Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>In line with the trend of financial institutions led by non-life insurers selling out of their cross-holdings, today we get an offering of shares held in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/isuzu-motors-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14726:1" rel="noopener">Isuzu Motors (7202 JP)</a>. </li>
<li>Today we got an announcement of 29.28mm shares being offered by a dozen financial institutions and a greenshoe for 15% more. At a 10% discount from here it's ¥57bn/US$400mm.</li>
<li>It is 16 days of ADV, which is big, but the company also announced a ¥50bn buyback from Pricing+6 to end of March 2026. That should stabilise things.</li>
</ul>


In line with the trend of financial institutions led by non-life insurers selling out of their cross-holdings, today we get an offering of shares held in Isuzu Motors (7202 JP). 
Today we got an announcement of 29.28mm shares being offered by a dozen financial institutions and a greenshoe for 15% more. At a 10% discount from here it's ¥57bn/US$400mm.
It is 16 days of ADV, which is big, but the company also announced a ¥50bn buyback from Pricing+6 to end of March 2026. That should stabilise things.


[Japan ECM] Financial Crossholders Offering Isuzu (7202) - Big Buyback Covers Most Of The Back End

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>A group of shareholders aims to raise around US$380m via selling around 4% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/isuzu-motors-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14726:1" rel="noopener">Isuzu Motors (7202 JP).</a>
</li>
<li>Being another cross-shareholding unwind in Japan, it shouldn’t carry much negative connotations, in our view.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>


A group of shareholders aims to raise around US$380m via selling around 4% of Isuzu Motors (7202 JP).

Being another cross-shareholding unwind in Japan, it shouldn’t carry much negative connotations, in our view.
In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Isuzu Motors Placement - Relatively Small Deal Along with Buyback

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mahindra-mahindra-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16441:1" rel="noopener">Mahindra &amp; Mahindra (MM IN)</a> is acquiring a 58.96% stake in SML Isuzu through SPAs with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sumitomo-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5380:1" rel="noopener">Sumitomo Corp (8053 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/isuzu-motors-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14726:1" rel="noopener">Isuzu Motors (7202 JP)</a>, along with open offer.</li>
<li>The acquisition aims to significantly strengthen M&amp;M's position in the &gt;3.5T commercial vehicle segment, doubling its market share initially and targeting further growth.  </li>
<li>This strategic move signals M&amp;M's clear intent to become a full-range player in commercial vehicles, leveraging synergies in product, network, and manufacturing. </li>
</ul>



Mahindra &amp; Mahindra (MM IN) is acquiring a 58.96% stake in SML Isuzu through SPAs with Sumitomo Corp (8053 JP) and Isuzu Motors (7202 JP), along with open offer.
The acquisition aims to significantly strengthen M&amp;M's position in the &gt;3.5T commercial vehicle segment, doubling its market share initially and targeting further growth.  
This strategic move signals M&amp;M's clear intent to become a full-range player in commercial vehicles, leveraging synergies in product, network, and manufacturing. 


Event Driven: Mahindra & Mahindra Acquired SML Isuzu, Strengthening Presence in CV

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>Tokio Marine &amp; Nichido Fire Insurance and Sompo Japan Insurance are looking to raise US$1.2bn by offloading their entire stakes in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/suzuki-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:732:1" rel="noopener">Suzuki Motor</a> by way of a secondary offering.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/suzuki-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:732:1" rel="noopener">Suzuki Motor (7269 JP)</a> stock is flat since the announcement of the placement but has underperformed its peers and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-stock-exchange-tokyo-price-index-topix" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22910:1" rel="noopener">TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX (TPX INDEX)</a>. </li>
<li>With the placement being less than 5% of the number of shares outstanding, there is unlikely to be any immediate passive inflow which could pressure the stock.</li>
</ul>


Tokio Marine &amp; Nichido Fire Insurance and Sompo Japan Insurance are looking to raise US$1.2bn by offloading their entire stakes in Suzuki Motor by way of a secondary offering.

Suzuki Motor (7269 JP) stock is flat since the announcement of the placement but has underperformed its peers and the TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX (TPX INDEX). 
With the placement being less than 5% of the number of shares outstanding, there is unlikely to be any immediate passive inflow which could pressure the stock.


