Chief Economist & Political Strategist, CrossASEAN Research

Prasenjit K. Basu

Chief Economist & Political Strategist

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>LDP won just 191 seats (down 68) and Komeito 24 (down 8), marking a decisive end to the 12-year "Abe Shinzo era" of renewed LDP dominance of Japan's polity. </li>
<li>The putative coalition of the CDPJ and centre-left parties have 185 seats, plus 8 for the Japan Communist Party. Big gains for the centre-left, but insufficient to form a government. </li>
<li>The Japan Innovation Party (Ishin) holds the balance of power, with 38 seats. It's ideologically closer to LDP, but ruled out joining it, so a disjointed non-LDP coalition is likely. </li>
</ul>


LDP won just 191 seats (down 68) and Komeito 24 (down 8), marking a decisive end to the 12-year "Abe Shinzo era" of renewed LDP dominance of Japan's polity. 
The putative coalition of the CDPJ and centre-left parties have 185 seats, plus 8 for the Japan Communist Party. Big gains for the centre-left, but insufficient to form a government. 
The Japan Innovation Party (Ishin) holds the balance of power, with 38 seats. It's ideologically closer to LDP, but ruled out joining it, so a disjointed non-LDP coalition is likely. 


Japan: LDP-Komeito Lose Their Abe-Era Majority; Political Uncertainty Ahead

Podcast by Dom Cooke to explore big businesses, Business Breakdowns

Business Breakdowns

Podcast by Dom Cooke to explore big businesses

Learn how companies work from the people who know them best. We do deep research and interview industry veterans, investment professionals, and corporate executives to explain the inner workings of public stocks and private businesses. For each company, we break down their history, business model, financial statements, secret sauce, and bull/bear case. We believe every business has lessons to teach us and Breakdowns is here to highlight them. Learn more and stay up to date at www.joincolossus.com.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Introduction to new investment strategy: activism in Japan</li><li>Potential for high returns with unique approach to investing</li><li>Evolution of opportunity in Japan and potential for success due to increasing pro-shareholder culture</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Introduction to new investment strategy: activism in JapanPotential for high returns with unique approach to investingEvolution of opportunity in Japan and potential for success due to increasing pro-shareholder cultureThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Going Activist in Japan - [Business Breakdowns, EP.185]

Podcast by Ted Seides on Capital Allocators, Capital Allocators

Capital Allocators

Podcast by Ted Seides on Capital Allocators

Allocator and asset management expert, Ted Seides, conducts in-depth interviews with leaders in the institutional investing industry. Guests include Chief Investment Officers from leading allocators, asset managers, strategists, thought leaders, and many more. Our mission is to learn, share, and help implement the process of premier investors.

<ul><li>Toby Rhodes became interested in Japan due to his grandfather's stories about the country and its culture</li><li>Toby is the co-founder and managing partner of Konami Capital, a value and quality oriented manager of small cap Japanese equities</li><li>He discusses the past false starts of Japanese activism, recent changes in corporate governance, and Konami's process for taking advantage of opportunities in the Japanese market</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Toby Rhodes became interested in Japan due to his grandfather's stories about the country and its cultureToby is the co-founder and managing partner of Konami Capital, a value and quality oriented manager of small cap Japanese equitiesHe discusses the past false starts of Japanese activism, recent changes in corporate governance, and Konami's process for taking advantage of opportunities in the Japanese marketThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Toby Rodes - Unlocking Value in Japan (EP.407)

Podcast from BlackRock, The Bid

The Bid

Podcast from BlackRock

The Bid breaks down what’s happening in the world of investing and explores the forces changing the economy and finance. From stock market outlooks and megatrends to geopolitics and technology, BlackRock speaks to thought leaders and industry experts from around the globe about the biggest trends moving markets.

<ul><li>Japan peaked in 1989, but then experienced decades of underperformance and false dawns in terms of economic growth and stock market valuations</li><li>Recent changes in Japan, including increased inflation, wage growth, and more shareholder-friendly behavior from corporations, are leading to renewed optimism for investors</li><li>Japan's history of stagnation and deflation created risk-averse investors, but recent policies and efforts are turning the economy around, making it an exciting investment opportunity</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Japan peaked in 1989, but then experienced decades of underperformance and false dawns in terms of economic growth and stock market valuationsRecent changes in Japan, including increased inflation, wage growth, and more shareholder-friendly behavior from corporations, are leading to renewed optimism for investorsJapan's history of stagnation and deflation created risk-averse investors, but recent policies and efforts are turning the economy around, making it an exciting investment opportunityThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Best Of: Is Japan At An Inflection Point?

