Equity Analyst, Event-driven, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Equity Analyst, Event-driven

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

Japan Rental Housing Investment / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Midsize residential JREIT <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-rental-housing-investment" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20653:1" rel="noopener">Daiwa Securities Living (8986 JP)</a> ("DSLIC") launched a follow-on equity offering to partially fund their recently-announced acquisitions.</li>
<li>The primary offer quantity will be 139,047 units and there will also be an over-allotment quantity of 6,953 units.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a closer look at the details of this offering and the historical performance of DSLIC's previous follow-on equity offerings.</li>
</ul>


Midsize residential JREIT Daiwa Securities Living (8986 JP) ("DSLIC") launched a follow-on equity offering to partially fund their recently-announced acquisitions.
The primary offer quantity will be 139,047 units and there will also be an over-allotment quantity of 6,953 units.
In this insight, we take a closer look at the details of this offering and the historical performance of DSLIC's previous follow-on equity offerings.


Daiwa Securities Living (8986 JP): Historical Post-Offering Performance Does Not Look Good At All

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

NTT (Nippon Telegraph & Telephone) / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/monex-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14211:1" rel="noopener">Monex (8698 JP)</a> and Docomo announced an agreement. It is not clear ANY of this has to happen at prices favourable to minorities. But equally, it won't be egregiously bad.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/people-s-insurance-co-group-of-china-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:362:1" rel="noopener">People's Insurance (PICC) (1339 HK)</a>'s implied stub is at a lifetime low. The market is assigning HK$35.6bn less for its steady and profitable life/health insurance stub ops, year-to-date.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jmdc-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28673:1" rel="noopener">JMDC (4483 JP)</a> is a growth stock, growing organically. It is a rare enough thing. If you want to buy the back end, wait until it gets here.</li>
</ul>



Monex (8698 JP) and Docomo announced an agreement. It is not clear ANY of this has to happen at prices favourable to minorities. But equally, it won't be egregiously bad.

People's Insurance (PICC) (1339 HK)'s implied stub is at a lifetime low. The market is assigning HK$35.6bn less for its steady and profitable life/health insurance stub ops, year-to-date.

JMDC (4483 JP) is a growth stock, growing organically. It is a rare enough thing. If you want to buy the back end, wait until it gets here.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Monex/NTT, PICC/PICC P&C, Vertex

Shinko Electric Industries / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>JPX-Nikkei 400 is composed of stocks listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange selected based on multiple metrics relating to size, liquidity, financial performance, and corporate governance.</li>
<li>The annual rebalance of the JPX-Nikkei 400 Index takes place in August every year and the cut-off date for the data used for this rebalance is the end of June.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at Quiddity's final predictions for Potential ADDs/DELs for the August 2022 review.</li>
</ul>


JPX-Nikkei 400 is composed of stocks listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange selected based on multiple metrics relating to size, liquidity, financial performance, and corporate governance.
The annual rebalance of the JPX-Nikkei 400 Index takes place in August every year and the cut-off date for the data used for this rebalance is the end of June.
In this insight, we take a look at Quiddity's final predictions for Potential ADDs/DELs for the August 2022 review.


JPX-Nikkei 400 2022 Rebal: Final Predictions

<ul>
<li>Yesterday after the close, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/comforia-residential-reit-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8200:1" rel="noopener">Comforia Residential REIT (3282 JP)</a> ("CRR") announced a follow-on equity offering to fund part of their recently announced property acquisition. </li>
<li>The primary offer quantity is 22,960 units. In addition, there will also be an over-allotment quantity of 1,140 units. The total size of this offering could be roughly ¥7.4bn (~US$64mn). </li>
<li>Below, we take a look at the attractiveness of CRR's latest offering with greater emphasis on the potential for strong post-offering secondary market performance.</li>
</ul>


Yesterday after the close, Comforia Residential REIT (3282 JP) ("CRR") announced a follow-on equity offering to fund part of their recently announced property acquisition. 
The primary offer quantity is 22,960 units. In addition, there will also be an over-allotment quantity of 1,140 units. The total size of this offering could be roughly ¥7.4bn (~US$64mn). 
Below, we take a look at the attractiveness of CRR's latest offering with greater emphasis on the potential for strong post-offering secondary market performance.


