Iron Ore, Copper, Equities, Mint Finance

Umang Agrawal

Iron Ore, Copper, Equities

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Commodities

<ul>
<li>Iron ore declined as traders cut positions before Lunar New Year, while near-record Chinese inventories and softer mill activity weighed on demand.</li>
<li>BHP delivered strong H1 performance, with revenue and earnings rising sharply, while an above-consensus dividend signalled strong cash generation and shareholder returns. </li>
<li>Bearish momentum is intensifying as MACD weakens further, volatility expands, and prices remain firmly pinned to the lower Bollinger Band.</li>
</ul>


Iron ore declined as traders cut positions before Lunar New Year, while near-record Chinese inventories and softer mill activity weighed on demand.
BHP delivered strong H1 performance, with revenue and earnings rising sharply, while an above-consensus dividend signalled strong cash generation and shareholder returns. 
Bearish momentum is intensifying as MACD weakens further, volatility expands, and prices remain firmly pinned to the lower Bollinger Band.


Iron Ore Retreat Extends as Seasonal Lull Meets Structural Selling Pressure

Metals, Ores, and Mining Firms, Mint Finance

Pranay Yadav

Metals, Ores, and Mining Firms

<ul>
<li>Record imports, swelling inventories - China imported 119.65Mt in December (record), lifting port inventories by 10Mt in January and ~30Mt over four months, capping further pre-Lunar New Year restocking demand.</li>
<li>IODEX futures reversed early gains, remain in a downtrend, and face a potential 21DMA/100DMA bearish crossover, with seasonal patterns pointing to post-LNY weakness.</li>
<li>Skew fell sharply during the rally and remains softer, while higher convexity in later expiries signals far OTM demand pushed beyond February, reflecting muted near-term volatility expectations.</li>
</ul>


Record imports, swelling inventories - China imported 119.65Mt in December (record), lifting port inventories by 10Mt in January and ~30Mt over four months, capping further pre-Lunar New Year restocking demand.
IODEX futures reversed early gains, remain in a downtrend, and face a potential 21DMA/100DMA bearish crossover, with seasonal patterns pointing to post-LNY weakness.
Skew fell sharply during the rally and remains softer, while higher convexity in later expiries signals far OTM demand pushed beyond February, reflecting muted near-term volatility expectations.


Iron Ore Monthly (January 2026): Record Chinese Imports, Rising Inventories, And Rising Put Interest

Oil and Gas, Mint Finance

Suhas Reddy

Oil and Gas

<ul>
<li>Iron ore fell 4.5% for the week ending 06/Feb as weak steel demand, rising Chinese port inventories, and a broader commodity risk-off sentiment outweighed steady blast furnace output.</li>
<li>BHP–Lundin’s Vicuña plans USD 800 million copper investment, Rio–Glencore talks collapsed, while Macquarie lifted Fortescue to Neutral.</li>
<li>SGX iron ore prices remain below short-term MAs but show signs of stabilisation, with Bollinger exhaustion and range formation pointing to a potential near-term rebound.</li>
</ul>


Iron ore fell 4.5% for the week ending 06/Feb as weak steel demand, rising Chinese port inventories, and a broader commodity risk-off sentiment outweighed steady blast furnace output.
BHP–Lundin’s Vicuña plans USD 800 million copper investment, Rio–Glencore talks collapsed, while Macquarie lifted Fortescue to Neutral.
SGX iron ore prices remain below short-term MAs but show signs of stabilisation, with Bollinger exhaustion and range formation pointing to a potential near-term rebound.


Iron Ore Under Pressure, but Positioning and Structure Point to Stabilisation

<ul>
<li>Seasonal Brazilian disruptions and Vale’s mine suspensions tighten supply, helping stabilise iron ore prices and limit near-term downside.</li>
<li>BHP reclaimed Australia’s top market cap spot and Morgan Stanley maintained bullish views, while staying cautious on Fortescue.</li>
<li>Bearish MA crossover keeps iron ore below key short-term MAs, but lower Bollinger Band support hints at rebound potential.</li>
</ul>


Seasonal Brazilian disruptions and Vale’s mine suspensions tighten supply, helping stabilise iron ore prices and limit near-term downside.
BHP reclaimed Australia’s top market cap spot and Morgan Stanley maintained bullish views, while staying cautious on Fortescue.
Bearish MA crossover keeps iron ore below key short-term MAs, but lower Bollinger Band support hints at rebound potential.


