Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>JD.com's latest earnings showed a strong commitment to growth, navigating a mix of macro recoveries, seasonality factors and strategic refocus.</li><li>They delivered a growth in net revenues by 4% and recorded a non-GAAP net income attributable to ordinary shareholders of RMB 8.4 billion.</li><li>Cash and cash equivalents, restricted cash, and short term investments totaled RMB 198 billion.</li></ul>

JD.com's latest earnings showed a strong commitment to growth, navigating a mix of macro recoveries, seasonality factors and strategic refocus.They delivered a growth in net revenues by 4% and recorded a non-GAAP net income attributable to ordinary shareholders of RMB 8.4 billion.Cash and cash equivalents, restricted cash, and short term investments totaled RMB 198 billion.

JD.com Inc.: Market Share Expansion via Platform Ecosystem Improvements! - Key Drivers

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>JD.com stock price surged after its 4Q23 results and repurchase decision.</li>
<li>It is not big issue that BYD sales decreased in the weak season.</li>
<li>Alibaba began to close unprofitable Freshippo stores in February, but the company said it has expansion plan.</li>
</ul>


JD.com stock price surged after its 4Q23 results and repurchase decision.
It is not big issue that BYD sales decreased in the weak season.
Alibaba began to close unprofitable Freshippo stores in February, but the company said it has expansion plan.


China Consumption Weekly (11 Mar 2024): JD.com, JD Logisitics, BYD, Alibaba, NIO

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>JD.com (JD) reported (6 March) better-than-expected 4Q23 results with solidly improved outlook for shareholder return: revenue was RMB306.1bn, up 3.6% YoY, 3%/2% higher than our forecast/Bloomberg consensus; non-GAAP net income was RMB8.4bn, ahead of our/consensus estimates of RMB7.4bn/7.2bn thanks to a beat on revenue and better-than-feared margin performance of JD Retail (JDR) business, translating into a non-GAAP NPM of 2.7% (4Q22: 2.6%). For 2023, total revenue was RMB1.1tn, up 3.7% YoY, and non-GAAP net income reached RMB35.2bn, up 25% YoY, with the implied non-GAAP NPM expanding 0.5pp YoY to 3.2%.</li><li>For 2024, management highlighted key priorities on user experience enhancement and market share gains, and we expect JD to reinvest incremental profit in 2024 to drive user acquisition and wallet share gains, amid current intensified market competition.</li><li>However, the improved shareholder return policy should provide support for valuation, while further rerating may hinge on the recovery of consumption sentiment, as well as the fully wearing off of business adjustment impact. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

JD.com (JD) reported (6 March) better-than-expected 4Q23 results with solidly improved outlook for shareholder return: revenue was RMB306.1bn, up 3.6% YoY, 3%/2% higher than our forecast/Bloomberg consensus; non-GAAP net income was RMB8.4bn, ahead of our/consensus estimates of RMB7.4bn/7.2bn thanks to a beat on revenue and better-than-feared margin performance of JD Retail (JDR) business, translating into a non-GAAP NPM of 2.7% (4Q22: 2.6%). For 2023, total revenue was RMB1.1tn, up 3.7% YoY, and non-GAAP net income reached RMB35.2bn, up 25% YoY, with the implied non-GAAP NPM expanding 0.5pp YoY to 3.2%.For 2024, management highlighted key priorities on user experience enhancement and market share gains, and we expect JD to reinvest incremental profit in 2024 to drive user acquisition and wallet share gains, amid current intensified market competition.However, the improved shareholder return policy should provide support for valuation, while further rerating may hinge on the recovery of consumption sentiment, as well as the fully wearing off of business adjustment impact. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

JD.com (JD US) - Driving Growth in a More Ambitious Way

Equity Analyst

Steve Zhou, CFA

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:446:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc (ADR) (JD US)</a> reported a set of better-than-expected 4Q23 results yesterday, as the ADR rose 16% last night in US trading session. </li>
<li>The improvement in net profit margin showed that being more price competitive did not lead to lower margins. </li>
<li>I believe the key takeaway, aside from the resilient 4Q23 results and solid 2024 outlook, is the much improved shareholder return measures.</li>
</ul>



JD.com Inc (ADR) (JD US) reported a set of better-than-expected 4Q23 results yesterday, as the ADR rose 16% last night in US trading session. 
The improvement in net profit margin showed that being more price competitive did not lead to lower margins. 
I believe the key takeaway, aside from the resilient 4Q23 results and solid 2024 outlook, is the much improved shareholder return measures.