<ul>
<li>With nominal GDP growing 6%YoY in the latest 3 quarters, Japanese interest rates will be gradually normalized. The JPY rebound, however, precludes the need for rapid BoJ hikes. </li>
<li>Unwinding of Yen carry-trades should take JPY to ¥125/US$ by end-2024, which will contribute to tightening monetary conditions sufficiently, further slowing inflation (from 2.85%YoY in May-Jun'24). </li>
<li>Appreciating JPY is bad for Japanese equities, so stay Underweight, with a defensive portfolio comprising utilities, pharmaceuticals and consumer staples. </li>
</ul>


With nominal GDP growing 6%YoY in the latest 3 quarters, Japanese interest rates will be gradually normalized. The JPY rebound, however, precludes the need for rapid BoJ hikes. 
Unwinding of Yen carry-trades should take JPY to ¥125/US$ by end-2024, which will contribute to tightening monetary conditions sufficiently, further slowing inflation (from 2.85%YoY in May-Jun'24). 
Appreciating JPY is bad for Japanese equities, so stay Underweight, with a defensive portfolio comprising utilities, pharmaceuticals and consumer staples. 


Japan: Normalizing Interest Rates as Nominal GDP Surges, Ending Deflation Era

Japan

iShares MSCI Japan ETF is an exchange-traded fund incorporated in the USA. The ETF's objective seeks to provide investment results that correspond to the performance of the Japanese market, as measured by the MSCI Japan Index. The ETF invests in a representative sample of index stocks in a variety of sectors using a market cap weighted "portfolio sampling" technique.

iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ US)

Japan: LDP-Komeito Lose Their Abe-Era Majority; Political Uncertainty Ahead

LDP-Komeito have 215 seats, 18 short of a majority. CDPJ and centre-left have 185 seats. JIP holds balance of power with 38. Political uncertainty...

Prasenjit K. Basu

Going Activist in Japan - [Business Breakdowns, EP.185]

Public.com is offering a high yield on bond accounts, while the Business Breakdowns podcast discusses activism in Japan as a compelling investment...

Business Breakdowns

Toby Rodes - Unlocking Value in Japan (EP.407)

Impressed by Michael and Ten East Co., advisor and investor discusses Japanese investment opportunities and upcoming Capital Allocators University...

Capital Allocators

Best Of: Is Japan At An Inflection Point?

The Japanese stock market peaked in December 1989 at 45% of the world's market capitalization, but experienced two decades of low growth and...

The Bid

Japan: Normalizing Interest Rates as Nominal GDP Surges, Ending Deflation Era

Japanese interest rates are set to normalize amid robust nominal GDP. But a rebounding JPY (at ¥125/US$ by end'24) precludes further BoJ hikes,...

Prasenjit K. Basu

Japan: LDP-Komeito Lose Their Abe-Era Majority; Political Uncertainty Ahead

LDP-Komeito have 215 seats, 18 short of a majority. CDPJ and centre-left have 185 seats. JIP holds balance of power with 38. Political uncertainty...

Prasenjit K. Basu

Going Activist in Japan - [Business Breakdowns, EP.185]

Public.com is offering a high yield on bond accounts, while the Business Breakdowns podcast discusses activism in Japan as a compelling investment...

Business Breakdowns

Toby Rodes - Unlocking Value in Japan (EP.407)

Impressed by Michael and Ten East Co., advisor and investor discusses Japanese investment opportunities and upcoming Capital Allocators University...

Capital Allocators

Best Of: Is Japan At An Inflection Point?

The Japanese stock market peaked in December 1989 at 45% of the world's market capitalization, but experienced two decades of low growth and...

The Bid

Japan: Normalizing Interest Rates as Nominal GDP Surges, Ending Deflation Era

​Japanese interest rates are set to normalize amid robust nominal GDP. But a rebounding JPY (at ¥125/US$ by end'24) precludes further BoJ hikes,...

Prasenjit K. Basu

Japanese interest rates are set to normalize amid robust nominal GDP. But a rebounding JPY (at ¥125/US$ by end'24) precludes further BoJ hikes,...