Japan Experts, Extraordinary Performance, Astris Advisory Japan

Astris Advisory Japan

Japan Experts, Extraordinary Performance

Our Corporate Advisory service is designed to give clients access to a wider range of investors. These include Japan specialists as well as global investors. The goal is to help achieve a fair equity valuation.

Equity Bottom-Up

Japan Elevator Service Holding / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Solid execution and high earnings visibility – The key takeaway from Q1-3 FY3/25 results is that JES is a robust business with strong fundamentals, with double-digit sales (+16.6% YoY) and OP growth (+28.2% YoY).</li><li>Quarterly Q3 FY3/25 OPM reached a historic high of 17.9%, driven by operating leverage with recurring revenue volume from growing maintenance contracts and improving the productivity of its in-house engineers while not introducing any price hikes.</li><li>The resultant gains in market share from OEMs and sustainable margin expansion position the company to continue generating value, especially in an inflationary environment that drives demand for cost-effective and high-quality service.</li></ul>

Solid execution and high earnings visibility – The key takeaway from Q1-3 FY3/25 results is that JES is a robust business with strong fundamentals, with double-digit sales (+16.6% YoY) and OP growth (+28.2% YoY).Quarterly Q3 FY3/25 OPM reached a historic high of 17.9%, driven by operating leverage with recurring revenue volume from growing maintenance contracts and improving the productivity of its in-house engineers while not introducing any price hikes.The resultant gains in market share from OEMs and sustainable margin expansion position the company to continue generating value, especially in an inflationary environment that drives demand for cost-effective and high-quality service.

Japan Elevator Service Holdings (6544 JP) - Sustainable Margin Expansion

<ul><li>Ongoing growth and margin expansion – The company continues to display positive characteristics of a high-quality franchise business with growth opportunities, with Q1-2 FY3/25 results showing sustained double-digit sales (+17.0% YoY) and OP growth (+30.6% YoY).</li><li>Maintenance contracts grew 13.8% YoY organically, and Modernization units remain on a positive trajectory with strong underlying demand given the company’s competitive advantage as an independent provider.</li><li>The company has maintained FY3/25 guidance; we believe the earnings outlook for H2 FY3/25 remains positive given the increasing utilization at the JIK (JES Innovation Center Kansai) and geographic reach, and ongoing productivity enhancement of its engineers resulting in operating leverage.</li></ul>

Ongoing growth and margin expansion – The company continues to display positive characteristics of a high-quality franchise business with growth opportunities, with Q1-2 FY3/25 results showing sustained double-digit sales (+17.0% YoY) and OP growth (+30.6% YoY).Maintenance contracts grew 13.8% YoY organically, and Modernization units remain on a positive trajectory with strong underlying demand given the company’s competitive advantage as an independent provider.The company has maintained FY3/25 guidance; we believe the earnings outlook for H2 FY3/25 remains positive given the increasing utilization at the JIK (JES Innovation Center Kansai) and geographic reach, and ongoing productivity enhancement of its engineers resulting in operating leverage.

Japan Elevator Service Holdings (6544 JP) - Demonstrating High-Quality Characteristics

<ul><li>Q1 FY3/25 results demonstrated a strong start to the FY, with high double-digit growth for both sales (+20.9% YoY) and OP (+39.1% YoY).</li><li>Profitability improved YoY driven by 1) high demand for Repair work improving the sales mix, and 2) continued sales volume expansion driving operating leverage.</li><li>The company continues to gain maintenance market share from OEMs by remaining price- competitive, continues to expand its nationwide network, and has sufficient headcount to cater to growing demand. </li></ul>

Q1 FY3/25 results demonstrated a strong start to the FY, with high double-digit growth for both sales (+20.9% YoY) and OP (+39.1% YoY).Profitability improved YoY driven by 1) high demand for Repair work improving the sales mix, and 2) continued sales volume expansion driving operating leverage.The company continues to gain maintenance market share from OEMs by remaining price- competitive, continues to expand its nationwide network, and has sufficient headcount to cater to growing demand. 