Comforia Residential REIT (3282 JP):  Offering Could Trigger Outperformance Vs Comps

On Friday after market-close, midsize residential JREIT <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-rental-housing-investment" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20653:1" rel="noopener">Daiwa Securities Living (8986 JP)</a> (formerly known as "Japan Rental Housing Investment") launched a follow-on equity offerings to partially fund their recent acquisitions. <div>
The primary offer quantity is 70,476 units. In addition, there will also be an over-allotment quantity of 3,524 units. The total size of this offering could be roughly ¥8.5bn (~US$77mn). 
While such offerings are mostly of interest to primary market investors, we also see such offerings as catalysts for strong secondary market performance making these events worth tracking for secondary market investors too. We have previously discussed the historical pre- and post-offering performance of JREITs in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/j-reit-offering-primer-get-ready-for-offering-season-2021" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:46416" rel="noopener">J-REIT Offering Primer: Get Ready for Offering Season 2021</a>. On average, J-REITs have historically outperformed the TSEREIT Index in the wake of follow-on equity offerings, with win rates exceeding 80%.
Below is a look at the details of Daiwa Securities Living (DSLIC)'s latest offering and an evaluation of its potential to trigger outperformance against the TSEREIT Index.  
</div>

On Friday after market-close, midsize residential JREIT Daiwa Securities Living (8986 JP) (formerly known as "Japan Rental Housing Investment") launched a follow-on equity offerings to partially fund their recent acquisitions. 
The primary offer quantity is 70,476 units. In addition, there will also be an over-allotment quantity of 3,524 units. The total size of this offering could be roughly ¥8.5bn (~US$77mn). 
While such offerings are mostly of interest to primary market investors, we also see such offerings as catalysts for strong secondary market performance making these events worth tracking for secondary market investors too. We have previously discussed the historical pre- and post-offering performance of JREITs in J-REIT Offering Primer: Get Ready for Offering Season 2021. On average, J-REITs have historically outperformed the TSEREIT Index in the wake of follow-on equity offerings, with win rates exceeding 80%.
Below is a look at the details of Daiwa Securities Living (DSLIC)'s latest offering and an evaluation of its potential to trigger outperformance against the TSEREIT Index.  


Daiwa Securities Living (8986 JP): Offering Could Trigger Outperformance Vs TSEREIT Index

Japan

Japan Rental Housing Investments Inc. is a real estate investment trust (REIT) which invests in securitized real estate products.  The Company mainly invests in residential properties.

Japan Rental Housing Investment (8986 JP)

Japan Rental Housing Investment (8986 JP)

Daiwa Securities Living (8986 JP): Historical Post-Offering Performance Does Not Look Good At All

The historical track record of DSLIC's secondary market performance in the wake of follow-on equity offerings is not attractive. I see this as an...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Last Week in Event SPACE: Monex/NTT, PICC/PICC P&C, Vertex

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

JPX-Nikkei 400 2022 Rebal: Final Predictions

I have segmented the JPX Nikkei 400 Potential ADDs and DELs based on conviction levels. The high-conviction ADDs might outperform the high...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Comforia Residential REIT (3282 JP): Offering Could Trigger Outperformance Vs Comps

CRR launched a ~US$64mn follow-on public equity offering to fund their recently announced acquisition of six residential properties. This offering...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Daiwa Securities Living (8986 JP): Offering Could Trigger Outperformance Vs TSEREIT Index

Mid-size Residential JREIT Daiwa Securities Living (8986 JP) launched a follow-on equity offering which could trigger outperformance vs TSEREIT...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA