Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Last night, the Board of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intouch-holdings-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17638:1" rel="noopener">Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB)</a>  <a href="https://hub.optiwise.io/en/documents/126006/6443705A1ADCC43E2A43725E1ADAC538670F012A12A8B03D653207281ED9C34E6042702B6BDFC4311044072F6BADC53E144B6C1E4E8DCF396043755C1AD9C13A6741765E1EDBC33964366C1E4E8D_160720242124040612E.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> an amalgamation with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gulf-energy-development-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26038:1" rel="noopener">Gulf Energy Development (GULF TB)</a> and Tender Offers for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/advanced-info-service-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:947:1" rel="noopener">Advanced Info Service (ADVANC TB)</a> (at THB 216.30) </li>
<li>And <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thaicom-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18019:1" rel="noopener">Thaicom Pcl (THCOM TB)</a> (THB 11.00) shares. This is really big news. It appears to try to cap years of re-arrangement of the capital structure. It's complicated.</li>
<li>But it is not fair. INTUCH shareholders lose 22% of earnings value per investment value in 2024. 20% in 2025. But, there may be a way to block it...</li>
</ul>


Last night, the Board of Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB)  announced an amalgamation with Gulf Energy Development (GULF TB) and Tender Offers for Advanced Info Service (ADVANC TB) (at THB 216.30) 
And Thaicom Pcl (THCOM TB) (THB 11.00) shares. This is really big news. It appears to try to cap years of re-arrangement of the capital structure. It's complicated.
But it is not fair. INTUCH shareholders lose 22% of earnings value per investment value in 2024. 20% in 2025. But, there may be a way to block it...


Cascading Takeunders for INTUCH, ADVANC, and THCOM as GULF TB Seeks To "Restructure"

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Two thirds of the way through the review period, we see one change for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stock-exchange-of-thailand-set-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31493:1" rel="noopener">SET 50 Index</a> in December with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kce-electronics-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1892:1" rel="noopener">KCE Electronics (KCE TB)</a> replacing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ngern-tid-lor-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31103:1" rel="noopener">Ngern Tid Lor (TIDLOR TB)</a>. </li>
<li>There is one close change where <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/i-tail-corp-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36428:1" rel="noopener">I-TAIL (ITC TB)</a> could replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/srisawad-corp-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9480:1" rel="noopener">Srisawad Power 1979 (SAWAD TB)</a> in the index.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/delta-electronics-thailand-pcl-98806732-8ac4-42b2-a565-ba32673d1e5a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20912:1" rel="noopener">Delta Electronics Thailand (DELTA TB)</a> is unlikely to be deleted while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/berli-jucker-public-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3685:1" rel="noopener">Berli Jucker (BJC TB)</a> fails liquidity and is unlikely to be added.</li>
</ul>


Two thirds of the way through the review period, we see one change for the SET 50 Index in December with KCE Electronics (KCE TB) replacing Ngern Tid Lor (TIDLOR TB). 
There is one close change where I-TAIL (ITC TB) could replace Srisawad Power 1979 (SAWAD TB) in the index.

Delta Electronics Thailand (DELTA TB) is unlikely to be deleted while Berli Jucker (BJC TB) fails liquidity and is unlikely to be added.


SET50 Index Rebalance Preview: One High Probability Change; Another One Is Close

Smartkarma AI Primers, Smartkarma

αSK Primers

Smartkarma AI Primers

Smartkarma

Smartkarma unites the fragmented investment industry, connecting institutional investors, independent research providers, and corporates within a single network.

Research Reinvented

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
 <li>
<a href="https://smartkarma.com/entities/intouch-holdings-pcl">Intouch Holdings</a> (INTUCH) is a prominent Thai holding company with a strategic focus on the telecommunications, media, and technology (TMT) sectors. Its primary asset is a significant stake in Advanced Info Service (AIS), Thailand's largest mobile operator.</li>
 <li>The company's revenue is largely derived from dividends and profit sharing from its investments, particularly AIS, making its financial performance closely tied to the success of its subsidiaries.</li>
 <li>A recent significant development is the amalgamation with Gulf Energy Development Public Company Limited, which is expected to create synergies between the energy and telecommunications sectors and simplify the shareholding structure.</li>
</ul>This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


  
Intouch Holdings (INTUCH) is a prominent Thai holding company with a strategic focus on the telecommunications, media, and technology (TMT) sectors. Its primary asset is a significant stake in Advanced Info Service (AIS), Thailand's largest mobile operator.
  The company's revenue is largely derived from dividends and profit sharing from its investments, particularly AIS, making its financial performance closely tied to the success of its subsidiaries.
  A recent significant development is the amalgamation with Gulf Energy Development Public Company Limited, which is expected to create synergies between the energy and telecommunications sectors and simplify the shareholding structure.
This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.

