Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In 2024, JDE Peet's exhibited commendable performance metrics, characterized by strong organic sales growth of 5.3% and an adjusted EBIT rise of 10.4%.</li>
<li>Sales soared to EUR 8.8 billion, driven by pricing strategies and modest volume improvements, reflecting the company's ability to navigate an inflationary environment bolstered by green coffee inflation of approximately EUR 350 million.</li>
<li>This resilience was achieved through cost efficiency, productivity enhancements, and strategic price adjustments across their product lines.</li>
</ul>


In 2024, JDE Peet's exhibited commendable performance metrics, characterized by strong organic sales growth of 5.3% and an adjusted EBIT rise of 10.4%.
Sales soared to EUR 8.8 billion, driven by pricing strategies and modest volume improvements, reflecting the company's ability to navigate an inflationary environment bolstered by green coffee inflation of approximately EUR 350 million.
This resilience was achieved through cost efficiency, productivity enhancements, and strategic price adjustments across their product lines.


JDE Peet's: Why Its Global Brand Blitz & EUR 1 Billion Buyback Could Be Game-Changing!

Founder, CEO, GSBR Research

Garvit Bhandari

Founder, CEO

Leading Provider of Equity and Investment Research

GSBR Research

We are an independent equity research provider focused on covering global markets. The aim of the research is to provide an unbiased view of the fundamentals of the company.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Keurig Dr Pepper, following the close of the JDE Peet’s acquisition, plans to separate Global Coffee Co. via a tax-free spin-off to KDP shareholders</li>
<li>Post separation, the parent will retain North American refreshment beverages portfolio (Dr Pepper, Canada Dry, 7UP, A&amp;W, energy/functional, RTD alcohol adjacencies).</li>
<li>We view KDP’s two-step transaction as value accretive for shareholders, creating two investable profiles that should appeal to distinct shareholder bases.</li>
</ul>


Keurig Dr Pepper, following the close of the JDE Peet’s acquisition, plans to separate Global Coffee Co. via a tax-free spin-off to KDP shareholders
Post separation, the parent will retain North American refreshment beverages portfolio (Dr Pepper, Canada Dry, 7UP, A&amp;W, energy/functional, RTD alcohol adjacencies).
We view KDP’s two-step transaction as value accretive for shareholders, creating two investable profiles that should appeal to distinct shareholder bases.


Keurig Dr Pepper to Spin-Off Coffee From Beverages Following JDE Peet’s Acquisition

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares MSCI ACWI ex US ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Many major indexes have broken below critical supports, including MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), EURO STOXX 50, STOXX Europe 600, and the DAX.</li>
<li>Odds suggest a bearish downside continuation, and a bearish outlook is appropriate as long as the YTD downtrend remains intact on the ACWI-US, MSCI ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), and EAFE (EFA-US).</li>
<li>There is bounce potential given these broad global indexes are testing their respective downtrend channel supports, but the fact remains that they <em>are</em> in downtrends, a major problem longer-term.</li>
</ul>


Many major indexes have broken below critical supports, including MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), EURO STOXX 50, STOXX Europe 600, and the DAX.
Odds suggest a bearish downside continuation, and a bearish outlook is appropriate as long as the YTD downtrend remains intact on the ACWI-US, MSCI ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), and EAFE (EFA-US).
There is bounce potential given these broad global indexes are testing their respective downtrend channel supports, but the fact remains that they are in downtrends, a major problem longer-term.


MSCI ACWI Ex-US, EAFE Testing Downtrend Channel Supports -- Bounce Potential

<ul>
<li>The theme we have seen over the past four weeks is an increasing number of indexes reversing 4-10-month downtrends and/or breaking above important resistance levels, with no failed breakouts.</li>
<li>We continue to believe that global equities are going through a bottoming process, but the real test will come during the eventual pullback, which we believe we are now experiencing.</li>
<li>We are watching to see whether these breakout levels and important moving averages (e.g., 50-day MAs) will hold.</li>
</ul>


The theme we have seen over the past four weeks is an increasing number of indexes reversing 4-10-month downtrends and/or breaking above important resistance levels, with no failed breakouts.
We continue to believe that global equities are going through a bottoming process, but the real test will come during the eventual pullback, which we believe we are now experiencing.
We are watching to see whether these breakout levels and important moving averages (e.g., 50-day MAs) will hold.


Japan Among the Latest to Break Out; Buy Ideas in Growth/Cyclicals and Consumer Staples

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jde-peet" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28968:1" rel="noopener">JDE Peet (JDE US)</a> is the world's largest pure-play coffee and tea group by revenue with a 7% market share in a fragmented market in 2019, according to Euromonitor. JDE Peet’s has launched its IPO seeking a valuation of between €14.9-16.0 billion at the price range of €30.00-32.25 per offer share. Due to a strong response from investors, the closing of the offer has been brought forward to 28 May at 16:00 pm CET vs the original close of 2 June. </p></div><div><div><div class="content-highlight"><p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/jde-peet-s-ipo-initiation-the-big-grind" target="_blank" rel="noopener">our initiation note</a>, we noted that JDE Peet’s fundamentals are attractive. Our valuation analysis suggests that JDE Peet's is attractive compared to global coffee companies and large European consumer staples on an FY2020 EV/EBITDA and P/E basis. Consequently, due to the combination of a resilient business model and attractive valuation, we would participate in the IPO. </p></div></div></div>

JDE Peet (JDE US) is the world's largest pure-play coffee and tea group by revenue with a 7% market share in a fragmented market in 2019, according to Euromonitor. JDE Peet’s has launched its IPO seeking a valuation of between €14.9-16.0 billion at the price range of €30.00-32.25 per offer share. Due to a strong response from investors, the closing of the offer has been brought forward to 28 May at 16:00 pm CET vs the original close of 2 June. In our initiation note, we noted that JDE Peet’s fundamentals are attractive. Our valuation analysis suggests that JDE Peet's is attractive compared to global coffee companies and large European consumer staples on an FY2020 EV/EBITDA and P/E basis. Consequently, due to the combination of a resilient business model and attractive valuation, we would participate in the IPO. 

Netherlands

JDE Peet's N.V. produces and supplies coffee and tea beverages. The Company markets its products and solutions through a go-to-market approach across the CPG, out of home, retail, and online sales channels. JDE Peet's serves customers worldwide.

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JDE Peet's (JDEPF US)

JDE Peet's: Why Its Global Brand Blitz & EUR 1 Billion Buyback Could Be Game-Changing!

In 2024, JDE Peet's exhibited commendable performance metrics, characterized by strong organic sales growth of 5.3% and an adjusted EBIT rise of...

Baptista Research

Keurig Dr Pepper to Spin-Off Coffee From Beverages Following JDE Peet’s Acquisition

KDP plans, following the close of the JDE Peet’s acquisition, to separate Global Coffee Co. via a tax-free spin-off to KDP shareholders, creating...

GSBR Research

MSCI ACWI Ex-US, EAFE Testing Downtrend Channel Supports -- Bounce Potential

Bounce potential given $ACWX $EFA testing downtrend channel supports, but it would likely be a short-term trading opportunity due to the fact that...

Vermilion Research

Japan Among the Latest to Break Out; Buy Ideas in Growth/Cyclicals and Consumer Staples

Japan is the latest major country to break out, and we are buyers. Japan continues to be considerably further along in the bottoming process...

Vermilion Research

JDE Peet's IPO: Valuation Insights

JDE Peet (JDE US) is the world's largest pure-play coffee and tea group by revenue with a 7% market share in a fragmented market in 2019, according...

Arun George

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