New Zealand Professional Investment Services Firm, Forsyth Barr

Forsyth Barr

New Zealand Professional Investment Services Firm

We are proud to be a New Zealand owned firm, with 21 offices throughout the country and over 300 employees. We assist personal, institutional and corporate clients providing a full range of investment services.

Forsyth Barr is a foundation New Zealand Exchange firm (NZX) and accredited market participant. We have been confirmed by the Financial Markets Authority as a Qualifying Financial Entity (QFE).

Research is the cornerstone of our advice. We have one of New Zealand's leading teams of analysts. Our global affiliations ensure comprehensive research coverage of all major investment markets.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The listed property sector had a small bounce back in May, gaining +2.5% through the month.</li><li>Portfolios remained largely robust, but vacancy lifted in industrial.</li><li>Despite recent volatility, we continue to view property as attractive given its predictable earnings and undemanding valuation metrics.</li></ul>

The listed property sector had a small bounce back in May, gaining +2.5% through the month.Portfolios remained largely robust, but vacancy lifted in industrial.Despite recent volatility, we continue to view property as attractive given its predictable earnings and undemanding valuation metrics.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Investore (IPL) has announced the acquisition of Bunnings New Lynn, consistent with its strategy to reduce supermarket exposure and secure leases with more fixed rental growth.</li><li>Gearing has increased to approximately 41.1%, above the target range, but the company plans to fund this through non-core asset sales and continue remixing the portfolio over the next 12-24 months.</li><li>IPL is trading at a -28% discount to its book value, with a market-implied portfolio cap rate of 7.6%.</li></ul>

Investore (IPL) has announced the acquisition of Bunnings New Lynn, consistent with its strategy to reduce supermarket exposure and secure leases with more fixed rental growth.Gearing has increased to approximately 41.1%, above the target range, but the company plans to fund this through non-core asset sales and continue remixing the portfolio over the next 12-24 months.IPL is trading at a -28% discount to its book value, with a market-implied portfolio cap rate of 7.6%.

<ul><li>The listed property sector has had a soft start to 2026, but we remain constructive for the year ahead.</li><li>Our preferred sector picks are Precinct (PCT), reflecting its high-quality portfolio, third-party capital strategy and attractive gross yield; Vital Healthcare (VHP), due to its long-leased healthcare portfolio and solid medium-term inflation linked earnings growth; and Stride (SPG), for its attractive yield, discount to NTA and leverage from its management fee income streams.</li><li>In this note, we outline five themes that we think should impact sector performance over the year ahead.</li></ul>

The listed property sector has had a soft start to 2026, but we remain constructive for the year ahead.Our preferred sector picks are Precinct (PCT), reflecting its high-quality portfolio, third-party capital strategy and attractive gross yield; Vital Healthcare (VHP), due to its long-leased healthcare portfolio and solid medium-term inflation linked earnings growth; and Stride (SPG), for its attractive yield, discount to NTA and leverage from its management fee income streams.In this note, we outline five themes that we think should impact sector performance over the year ahead.

<ul><li>Falling short-term interest rates have swung sentiment in the listed property sector’s favour.</li><li>We have rolled the lower forward interest rate curve through our models and adjusted our NAV assumptions, which drives a +3% to +9% increase in sector target prices.</li><li>The NZ property sector rose +5.8% in September, outperforming the broader market, which was up +2.8%.</li></ul>

Falling short-term interest rates have swung sentiment in the listed property sector’s favour.We have rolled the lower forward interest rate curve through our models and adjusted our NAV assumptions, which drives a +3% to +9% increase in sector target prices.The NZ property sector rose +5.8% in September, outperforming the broader market, which was up +2.8%.

Equity Capital Markets

Precinct Properties New Zealand / Equity Capital Markets

<ul><li>The listed property sector was broadly flat in October after delivering a +18% total return year-to-date.</li><li>Precinct (PCT) raised NZ$325m of additional equity in the month, which weighed on sector performance as investors looked for funders, and the risk of further capital raisings weighed on sentiment.</li><li>Our analysis of the sector’s long-term development pipelines and potential funding options highlights a divide between those with access to capital (PCT, Goodman (GMT)) and those without, who may need to recycle non-core assets or tap into additional sources of capital to fund growth aspirations.</li></ul>

The listed property sector was broadly flat in October after delivering a +18% total return year-to-date.Precinct (PCT) raised NZ$325m of additional equity in the month, which weighed on sector performance as investors looked for funders, and the risk of further capital raisings weighed on sentiment.Our analysis of the sector’s long-term development pipelines and potential funding options highlights a divide between those with access to capital (PCT, Goodman (GMT)) and those without, who may need to recycle non-core assets or tap into additional sources of capital to fund growth aspirations.

Real Estate Reflections Taking a Breather

Sweden

Investor AB is an industrial holding company. The Company owns significant shareholdings in major public multinational companies and conducts private equity activities in Europe, North America, and Asia. Investor takes an active ownership role in many of the companies it owns.

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Investor (INVEB SS)

Real Estate Reflections Turning The Tide

The listed property sector had a small bounce back in May, gaining +2.5% through the month. Portfolios remained largely robust, but vacancy lifted...

Forsyth Barr

Investore Some More DIY

Investore (IPL) has announced the acquisition of Bunnings New Lynn, consistent with its strategy to reduce supermarket exposure and secure leases...

Forsyth Barr

Property Sector Five Themes For 2026

The listed property sector has had a soft start to 2026, but we remain constructive for the year ahead. Our preferred sector picks are Precinct...

Forsyth Barr

Real Estate Reflections Hot Property

We have rolled the lower forward interest rate curve through our models and adjusted our NAV assumptions, which drives a +3% to +9% increase in...

Forsyth Barr

Real Estate Reflections Taking a Breather

Precinct (PCT) raised NZ$325m of additional equity in the month, which weighed on sector performance as investors looked for funders, and the risk...

Forsyth Barr

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