Primer: Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB) - Apr 2026

Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>KTX expects the index to continue weakening, setting new lows for the year, with the support levels for a potential rebound at 1,167/1,130 points and the resistance at 1,250/1,266 points.</li><li>We recommend buying once a strong technical reversal pattern, specifically a V-shaped recovery, emerges.</li><li>Key market highlights include: i) clarity on US reciprocal tariffs for countries with trade surpluses with the US, including Thailand, before enforcement in early April 2025; ii) economic stimulus measures from the Chinese government; iii) outcomes of the Fed, ECB, and BoE meetings; iv) market impact from the ex-dividend effect; and v) domestic politics, with the no-confidence debate against the government potentially leading to a Cabinet reshuffle.</li></ul>

KTX expects the index to continue weakening, setting new lows for the year, with the support levels for a potential rebound at 1,167/1,130 points and the resistance at 1,250/1,266 points.We recommend buying once a strong technical reversal pattern, specifically a V-shaped recovery, emerges.Key market highlights include: i) clarity on US reciprocal tariffs for countries with trade surpluses with the US, including Thailand, before enforcement in early April 2025; ii) economic stimulus measures from the Chinese government; iii) outcomes of the Fed, ECB, and BoE meetings; iv) market impact from the ex-dividend effect; and v) domestic politics, with the no-confidence debate against the government potentially leading to a Cabinet reshuffle.

Monthly Report: March 2025 (March 6, 2025)

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Technically, the SET Index is expected to move with a weak rebound pattern, with the support levels at 1,192/1,187 points and the resistance levels at 1,212/1,217 points.</li><li>KTX expects the MPC to maintain the policy rate in today's meeting, given Thailand's inflation remains on a recovery path.</li><li>Foreign fund inflows into the SET may strengthen significantly, based on the following factors: i) The MPC is likely to maintain interest rates and refrain from signaling a rate cut, despite calls for a rate decrease from the prime minister and several industries.</li></ul>

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move with a weak rebound pattern, with the support levels at 1,192/1,187 points and the resistance levels at 1,212/1,217 points.KTX expects the MPC to maintain the policy rate in today's meeting, given Thailand's inflation remains on a recovery path.Foreign fund inflows into the SET may strengthen significantly, based on the following factors: i) The MPC is likely to maintain interest rates and refrain from signaling a rate cut, despite calls for a rate decrease from the prime minister and several industries.

Thailand

Intouch Holdings Public Company Limited is a Thailand-based investment holding company primarily engaged in the telecommunications, media, and technology (TMT) sectors, with a focus on digital businesses. The company primarily generates revenue through its stakes in subsidiaries and associates, most notably Advanced Info Service (AIS), Thailand's largest mobile operator. It was established in 1983 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.

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Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB)

Cascading Takeunders for INTUCH, ADVANC, and THCOM as GULF TB Seeks To "Restructure"

This is a complicated multi-conditional deal - great for GULF bad for INTUCH - which appears to be "done" except for an inter-conditional aspect...

Travis Lundy

SET50 Index Rebalance Preview: One High Probability Change; Another One Is Close

KCE could replace TIDLOR in the SET50 in Dec. ITC is a close add and could replace SAWAD. The impact on the stocks is big given the index is...

Brian Freitas

Primer: Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB) - Apr 2026

Intouch Holdings (INTUCH) is a prominent Thai holding company with a strategic focus on the telecommunications, media, and technology (TMT)...

αSK Primers

Monthly Report: March 2025 (March 6, 2025)

KTX expects the index to continue weakening, setting new lows for the year, with the support levels for a potential rebound at 1,167/1,130 points...

Krungthai XSpring

MPC Meeting & Earnings Results of Nvidia

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move with a weak rebound pattern, with the support levels at 1,192/1,187 points and the resistance...

Krungthai XSpring

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