Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we discuss how Buffett's increased stakes in Japanese trading companies could positively impact Korean trading companies.</li>
<li>In addition, we look back at the past five years and compare how the major Korean trading companies have performed relative to their Japanese counterparts. </li>
<li>In Korea, we believe that the following 5 major Korean trading companies (POSCO International, Hanwha Corp, LX International, Samsung Corp, and Hyundai Corp) could continue to outperform the market.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we discuss how Buffett's increased stakes in Japanese trading companies could positively impact Korean trading companies.
In addition, we look back at the past five years and compare how the major Korean trading companies have performed relative to their Japanese counterparts. 
In Korea, we believe that the following 5 major Korean trading companies (POSCO International, Hanwha Corp, LX International, Samsung Corp, and Hyundai Corp) could continue to outperform the market.


Warren Buffett's Increased Stakes in Japanese Trading Houses - Impact on Korean Trading Companies

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Bloomberg <a href="https://theedgemalaysia.com/node/745954" target="_blank" rel="noopener">reports</a> that the MBO is stalling due to disagreements within the consortium over who will control <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP)</a> after it is privatised.</li>
<li>The Nikkei reported that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/itochu-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18448:1" rel="noopener">Itochu Corp (8001 JP)</a> was set to withdraw from the MBO consortium. Along with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cp-all-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13889:1" rel="noopener">CP ALL PCL (CPALL TB)</a>’s <a href="https://www.cpall.co.th/en/news-en/coporate-news/reaffirmation-of-the-companys-non-participation-in-the-lnvestment-in-a-japanese-retail-company" target="_blank" rel="noopener">non-participation</a>, the MBO’s financing is in trouble. </li>
<li>An <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alimentation-couche-tard-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25103:1" rel="noopener">Alimentation Couche-Tard (ATD CN)</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alimentation-couche-tard-inc" target="_blank" rel="noopener"></a> bid remains in play but has issues. While progressing, the Board’s restructuring plan fails to prove a credible alternative. </li>
</ul>


Bloomberg reports that the MBO is stalling due to disagreements within the consortium over who will control Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP) after it is privatised.
The Nikkei reported that Itochu Corp (8001 JP) was set to withdraw from the MBO consortium. Along with CP ALL PCL (CPALL TB)’s non-participation, the MBO’s financing is in trouble. 
An Alimentation Couche-Tard (ATD CN) bid remains in play but has issues. While progressing, the Board’s restructuring plan fails to prove a credible alternative. 


Seven & I Holdings (3382 JP): A Potential Derailing of the MBO

Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>MSFT cancelling leases for AI DC capacity sending semi-cap sharply lower.</li>
<li>Western Digital dropping after finalizing the split of its HDD and Sandisk businesses.</li>
<li>Japan trading houses will be a bright spot after Buffet's letter signals more buying.</li>
</ul>


MSFT cancelling leases for AI DC capacity sending semi-cap sharply lower.
Western Digital dropping after finalizing the split of its HDD and Sandisk businesses.
Japan trading houses will be a bright spot after Buffet's letter signals more buying.


Japan Morning Connection: 2-Days of Tech Weakness to Price in Will Be a Rough Start for Japan

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>Over the weekend, the Nikkei and Jiji reported the 7&amp;i Board met Saturday and decided Bain would have preferred negotiating rights to buy York Holdings. They bid "over ¥700bn."</li>
<li>That's a trifle lower than the ¥1.2trn Reuters reported (on Christmas Day) Bain bid but details aren't known. Proper structuring would get the vast majority to 7&amp;i in post-tax cash.</li>
<li>For 7&amp;i to decide by the AGM (which could be contentious), they need time to debate. Bids are likely needed in 3wks. In the meantime, "Trump Risk" lurks.</li>
</ul>


Over the weekend, the Nikkei and Jiji reported the 7&amp;i Board met Saturday and decided Bain would have preferred negotiating rights to buy York Holdings. They bid "over ¥700bn."
That's a trifle lower than the ¥1.2trn Reuters reported (on Christmas Day) Bain bid but details aren't known. Proper structuring would get the vast majority to 7&amp;i in post-tax cash.
For 7&amp;i to decide by the AGM (which could be contentious), they need time to debate. Bids are likely needed in 3wks. In the meantime, "Trump Risk" lurks.


7&I (3382) - Bain Gets York Holdings with a Surprising Price, And We Approach Deal Deadlines

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets, JapanConsuming

Michael Causton

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets

Real Insight on Japanese Consumer Markets

JapanConsuming

JapanConsuming is a specialist research firm producing intelligence on Japanese retail and consumer markets. Founded in 2000, JapanConsuming has become the leading provider of insights on Japanese retailers and consumer trends to retailers, brands, government agencies and investors. As well as a highly regarded monthly report on the market, JapanConsuming produces in-depth reports on retail sectors, seminars on key trends and telephone consulting to investors on trends and retailers.

JapanConsuming was founded by Michael Causton and Roy Larke. 

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>World may finally have found the key to real growth after years of trying to build a fashion retail business in shopping centres, but with limited success.</li>
<li>The big problem was that it didn’t have the supply chain skills to compete with the big retailers like Uniqlo and Adastria.</li>
<li>Buying the supplier that helped grow those same chains means World now has a real chance to enter the big leagues.</li>
</ul>


World may finally have found the key to real growth after years of trying to build a fashion retail business in shopping centres, but with limited success.
The big problem was that it didn’t have the supply chain skills to compete with the big retailers like Uniqlo and Adastria.
Buying the supplier that helped grow those same chains means World now has a real chance to enter the big leagues.


Japan

ITOCHU Corporation is a general trading firm handling textiles, wood, machinery, metals, food, chemicals, construction materials, commodities, and energy related products such as oil and gas. The Company operates around the world. Itochu diversifies by operating in satellite communication and data communication businesses.

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Itochu Corp (8001 JP)

Warren Buffett's Increased Stakes in Japanese Trading Houses - Impact on Korean Trading Companies

In this insight, we discuss how Buffett's increased stakes in Japanese trading companies could positively impact Korean trading companies.

Douglas Kim

Seven & I Holdings (3382 JP): A Potential Derailing of the MBO

Itochu’s potential withdrawal and CP All’s non-participation could be the event that derails the MBO. An Couche-Tard bid remains in play but has...

Arun George

Japan Morning Connection: 2-Days of Tech Weakness to Price in Will Be a Rough Start for Japan

Semi-cap lower as MSFT cancels leases for AI DC capacity, Western Digital dropping after business spit concerns, Japan trading houses in focus...

Andrew Jackson

7&I (3382) - Bain Gets York Holdings with a Surprising Price, And We Approach Deal Deadlines

Bain gets preferred bidder rights for York Holdings having bid "more than ¥700bn" - a lot less than earlier reports. Bidders remain silent. Trump...

Travis Lundy

World Buys Mitsubishi Clothing Business

World has found the key to growth by acquiring a supplier business owned by Mitsubishi Corp to compete with big retailers like Uniqlo and Adastria.

Michael Causton

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Dividend (Yield)

Warren Buffett's Increased Stakes in Japanese Trading Houses - Impact on Korean Trading Companies

In this insight, we discuss how Buffett's increased stakes in Japanese trading companies could positively impact Korean trading companies.

Douglas Kim

Seven & I Holdings (3382 JP): A Potential Derailing of the MBO

Itochu’s potential withdrawal and CP All’s non-participation could be the event that derails the MBO. An Couche-Tard bid remains in play but has...

Arun George

Japan Morning Connection: 2-Days of Tech Weakness to Price in Will Be a Rough Start for Japan

​Semi-cap lower as MSFT cancels leases for AI DC capacity, Western Digital dropping after business spit concerns, Japan trading houses in focus...

Andrew Jackson

7&I (3382) - Bain Gets York Holdings with a Surprising Price, And We Approach Deal Deadlines

Bain gets preferred bidder rights for York Holdings having bid "more than ¥700bn" - a lot less than earlier reports. Bidders remain silent. Trump...

Travis Lundy

World Buys Mitsubishi Clothing Business

​World has found the key to growth by acquiring a supplier business owned by Mitsubishi Corp to compete with big retailers like Uniqlo and Adastria.

Michael Causton

Semi-cap lower as MSFT cancels leases for AI DC capacity, Western Digital dropping after business spit concerns, Japan trading houses in focus...

World has found the key to growth by acquiring a supplier business owned by Mitsubishi Corp to compete with big retailers like Uniqlo and Adastria.