IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The EGM to approve the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pexa-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34716:1" rel="noopener">PEXA Group (PXA AU)</a> distribution of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-administration-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:970:1" rel="noopener">Link Administration (LNK AU)</a>’s remaining 38.49% stake is on 23 December. Shareholders get one PEXA share per 7.52 Link shares.</li>
<li>This marks the latest move to unlock the underlying value by pursuing a breakup strategy. Discussions continue on DND's acquisition of the CM and the BCM business for A$1.27 billion.  </li>
<li>Our base-case SoTP value is A$4.42 per share, which is 28% above the last close. If you haven’t been turned off by the Link saga, it is worth a look.</li>
</ul>


The EGM to approve the PEXA Group (PXA AU) distribution of Link Administration (LNK AU)’s remaining 38.49% stake is on 23 December. Shareholders get one PEXA share per 7.52 Link shares.
This marks the latest move to unlock the underlying value by pursuing a breakup strategy. Discussions continue on DND's acquisition of the CM and the BCM business for A$1.27 billion.  
Our base-case SoTP value is A$4.42 per share, which is 28% above the last close. If you haven’t been turned off by the Link saga, it is worth a look.


Link Admin (LNK AU) Sets in Motion a Strategy to Realise Underlying Value

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Nov 11th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD19.6bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Westpac, Woodside, Norther Star, ANZ, Aristocrat Leisure, New Hope, Rio Tinto.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Nov 11th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD19.6bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Westpac, Woodside, Norther Star, ANZ, Aristocrat Leisure, New Hope, Rio Tinto.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Nov 11th): Westpac, Woodside, Norther Star

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Sep 30th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD15.2bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Woodside, CBA, NAB, ANZ, Metcash, Xero, Core Lithium.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Sep 30th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD15.2bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Woodside, CBA, NAB, ANZ, Metcash, Xero, Core Lithium.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Sep 30th): Woodside, CBA, NAB, ANZ, Metcash, Xero, Core Lithium

<ul>
<li>Dye &amp; Durham/DND is a persistent bidder and returned with a A$1.27 billion bid for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-administration-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:970:1" rel="noopener">Link Administration (LNK AU)</a>’s CM and BCM businesses. The Board will update next week. </li>
<li>The latest offer is attractive but curiously, contradicts DND’s previous comments that the FCA would make it challenging to distribute any part sale proceeds.</li>
<li>Despite the overhang from the FCA fine, DND’s ongoing persistence and the Board’s potential in-specie distribution of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pexa-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34716:1" rel="noopener">PEXA Group (PXA AU)</a> stake highlight the underlying value.</li>
</ul>


Dye &amp; Durham/DND is a persistent bidder and returned with a A$1.27 billion bid for Link Administration (LNK AU)’s CM and BCM businesses. The Board will update next week. 
The latest offer is attractive but curiously, contradicts DND’s previous comments that the FCA would make it challenging to distribute any part sale proceeds.
Despite the overhang from the FCA fine, DND’s ongoing persistence and the Board’s potential in-specie distribution of the PEXA Group (PXA AU) stake highlight the underlying value.


Link’s Ongoing Overtures from DND Underscore Its Value

<ul>
<li>Dye &amp; Durham/DND has proposed a revised <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-administration-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:970:1" rel="noopener">Link Administration (LNK AU)</a> offer to address any FCA redress payments. Around A$1.00 per share will hang on the outcome of the FCA investigation.</li>
<li>The Link Board has said it cannot recommend the revised proposal based on value, structure and alternatives available to Link. We agree with the Board’s view.</li>
<li>The scheme is all but dead. The shares are now a back-end play and remain attractive for value investors.</li>
</ul>


Dye &amp; Durham/DND has proposed a revised Link Administration (LNK AU) offer to address any FCA redress payments. Around A$1.00 per share will hang on the outcome of the FCA investigation.
The Link Board has said it cannot recommend the revised proposal based on value, structure and alternatives available to Link. We agree with the Board’s view.
The scheme is all but dead. The shares are now a back-end play and remain attractive for value investors.


Link’s On Again-Off Again Scheme Is All but Off

Australia

Iress Limited provides real-time information services to businesses that specialize in the equity, equity options and future information markets in Australia and New Zealand. The Group supplies a range of pricing data, charting, news and equity and equity derivatives and also offers real-time trading tools, including a domestic order routing product and financial

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Iress Ltd (IRE AU)

Link Admin (LNK AU) Sets in Motion a Strategy to Realise Underlying Value

The PEXA distribution marks the latest move to unlock the underlying value by pursuing a breakup strategy. If you haven’t been turned off by the...

Arun George

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Nov 11th): Westpac, Woodside, Norther Star

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Westpac, Woodside, Norther Star, ANZ, Aristocrat...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Sep 30th): Woodside, CBA, NAB, ANZ, Metcash, Xero, Core Lithium

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Woodside, CBA, NAB, ANZ, Metcash, Xero, Core Lithium.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Link’s Ongoing Overtures from DND Underscore Its Value

DND’s latest offer and the Board’s perusal of the in-specie distribution of the PEXA stake were the catalysts required to highlight the underlying...

Arun George

Link’s On Again-Off Again Scheme Is All but Off

The scheme is all but dead. The Link Board will not recommend the revised proposal. The shares are now a back-end play and remain attractive for...

Arun George

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