Metals, Ores, and Mining Firms, Mint Finance

Pranay Yadav

Metals, Ores, and Mining Firms

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Commodities

<ul>
<li>Iron ore prices rose 1.8% last week, maintaining levels above $100/MT due to positive sentiment from potential Chinese stimulus measures.</li>
<li>The volume put/call ratio for FEF options last week increased to 1.23, reflecting renewed put activity despite positive price action.</li>
<li>Implied volatility (IV) remained largely flat last week. Despite continued interest in put options, IV skew declined suggesting puts became relatively cheaper.</li>
</ul>


Iron ore prices rose 1.8% last week, maintaining levels above $100/MT due to positive sentiment from potential Chinese stimulus measures.
The volume put/call ratio for FEF options last week increased to 1.23, reflecting renewed put activity despite positive price action.
Implied volatility (IV) remained largely flat last week. Despite continued interest in put options, IV skew declined suggesting puts became relatively cheaper.


[Iron Options Weekly 2024/31] Small Price Recovery in Iron Ore Following China Stimulus Measures

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist, Steno Research

Andreas Steno

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist

Macro and Geopolitical Research House

Steno Research

Steno Research is a new macro and geopolitical research house. We are based out of Copenhagen, Denmark, but have an international team and a strong network of sources and partners around the world. The team is lead by Andreas Steno, previous global head of strategy at Nordea Bank, and Mikkel Rosenvold, former chief consultant in the Danish Ministry of Finance.

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>Welcome to our Weekly EM editorial.</li><li>In light of a likely Fed cutting cycle commencing in September, we will analyze why this cycle is anything but ordinary and how the EM price cycle may disrupt standard playbooks on trading a US cutting cycle.</li><li>Key Takeaways: Gold is likely to perform (much) worse than during a typical Fed cutting cycle. China is actively trying to cool down the gold market. The EM inflation cycle is indicative of what’s upcoming in DM markets into 2025. The Copper to Gold ratio is a screaming “buy” given this context.</li></ul>

Welcome to our Weekly EM editorial.In light of a likely Fed cutting cycle commencing in September, we will analyze why this cycle is anything but ordinary and how the EM price cycle may disrupt standard playbooks on trading a US cutting cycle.Key Takeaways: Gold is likely to perform (much) worse than during a typical Fed cutting cycle. China is actively trying to cool down the gold market. The EM inflation cycle is indicative of what’s upcoming in DM markets into 2025. The Copper to Gold ratio is a screaming “buy” given this context.

EM Watch: Why China is trying to wreak havoc on your Gold longs

Breaking Down the Mining News of the Day, Money of Mine

Money of Mine

Breaking Down the Mining News of the Day

An ex-underground miner, an ex-investment banker, and an ex-equity research guy breaking down the mining news of the day. It's a bit of entertainment, information, and occasionally some alpha.

<ul><li>Champion Iron Ore, also known as Champ, is a premium producer in the iron ore sector with potential for increased attention over time.</li><li>Adriatic Metals is ramping up production at their Vares silver-zinc polymetallic deposit in Bosnia, but facing challenges with cash flow and development rates.</li><li>Cash flow issues, teething problems with mining services, and logistical challenges are hindering Adriatic's ramp up, but they are on track to reach their nameplate by Q4.</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Champion Iron Ore, also known as Champ, is a premium producer in the iron ore sector with potential for increased attention over time.Adriatic Metals is ramping up production at their Vares silver-zinc polymetallic deposit in Bosnia, but facing challenges with cash flow and development rates.Cash flow issues, teething problems with mining services, and logistical challenges are hindering Adriatic's ramp up, but they are on track to reach their nameplate by Q4.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

<ul>
<li>Weakness Persists: Iron ore prices hovered at critical support level of $100/ton on consistent ample supply &amp; weak demand driven by China's slowing manufacturing sector.</li>
<li>Options Market Shift: Despite overall bearish sentiment, the options market showed increased call activity, particularly for front-month expiries, indicating potential short-term bullish speculation.</li>
<li>Production &amp; Supply Outlook: Major producers like Vale &amp; Rio Tinto are expected to increase iron ore output, contributing to a bearish outlook due to ample supply in global markets.</li>
</ul>


Weakness Persists: Iron ore prices hovered at critical support level of $100/ton on consistent ample supply &amp; weak demand driven by China's slowing manufacturing sector.
Options Market Shift: Despite overall bearish sentiment, the options market showed increased call activity, particularly for front-month expiries, indicating potential short-term bullish speculation.
Production &amp; Supply Outlook: Major producers like Vale &amp; Rio Tinto are expected to increase iron ore output, contributing to a bearish outlook due to ample supply in global markets.


[IO Weekly 2024/30] China’s Manufacturing Slowdown & Strong Supply Continue to Pressure Iron Ore

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>BHP bullish on copper, bearish on iron ore due to buying Filo with Lundeens</li><li>FMG share price down nearly 40% with export volumes shrinking and rising costs in WA operations</li><li>Iron ore prices break below $100/ton for the first time in a while, China steelmaker Jiangsu DeLong facing counterparty risk and property market struggles due to lack of demand and unfinished projects</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

BHP bullish on copper, bearish on iron ore due to buying Filo with LundeensFMG share price down nearly 40% with export volumes shrinking and rising costs in WA operationsIron ore prices break below $100/ton for the first time in a while, China steelmaker Jiangsu DeLong facing counterparty risk and property market struggles due to lack of demand and unfinished projectsThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

The Largest Acquisition of an Undeveloped Project in Decades

Australia

Iron ores are rocks and minerals from which metallic iron can be economically extracted. The ores are usually rich in iron oxides and vary in color from dark grey, bright yellow, deep purple, to rusty red. The iron itself is usually found in the form of magnetite (Fe3O4, 72.4% Fe), hematite (Fe2O3, 69.9% Fe), goethite (FeO(OH), 62.9% Fe), limonite (FeO(OH).n(H2O)) or siderite (FeCO3, 48.2% Fe).

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Iron Ore (IRON ORE COMDTY)

[Iron Options Weekly 2024/31] Small Price Recovery in Iron Ore Following China Stimulus Measures

Iron ore prices experienced a modest recovery, buoyed by anticipated Chinese stimulus. However, options markets suggest put activity remains...

Mint Finance

EM Watch: Why China is trying to wreak havoc on your Gold longs

Welcome to our Weekly EM editorial. In light of a likely Fed cutting cycle commencing in September, we will analyze why this cycle is anything but...

Steno Research

Miners at Peak Risk/Reward

Champion Iron Ore is a premium iron ore producer gaining attention, while Adriatic Metals faces challenges in ramping up production at their Vares...

Money of Mine

[IO Weekly 2024/30] China’s Manufacturing Slowdown & Strong Supply Continue to Pressure Iron Ore

Iron ore weakness persists with prices stable around $100 amidst China's manufacturing slowdown, increased call activity in the options market, and...

Mint Finance

The Largest Acquisition of an Undeveloped Project in Decades

BHP bullish on copper but bearish on iron ore, FMG experiencing block trades and share price decrease, uncertainty in future projects and executive...

Money of Mine

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