Weak Steel Demand Vs Supply Curbs, Where Does Iron Ore Go Next?

<ul>
<li>Simandou supply adds choice, accident headlines pressure sentiment, while restocking demand offsets rising inventories, keeping iron ore prices supported. </li>
<li>In H1 FY26, BHP’s iron ore output rose 2% YoY, but pricing headwinds from China negotiations highlight rising realisation risk despite unchanged FY26 output guidance.</li>
<li>After stalling near the upper Bollinger band, the DCE–SGX momentum has cooled but stays constructive, pointing to consolidation rather than reversal without fresh catalysts.</li>
</ul>


Simandou supply adds choice, accident headlines pressure sentiment, while restocking demand offsets rising inventories, keeping iron ore prices supported. 
In H1 FY26, BHP’s iron ore output rose 2% YoY, but pricing headwinds from China negotiations highlight rising realisation risk despite unchanged FY26 output guidance.
After stalling near the upper Bollinger band, the DCE–SGX momentum has cooled but stays constructive, pointing to consolidation rather than reversal without fresh catalysts.


Simandou Hits China, Momentum Softens: Is Iron Ore Entering a Buy-The-Dip Phase?

Australia

Iron ores are rocks and minerals from which metallic iron can be economically extracted. The ores are usually rich in iron oxides and vary in color from dark grey, bright yellow, deep purple, to rusty red. The iron itself is usually found in the form of magnetite (Fe3O4, 72.4% Fe), hematite (Fe2O3, 69.9% Fe), goethite (FeO(OH), 62.9% Fe), limonite (FeO(OH).n(H2O)) or siderite (FeCO3, 48.2% Fe).

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Iron Ore (IRON ORE COMDTY)

Iron Ore Retreat Extends as Seasonal Lull Meets Structural Selling Pressure

Iron ore markets face soft Chinese demand, miner disruptions, and entrenched technical weakness signaling sustained downside risk.

Mint Finance

Iron Ore Monthly (January 2026): Record Chinese Imports, Rising Inventories, And Rising Put Interest

Record Chinese imports and early restocking lifted prices, but rising inventories, bearish technicals, and heavy put positioning suggest limited...

Mint Finance

Iron Ore Under Pressure, but Positioning and Structure Point to Stabilisation

Iron ore prices dropped due to weak steel demand and rising Chinese port inventories. Rio-Glencore talks collapsed. SGX iron ore prices show signs...

Mint Finance

Weak Steel Demand Vs Supply Curbs, Where Does Iron Ore Go Next?

Weak consumption, tightening supply, and cautious positioning collide as iron ore tests key support after a bearish crossover.

Mint Finance

Simandou Hits China, Momentum Softens: Is Iron Ore Entering a Buy-The-Dip Phase?

New supply headlines cool momentum, but supportive demand and positioning suggest consolidation first, with dip-buying interest emerging near...

Mint Finance

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Iron Ore Retreat Extends as Seasonal Lull Meets Structural Selling Pressure

Iron ore markets face soft Chinese demand, miner disruptions, and entrenched technical weakness signaling sustained downside risk.

Mint Finance

Iron Ore Monthly (January 2026): Record Chinese Imports, Rising Inventories, And Rising Put Interest

Record Chinese imports and early restocking lifted prices, but rising inventories, bearish technicals, and heavy put positioning suggest limited...

Mint Finance

Iron Ore Under Pressure, but Positioning and Structure Point to Stabilisation

​Iron ore prices dropped due to weak steel demand and rising Chinese port inventories. Rio-Glencore talks collapsed. SGX iron ore prices show signs...

Mint Finance

Weak Steel Demand Vs Supply Curbs, Where Does Iron Ore Go Next?

Weak consumption, tightening supply, and cautious positioning collide as iron ore tests key support after a bearish crossover.

Mint Finance

Simandou Hits China, Momentum Softens: Is Iron Ore Entering a Buy-The-Dip Phase?

New supply headlines cool momentum, but supportive demand and positioning suggest consolidation first, with dip-buying interest emerging near...

Mint Finance

Iron ore prices dropped due to weak steel demand and rising Chinese port inventories. Rio-Glencore talks collapsed. SGX iron ore prices show signs...