Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

The S&amp;P 500 made a new all-time closing high following the largely as-expected U.S.-China trade cease-fire agreement, but it did so unconvincingly. We would not call it a breakout as the market closed well off of the opening highs and not one cyclical Sector is decisively in new high territory. Overall, the market is sending mixed signals. Barring additional positive developments we believe upside is likely to be muted from here. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Health Care, Services, and Technology: Diagnostic Imaging, Construction &amp; Engineering, Large-Cap, and Solar Energy.

The S&amp;P 500 made a new all-time closing high following the largely as-expected U.S.-China trade cease-fire agreement, but it did so unconvincingly. We would not call it a breakout as the market closed well off of the opening highs and not one cyclical Sector is decisively in new high territory. Overall, the market is sending mixed signals. Barring additional positive developments we believe upside is likely to be muted from here. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Health Care, Services, and Technology: Diagnostic Imaging, Construction &amp; Engineering, Large-Cap, and Solar Energy.

Director | Exposing Creative Accounting, Bucephalus Research Partnership

Robert Medd

Director | Exposing Creative Accounting

Exposing Creative Accounting

Bucephalus Research Partnership

Bucephalus Research Partnership Limited. Exposing Creative Accounting.

At the Bucephalus Research Partnership (BRP) we analyse financial statements using our accountant's practical experience and our own quantitative algorithms for corporate governance, accounting risk and peer performance.

Our thematic research refines our unique algorithms while our single stock research focuses on examples where we discover a significant gap between published accounts and business reality.

​Bucephalus Research Partnership:
- Is an independent fee-based research service
- Does not take proprietary positions, long or short
- Does not solicit business or fees from the corporates we review

Forensic Accounting

The Bucephalus Idea Generator (BIG) picks stocks by combining our work on Creative Accounting and our work on capex and valuation cycles to see which companies are forecast to generate extreme returns and/or are on extreme valuations. The model then creates performance outcomes to search for absolute and relative investment ideas.We run the model every month to see what has changed and which companies are worthy of further investigation.<a href="https://www.buceph.com/bucephalus-idea-model-604975.html" target="_blank">Click here </a>to download a sample company overview from the Bucephalus Idea Generator.

The Bucephalus Idea Generator (BIG) picks stocks by combining our work on Creative Accounting and our work on capex and valuation cycles to see which companies are forecast to generate extreme returns and/or are on extreme valuations. The model then creates performance outcomes to search for absolute and relative investment ideas.We run the model every month to see what has changed and which companies are worthy of further investigation.Click here to download a sample company overview from the Bucephalus Idea Generator.

Extreme Valuations: Global Stock Ideas Using the BORUC Yield

We remain skeptical of the market's upside potential, as we are not sure if anything actually changed in Fed policy, or as a result of the U.S./China trade ceasefire, which has seemingly raised more questions than answers. With that said, 2,817 remains the key resistance level in focus on the S&amp;P 500. In today’s report we highlight attractive opportunities within Airlines, and Home Health Care Services.

We remain skeptical of the market's upside potential, as we are not sure if anything actually changed in Fed policy, or as a result of the U.S./China trade ceasefire, which has seemingly raised more questions than answers. With that said, 2,817 remains the key resistance level in focus on the S&amp;P 500. In today’s report we highlight attractive opportunities within Airlines, and Home Health Care Services.

U.S. Equity Strategy: S&P 500 Fails at Resistance

Asia-Focused Industry Research, Speeda Research

Speeda

Asia-Focused Industry Research

Speeda Research

Speeda Research analysts cover China, Japan, India and SEA on the latest trends and topics. We have analysts of diverse nationalities who are able to access information in their respective local languages to provide customers with comprehensive reports. With access to private company data in these regions, Speeda Research is also able to provide insights into niche sectors which are not usually covered by other parties. We are also able to undertake ad hoc company and industry research reports.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<h2>What are the Alternative Taxes and Tariffs Under Consideration and the Objective and the Nature of Each Option?</h2>In the US, the Trump Administration is considering a variety of options to contain the increasing trade deficit, particularly with regard to one the US’ trading partners, Mexico. In 2015, the United States had a USD67bn trade deficit with Mexico in automobiles and auto parts. USD50.5bn in vehicles were shipped to the US from Mexico in 2015. Total exports in auto parts for OEMs and the…

What are the Alternative Taxes and Tariffs Under Consideration and the Objective and the Nature of Each Option?In the US, the Trump Administration is considering a variety of options to contain the increasing trade deficit, particularly with regard to one the US’ trading partners, Mexico. In 2015, the United States had a USD67bn trade deficit with Mexico in automobiles and auto parts. USD50.5bn in vehicles were shipped to the US from Mexico in 2015. Total exports in auto parts for OEMs and the…

Trump Tax Impact on US-Mexico Auto Industry Could Have Greatest Impact on Mazda/Mitsubishi

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Equity Bottom-Up

Value investing legend Warren Buffett's <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/1044" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1044:1">Berkshire Hathaway Inc Cl A (A US)</a> surprised the investment community when the company revealed new investments in US airlines last November. Observers were even more surprised when a February filing revealed that Buffett had increased the company's airline investments during Q4 (despite Buffett's past criticisms of the industry). Why did Warren Buffett begin buying US airlines last year, after decades of avoiding the industry (and advising other investors to do the same)? And what, if anything, can we learn if we attempt to apply Buffett's investment rationale to China's state-owned airlines?

Value investing legend Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway Inc Cl A (A US) surprised the investment community when the company revealed new investments in US airlines last November. Observers were even more surprised when a February filing revealed that Buffett had increased the company's airline investments during Q4 (despite Buffett's past criticisms of the industry). Why did Warren Buffett begin buying US airlines last year, after decades of avoiding the industry (and advising other investors to do the same)? And what, if anything, can we learn if we attempt to apply Buffett's investment rationale to China's state-owned airlines?

Viewing Chinese Airlines Through Warren Buffett's Eyes (Seriously!)

United States

JetBlue Airways Corporation provides nonstop passenger flight service through its Airbus A320 aircraft.  The Company's airline is based in New York's John F. Kennedy Airport and currently flies to various destinations in the United States.

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Jetblue Airways (JBLU US)

All-Time Closing Highs Fails To Impress

The S&P 500 made a new all-time closing high following the largely as-expected U.S.-China trade cease-fire agreement, but it did so...

Vermilion Research

Extreme Valuations: Global Stock Ideas Using the BORUC Yield

The Bucephalus Idea Generator (BIG) picks stocks by combining our work on Creative Accounting and our work on capex and valuation cycles to see...

Bucephalus Research Partnership

U.S. Equity Strategy: S&P 500 Fails at Resistance

We remain skeptical of the market's upside potential, as we are not sure if anything actually changed in Fed policy, or as a result of the...

Vermilion Research

Trump Tax Impact on US-Mexico Auto Industry Could Have Greatest Impact on Mazda/Mitsubishi

What are the Alternative Taxes and Tariffs Under Consideration and the Objective and the Nature of Each Option?In the US, the Trump Administration...

Speeda Research

Viewing Chinese Airlines Through Warren Buffett's Eyes (Seriously!)

Value investing legend Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway Inc Cl A (A US) surprised the investment community when the company revealed new...

Daniel Hellberg

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