Help Toward a CA Surplus in CY24

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist, Steno Research

Andreas Steno

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist

<ul><li>Markets are pricing in heavy cuts for next year as inflation keeps coming in soft, making a soft landing the base case for the bulls, but everything comes at a price.</li><li>But how are assets likely to perform if the market narrative is correct and yields will indeed come down in a continued bull-steepening fashion, which in our view is the most likely scenario in H1 2024?</li><li>We have pulled out some of our cross-asset beta studies from our data-library to provide you with an overview of how assets perform during various yield curve regimes.</li></ul>

Markets are pricing in heavy cuts for next year as inflation keeps coming in soft, making a soft landing the base case for the bulls, but everything comes at a price.But how are assets likely to perform if the market narrative is correct and yields will indeed come down in a continued bull-steepening fashion, which in our view is the most likely scenario in H1 2024?We have pulled out some of our cross-asset beta studies from our data-library to provide you with an overview of how assets perform during various yield curve regimes.

Bull Steepening Watch – Is Lower Yields Really What Risk Assets Want?

India

The Indian rupee is the official currency of India. 

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Inflation Moderation?

Key economic data releases from China, the US, and Europe are closely monitored for signals on inflation and growth, while the Fed is expected to...

Nomura – The Week Ahead

Dan Tennebaum - The Case for India at India Capital (EP.387)

Dan moved to India 25 years ago, transitioning from startups and venture capital to public markets, sharing insights on his journey and experiences...

Capital Allocators

Great Game – Could Biden Have Even More to Fear from Trump’s Trial?

Welcome to this week’s Great Game where we will catch up on events in the Middle East and also cover the Trump trial that’s currently taking all...

Steno Research

India: Merchandise and Services Both Help Toward a CA Surplus in CY24

Goods exports grew 7.5%YoY in Jan-Feb24, leading to a decline in the merchandise deficit. With the services surplus up 20%YoY, a swing to a...

Prasenjit K. Basu

Bull Steepening Watch – Is Lower Yields Really What Risk Assets Want?

Let’s run through each asset class to see where to put your eggs if a bull-steepening of the yield curve continues into 2024.

Steno Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Inflation Moderation?

Key economic data releases from China, the US, and Europe are closely monitored for signals on inflation and growth, while the Fed is expected to...

Nomura – The Week Ahead

Dan Tennebaum - The Case for India at India Capital (EP.387)

Dan moved to India 25 years ago, transitioning from startups and venture capital to public markets, sharing insights on his journey and experiences...

Capital Allocators

Great Game – Could Biden Have Even More to Fear from Trump’s Trial?

Welcome to this week’s Great Game where we will catch up on events in the Middle East and also cover the Trump trial that’s currently taking all...

Steno Research

India: Merchandise and Services Both Help Toward a CA Surplus in CY24

​Goods exports grew 7.5%YoY in Jan-Feb24, leading to a decline in the merchandise deficit. With the services surplus up 20%YoY, a swing to a...

Prasenjit K. Basu

Bull Steepening Watch – Is Lower Yields Really What Risk Assets Want?

Let’s run through each asset class to see where to put your eggs if a bull-steepening of the yield curve continues into 2024.

Steno Research

Goods exports grew 7.5%YoY in Jan-Feb24, leading to a decline in the merchandise deficit. With the services surplus up 20%YoY, a swing to a...