Japan Elevator Service Holdings (6544) - Q1 FY3/25 Results Update

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aeon-delight-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16763:1" rel="noopener">Aeon Delight (9787 JP)</a> has recommended a tender offer from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aeon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3:1" rel="noopener">Aeon Co Ltd (8267 JP)</a> at JPY5,400 per share, a 15.3% premium to the last close.</li>
<li>Despite the skinny premium, the offer is reasonable compared to historical trading ranges and peer multiples. The offer represents an all-time high. </li>
<li>The offer aligns with the midpoint of the special committee IFA’s DCF valuation range and is marginally below the Board's requested price. The required minority acceptance rate is attainable. </li>
</ul>



Aeon Delight (9787 JP) has recommended a tender offer from Aeon Co Ltd (8267 JP) at JPY5,400 per share, a 15.3% premium to the last close.
Despite the skinny premium, the offer is reasonable compared to historical trading ranges and peer multiples. The offer represents an all-time high. 
The offer aligns with the midpoint of the special committee IFA’s DCF valuation range and is marginally below the Board's requested price. The required minority acceptance rate is attainable. 


Aeon Delight (9787 JP): Aeon’s (8267 JP) JPY5,400 Tender Offer

<ul>
<li>Solid execution, high earnings visibility – Q1-3 FY3/2024 results demonstrated a continuation of positive developments in 1) sustained growth in maintenance and repair services, and 2) stronger than expected demand for modernization services.</li>
<li>We believe JES is providing in-demand high-quality services driven by secular growth as building owners convert to reputable independent providers for cost management, and structural demand driving modernization of aging elevators.</li>
<li>The company is on track to increase service capacity with the new JES Innovation Center Kansai (JIK) due to commence operations in April 2024.</li>
</ul>


Solid execution, high earnings visibility – Q1-3 FY3/2024 results demonstrated a continuation of positive developments in 1) sustained growth in maintenance and repair services, and 2) stronger than expected demand for modernization services.
We believe JES is providing in-demand high-quality services driven by secular growth as building owners convert to reputable independent providers for cost management, and structural demand driving modernization of aging elevators.
The company is on track to increase service capacity with the new JES Innovation Center Kansai (JIK) due to commence operations in April 2024.


Japan Elevator Service Holdings (6544) - Business Model Generating Value and Proving Resilient

Japan

Japan Elevator Service Holdings Co. Ltd. offers elevator and escalator maintenance, inspection and renewal services.

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Japan Elevator Service Holding (6544 JP)

Japan Elevator Service Holdings (6544 JP) - Sustainable Margin Expansion

The key takeaway from Q1-3 FY3/25 results is that JES is a robust business with strong fundamentals, with double-digit sales (+16.6% YoY) and OP...

Astris Advisory Japan

Japan Elevator Service Holdings (6544 JP) - Demonstrating High-Quality Characteristics

The company continues to display positive characteristics of a high-quality franchise business with growth opportunities, with Q1-2 FY3/25 results...

Astris Advisory Japan

Japan Elevator Service Holdings (6544) - Q1 FY3/25 Results Update

Q1 FY3/25 results demonstrated a strong start to the FY, with high double-digit growth for both sales (+20.9% YoY) and OP (+39.1% YoY).

Astris Advisory Japan

Aeon Delight (9787 JP): Aeon’s (8267 JP) JPY5,400 Tender Offer

Despite the skinny premium, the offer is reasonable compared to historical trading ranges and peer multiples. The offer represents an all-time high.

Arun George

Japan Elevator Service Holdings (6544) - Business Model Generating Value and Proving Resilient

The company is on track to increase service capacity with the new JES Innovation Center Kansai (JIK) due to commence operations in April 2024.

Astris Advisory Japan

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