JD.com (JD US):  Improved Shareholder Return Is Key

Forensic Analyst

Jason Yap, CFA

Forensic Accounting

In Q1 2021, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:446:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc (ADR) (JD US)</a> reported strong topline growth (+39% yoy) that exceeded consensus expectations mainly due to strong user growth (+29% yoy), with more than 500 million reported Annual Active Users (AAU).  Out of which, 80% new active users came from lower tier cities, which reflects JD's strategy shift to target the fast growing lower tier markets (下沉市场) through its newly formed Jingxi business group. 
As JD continues its transition from the largest retail company in China (by revenue) to a supply chain-based technology and service provider, we can likely expect a moderated revenue growth for its core JD Retail business and incremental investments in New Initiatives and its logistics and fulfillment capabilities, with a key focus on Jingxi.
In Q1 2021, JD announced that Jingxi related businesses, will be carved out from JD Retail and reported under the New Businesses segment.  Having grown to a certain size, the change in reporting segment is not a jingxi or surprise. Instead, JD has been telegraphing the growing role of Jingxi and, more broadly, the moderating pace of growth of its core businesses in mature markets during recent quarter-end earnings calls and in related disclosures.   
This article discusses how to analyse earnings calls and disclosures using a forensic approach, with a view to gain relevant insights on JD's future prospects.

In Q1 2021, JD.com Inc (ADR) (JD US) reported strong topline growth (+39% yoy) that exceeded consensus expectations mainly due to strong user growth (+29% yoy), with more than 500 million reported Annual Active Users (AAU).  Out of which, 80% new active users came from lower tier cities, which reflects JD's strategy shift to target the fast growing lower tier markets (下沉市场) through its newly formed Jingxi business group. 
As JD continues its transition from the largest retail company in China (by revenue) to a supply chain-based technology and service provider, we can likely expect a moderated revenue growth for its core JD Retail business and incremental investments in New Initiatives and its logistics and fulfillment capabilities, with a key focus on Jingxi.
In Q1 2021, JD announced that Jingxi related businesses, will be carved out from JD Retail and reported under the New Businesses segment.  Having grown to a certain size, the change in reporting segment is not a jingxi or surprise. Instead, JD has been telegraphing the growing role of Jingxi and, more broadly, the moderating pace of growth of its core businesses in mature markets during recent quarter-end earnings calls and in related disclosures.   
This article discusses how to analyse earnings calls and disclosures using a forensic approach, with a view to gain relevant insights on JD's future prospects. 

JD - Analysing Earnings Calls and Disclosures Using a Forensic Approach

China

JD.com Inc is an online direct sales company in China.  The Company offers a wide selection of products through its website and mobile applications.  JD.com sells appliances, computers, digital products, communication products, garments, books, and household items to consumers and vendors.

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JD.com Inc (ADR) (JD US)

China Consumption Weekly (11 Mar 2024): JD.com, JD Logisitics, BYD, Alibaba, NIO

JD.com stock price surged after its 4Q23 results and repurchase decision. It is not big issue that BYD sales decreased in the weak season. Alibaba...

Ming Lu

JD.com (JD US) - Driving Growth in a More Ambitious Way

JD.com (JD) reported (6 March) better-than-expected 4Q23 results with solidly improved outlook for shareholder return: revenue was RMB306.1bn, up...

CMB International

JD.com (JD US): Improved Shareholder Return Is Key

JD.com (JD US) reported a set of better-than-expected 4Q23 results yesterday. The improvement in net profit margin showed that being more price...

Steve Zhou, CFA

JD - Analysing Earnings Calls and Disclosures Using a Forensic Approach

JD has at times revised disclosures possibly to conceal growth or margin weakness. We discuss how to analyse earnings calls and disclosures using a...

Jason Yap, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

JD.com Inc.: Market Share Expansion via Platform Ecosystem Improvements! - Key Drivers

JD.com's latest earnings showed a strong commitment to growth, navigating a mix of macro recoveries, seasonality factors and strategic...

Baptista Research

China Consumption Weekly (11 Mar 2024): JD.com, JD Logisitics, BYD, Alibaba, NIO

JD.com stock price surged after its 4Q23 results and repurchase decision. It is not big issue that BYD sales decreased in the weak season. Alibaba...

Ming Lu

JD.com (JD US) - Driving Growth in a More Ambitious Way

JD.com (JD) reported (6 March) better-than-expected 4Q23 results with solidly improved outlook for shareholder return: revenue was RMB306.1bn, up...

CMB International

JD.com (JD US): Improved Shareholder Return Is Key

JD.com (JD US) reported a set of better-than-expected 4Q23 results yesterday. The improvement in net profit margin showed that being more price...

Steve Zhou, CFA

JD - Analysing Earnings Calls and Disclosures Using a Forensic Approach

JD has at times revised disclosures possibly to conceal growth or margin weakness. We discuss how to analyse earnings calls and disclosures using a...

Jason Yap, CFA