Suzuki Motor (7269 JP) Placement: Likely to Price Today; 7-8% Underperformance Vs Peers/TOPIX

<ul>
<li>Tokio Marine &amp; Nichido Fire Insurance and Sompo Japan Insurance are looking to offload their entire stakes in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/suzuki-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:732:1" rel="noopener">Suzuki Motor (7269 JP)</a> by way of a secondary offering.</li>
<li>With the size of the secondary offering less than 5% of the number of shares, there could be no index buying in the short-term and that will pressure the stock.</li>
<li>If the overallotment option is exercised and the seller of the shares is currently considered as non-float, there could be small passive buying in the short-term.</li>
</ul>


Tokio Marine &amp; Nichido Fire Insurance and Sompo Japan Insurance are looking to offload their entire stakes in Suzuki Motor (7269 JP) by way of a secondary offering.
With the size of the secondary offering less than 5% of the number of shares, there could be no index buying in the short-term and that will pressure the stock.
If the overallotment option is exercised and the seller of the shares is currently considered as non-float, there could be small passive buying in the short-term.


Suzuki Motor (7269 JP) Placement: Limited Index Buying & Weak Markets Could Pressure Stock

Japan

Isuzu Motors Limited manufactures and markets trucks and automobile parts. The Company's products include pickup trucks, light/heavy duty trucks, medium and large-sized buses, recreational vehicles, and sport utility vehicles.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Isuzu Motors (7202 JP)

[Japan ECM] Financial Crossholders Offering Isuzu (7202) - Big Buyback Covers Most Of The Back End

Isuzu announced a 5% offering which appears aimed at non-US intl instos. A dozen financial crossholders are selling. Corporate crossholders are...

Travis Lundy

Isuzu Motors Placement - Relatively Small Deal Along with Buyback

A group of shareholders aims to raise around US$380m via selling around 4% of Isuzu Motors (7202 JP). In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

Event Driven: Mahindra & Mahindra Acquired SML Isuzu, Strengthening Presence in CV

Mahindra & Mahindra acquires majority stake in SML Isuzu to strengthen position in commercial vehicle segment, aiming for further growth and...

Nimish Maheshwari

Suzuki Motor (7269 JP) Placement: Likely to Price Today; 7-8% Underperformance Vs Peers/TOPIX

Suzuki Motor has underperformed its peers by 6.8% and the TOPIX by 7.8% since the placement announcement. Suzuki has a near zero exposure to the...

Brian Freitas

Suzuki Motor (7269 JP) Placement: Limited Index Buying & Weak Markets Could Pressure Stock

Two large holders are looking to sell their entire stakes in Suzuki Motor. That is US$1.17bn including overallotment and 4.87% of shares out. That...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[Japan ECM] Financial Crossholders Offering Isuzu (7202) - Big Buyback Covers Most Of The Back End

Isuzu announced a 5% offering which appears aimed at non-US intl instos. A dozen financial crossholders are selling. Corporate crossholders are...

Travis Lundy

Isuzu Motors Placement - Relatively Small Deal Along with Buyback

A group of shareholders aims to raise around US$380m via selling around 4% of Isuzu Motors (7202 JP). In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

Event Driven: Mahindra & Mahindra Acquired SML Isuzu, Strengthening Presence in CV

​Mahindra & Mahindra acquires majority stake in SML Isuzu to strengthen position in commercial vehicle segment, aiming for further growth and...

Nimish Maheshwari

Suzuki Motor (7269 JP) Placement: Likely to Price Today; 7-8% Underperformance Vs Peers/TOPIX

Suzuki Motor has underperformed its peers by 6.8% and the TOPIX by 7.8% since the placement announcement. Suzuki has a near zero exposure to the...

Brian Freitas

Suzuki Motor (7269 JP) Placement: Limited Index Buying & Weak Markets Could Pressure Stock

Two large holders are looking to sell their entire stakes in Suzuki Motor. That is US$1.17bn including overallotment and 4.87% of shares out. That...

Brian Freitas

Mahindra & Mahindra acquires majority stake in SML Isuzu to strengthen position in commercial vehicle segment, aiming for further growth and...