Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-cycle-carriage-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:347:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Cycle &amp; Carriage (JCNC SP)</a>'s current implied stub value is around its highest-ever level.</li>
<li>The simple ratio of JCNC/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/astra-international-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46:1" rel="noopener">Astra International (ASII IJ)</a> is around its highest level outside the 2008 GFC.</li>
<li>A weak Indonesian rupiah is likely a factor. Still, JCNC is trading rich to its NAV. A takeover from parent <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-matheson-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19718:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Matheson Holdings (JM SP)</a> is idealistic.</li>
</ul>



Jardine Cycle &amp; Carriage (JCNC SP)'s current implied stub value is around its highest-ever level.
The simple ratio of JCNC/Astra International (ASII IJ) is around its highest level outside the 2008 GFC.
A weak Indonesian rupiah is likely a factor. Still, JCNC is trading rich to its NAV. A takeover from parent Jardine Matheson Holdings (JM SP) is idealistic.


<ul>
<li>According to Sing Tao, two PRC firms and a mainland bank have formed a consortium to acquire <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hongkong-land-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15465:1" rel="noopener">Hongkong Land (HKL SP)</a>'s 33-storey Three Exchange Square.</li>
<li>This "news" is straight out of left field. For its part, HKL said the market rumour is pure speculation.</li>
<li>HKL's P/B of 0.24x is closing in on its all-time low of 0.21x during the depths of Covid. </li>
</ul>


According to Sing Tao, two PRC firms and a mainland bank have formed a consortium to acquire Hongkong Land (HKL SP)'s 33-storey Three Exchange Square.
This "news" is straight out of left field. For its part, HKL said the market rumour is pure speculation.
HKL's P/B of 0.24x is closing in on its all-time low of 0.21x during the depths of Covid. 


Hongkong Land: Exchange Square Sale Would Be BIG News. (If True)

<ul>
<li>They are rumours doing the rounds that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-matheson-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19718:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Matheson Holdings (JM SP)</a> could see potential inflow from a free float upweight in the MSCI May review.</li>
<li>The inflow is reportedly predicated on a reassessment of the 59% stake held in Matheson by the privatised <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-strategic-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15081:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Strategic Holdings (JS SP)</a>, that was subsequently cancelled in May 2022.</li>
<li>Elsewhere, Matheson's NAV discount is toward the wide end of its one-year range. </li>
</ul>


They are rumours doing the rounds that Jardine Matheson Holdings (JM SP) could see potential inflow from a free float upweight in the MSCI May review.
The inflow is reportedly predicated on a reassessment of the 59% stake held in Matheson by the privatised Jardine Strategic Holdings (JS SP), that was subsequently cancelled in May 2022.
Elsewhere, Matheson's NAV discount is toward the wide end of its one-year range. 


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-cycle-carriage-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:347:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Cycle &amp; Carriage (JCNC SP)</a> is currently trading at a ~12% discount to NAV, just outside its narrowest post-Covid.</li>
<li>A key catalyst for the recent narrowing was JCNC's inclusion in the SIMSCI Index at the end of last month.</li>
<li>JCNC is expensive here - relative to historical values -  and from an implied stub perspective.</li>
</ul>



Jardine Cycle &amp; Carriage (JCNC SP) is currently trading at a ~12% discount to NAV, just outside its narrowest post-Covid.
A key catalyst for the recent narrowing was JCNC's inclusion in the SIMSCI Index at the end of last month.
JCNC is expensive here - relative to historical values -  and from an implied stub perspective.


Mid-market focused investment bank within SE Asia, Evolve Capital Advisory Pte Ltd

Evolve Capital Research

Mid-market focused investment bank within SE Asia

Evolve Capital Advisory Pte Ltd

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/old-chang-kee-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10465:1" rel="noopener">Old Chang Kee (OCK SP)</a>  is a SGX-Catalist listed company, specializing in grab-and-go finger food such as its signature curry puff as well as skewered seafood offerings.</li>
<li>OCK reported their 1H26 earnings update on 12th Nov 25. Revenue growth was flat at only 0.2% YoY, with both outlet and non-outlet sales remaining stable. </li>
<li>Ideally, we would like to see OCK introduce new key catalysts to spur top line growth, especially given increasing cost pressures in the form of wages and rental.</li>
</ul>



Old Chang Kee (OCK SP)  is a SGX-Catalist listed company, specializing in grab-and-go finger food such as its signature curry puff as well as skewered seafood offerings.
OCK reported their 1H26 earnings update on 12th Nov 25. Revenue growth was flat at only 0.2% YoY, with both outlet and non-outlet sales remaining stable. 
Ideally, we would like to see OCK introduce new key catalysts to spur top line growth, especially given increasing cost pressures in the form of wages and rental.


Old Chang Kee - 1H26 Earnings Update - Sector Weakness Highlights Need for Fresh Growth Catalysts

Singapore

Jardine Strategic Holdings Limited is a holding company with principal interests in Jardine Matheson, Dairy Farm, Hongkong Land, Mandarin Oriental, and Cycle and Carriage.  The Company, through its subsidiaries, operates auto distribution, food and retailing, property investment, property development, and hotel operations.

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Jardine Strategic Holdings (JS SP)

Jardine Cycle & Carriage Is A Short

Jardine Cycle & Carriage's premium to NAV is not justifiable. I'd look to reverse the stub here - Short JCNC, Long Astra.

David Blennerhassett

Hongkong Land: Exchange Square Sale Would Be BIG News. (If True)

Reportedly two PRC firms and a mainland bank intend to acquire Hongkong Land''s Three Exchange Square. HKL said the rumor is pure speculation....

David Blennerhassett

Jardine Matheson: MSCI Upweight Musings

Some readers place a 50% probability of an MSCI upweight. Of more interest is Matheson's ongoing buyback program. They have recently, and...

David Blennerhassett

JCNC Is Still Overstretched Vs. Astra

JCNC is expensive here - relative to historical values - and from an implied stub perspective. And the MSCI inclusion event has now passed. I'd...

David Blennerhassett

Old Chang Kee - 1H26 Earnings Update - Sector Weakness Highlights Need for Fresh Growth Catalysts

OCK reported their 1H26 earnings update on 12th Nov 25. Revenue growth was flat at only 0.2% YoY, with both outlet and non-outlet sales remaining...

Evolve Capital Advisory Pte Ltd

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