Equity Long-Short

Mo Aziz

Equity Bottom-Up

Japan Airport Terminal Co / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-airport-terminal-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18034:1" rel="noopener">Japan Airport Terminal Co (9706 JP)</a> (JAT) has turnaround and set to resume its earnings growth trajectory thanks to Japan's brisk air traffic recovery   </li>
<li>However, future growth is increasingly challenging as domestic traffic stalls, and international traffic growth relies on inbound tourists. What happens if tourists decide to go elsewhere?</li>
<li>Target price JPY5,364 (18% DOWNSIDE) based on 12.7x FY2024 EV/EBITDA (peer group average). SELL, grossly overvalued, Mexican and Chinese airports are far more attractive</li>
</ul>



Japan Airport Terminal Co (9706 JP) (JAT) has turnaround and set to resume its earnings growth trajectory thanks to Japan's brisk air traffic recovery   
However, future growth is increasingly challenging as domestic traffic stalls, and international traffic growth relies on inbound tourists. What happens if tourists decide to go elsewhere?
Target price JPY5,364 (18% DOWNSIDE) based on 12.7x FY2024 EV/EBITDA (peer group average). SELL, grossly overvalued, Mexican and Chinese airports are far more attractive


Japan Airport Terminal (9706 JP, SELL, TP: JPY5,364): Weak JPY Can't Overcome Fundamental Challenges

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas, CrossASEAN Research

Henry Soediarko

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Keisei Electric Railway Co / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The moment of truth is here, the Chinese are finally coming back to Japan. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keisei-electric-railway-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10876:1" rel="noopener">Keisei Electric Railway Co (9009 JP)</a> is one of the biggest beneficiaries of increased tourist arrivals in Japan. </li>
<li>It is trading at 0.04 PEG, a very low valuation considering its potential for producing large growth rate. </li>
</ul>


The moment of truth is here, the Chinese are finally coming back to Japan. 

Keisei Electric Railway Co (9009 JP) is one of the biggest beneficiaries of increased tourist arrivals in Japan. 
It is trading at 0.04 PEG, a very low valuation considering its potential for producing large growth rate. 


Keisei Electric (9009): The Chinese Are Back.

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Invincible Investment / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/invincible-investment-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3617:1" rel="noopener">Invincible Investment (8963 JP)</a> plans to raise around US$230m to fund the acquisition of six hotel assets in Japan.</li>
<li>The stock has done well over the past year and so have most of its deals which we have covered in the past.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



Invincible Investment (8963 JP) plans to raise around US$230m to fund the acquisition of six hotel assets in Japan.
The stock has done well over the past year and so have most of its deals which we have covered in the past.
In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Invincible Investment Corp Placement - Decent Accretion Despite the Large Dilution

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

NTT (Nippon Telegraph & Telephone) / Event-Driven

NTT (Nippon Telegraph & Telephone) (9432 JP)

<ul>
<li>The last of the three-leg rebalance for TOPIX and JPNK400 index weights takes place Wednesday 29 June at the close. This one is a bit larger than expected in April.</li>
<li>There were a large number of cancellations of shares by TSE Prime members in May which ups the predicted value to be traded. </li>
<li>Interestingly, because lots of names have seen share cancellations and FFW drops, the average passive ownership of TSE Float (not other providers' float) has gone up significantly through this process. </li>
</ul>


The last of the three-leg rebalance for TOPIX and JPNK400 index weights takes place Wednesday 29 June at the close. This one is a bit larger than expected in April.
There were a large number of cancellations of shares by TSE Prime members in May which ups the predicted value to be traded. 
Interestingly, because lots of names have seen share cancellations and FFW drops, the average passive ownership of TSE Float (not other providers' float) has gone up significantly through this process. 


Last Leg of TOPIX and JPNK400 FFW Rebal - ¥780bn One-Way Flow Wednesday

<ul>
<li>Japan's reopening has started and pre-departure and on arrival tests for vaccinated tourists have also been abolished. </li>
<li>The beneficiary of this theme is less obvious for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-airport-terminal-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18034:1" rel="noopener">Japan Airport Terminal Co (9706 JP)</a> while it is very obvious for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keisei-electric-railway-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10876:1" rel="noopener">Keisei Electric Railway Co (9009 JP)</a> . </li>
<li>Japan Airport is trading at a PBR premium to Keisei while the former has a higher debt than the latter. </li>
</ul>


Japan's reopening has started and pre-departure and on arrival tests for vaccinated tourists have also been abolished. 
The beneficiary of this theme is less obvious for Japan Airport Terminal Co (9706 JP) while it is very obvious for Keisei Electric Railway Co (9009 JP) . 
Japan Airport is trading at a PBR premium to Keisei while the former has a higher debt than the latter. 


Japan Airport (9706): Not the Best Proxy for Japan Reopening.

Japan

Japan Airport Terminal Co., Ltd. constructs, manages and maintains passenger terminals and airport facilities at Haneda and Narita airports.  The Company operates parking-lots, souvenir shops, and duty-free stores.  Japan Airport Terminal, through its subsidiaries, manages restaurants and in-flight meal services.

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Japan Airport Terminal Co (9706 JP)

Japan Airport Terminal (9706 JP, SELL, TP: JPY5,364): Weak JPY Can't Overcome Fundamental Challenges

Japan Airport Terminal is benefitting from strong air traffic recovery. But future growth is challenging, reliant on international inbound. Weak...

Mo Aziz

Keisei Electric (9009): The Chinese Are Back.

The moment of truth is here, the Chinese are finally coming back to Japan. Keisei is one of the biggest beneficiaries of increased tourism in Japan.

Henry Soediarko

Invincible Investment Corp Placement - Decent Accretion Despite the Large Dilution

Invincible Investment plans to raise around US$230m to fund the acquisition of six hotel assets in Japan. In this note, we talk about the deal...

Sumeet Singh

Last Leg of TOPIX and JPNK400 FFW Rebal - ¥780bn One-Way Flow Wednesday

There are 2+ days until the last stage of the TSE FFW Rebalance is done. This time sees more changes because of increased share cancellation in...

Travis Lundy

Japan Airport (9706): Not the Best Proxy for Japan Reopening.

Japan Airport will benefit less from Japan's reopening compared to Keisei Electric which benefits from the higher number of tourists to Japan.

Henry Soediarko

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52-week Range

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Japan Airport Terminal (9706 JP, SELL, TP: JPY5,364): Weak JPY Can't Overcome Fundamental Challenges

​Japan Airport Terminal is benefitting from strong air traffic recovery. But future growth is challenging, reliant on international inbound. Weak...

Mo Aziz

Keisei Electric (9009): The Chinese Are Back.

The moment of truth is here, the Chinese are finally coming back to Japan. Keisei is one of the biggest beneficiaries of increased tourism in Japan.

Henry Soediarko

Invincible Investment Corp Placement - Decent Accretion Despite the Large Dilution

Invincible Investment plans to raise around US$230m to fund the acquisition of six hotel assets in Japan. In this note, we talk about the deal...

Sumeet Singh

Last Leg of TOPIX and JPNK400 FFW Rebal - ¥780bn One-Way Flow Wednesday

There are 2+ days until the last stage of the TSE FFW Rebalance is done. This time sees more changes because of increased share cancellation in...

Travis Lundy

Japan Airport (9706): Not the Best Proxy for Japan Reopening.

Japan Airport will benefit less from Japan's reopening compared to Keisei Electric which benefits from the higher number of tourists to Japan.

Henry Soediarko

Japan Airport Terminal is benefitting from strong air traffic recovery. But future growth is challenging, reliant on international inbound. Weak...