Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of April 30th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Alibaba, China Mobile, CNOOC, Tencent, Xiaomi, CCB, Cig Shanghai, Geely Automobile.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of April 30th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Alibaba, China Mobile, CNOOC, Tencent, Xiaomi, CCB, Cig Shanghai, Geely Automobile.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Apr 30th): Alibaba, China Mobile, CNOOC, Tencent, Xiaomi, CCB, Cig Shanghai

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the performance of Hong Kong Connect implementation in March 2026.</li>
<li>ADD stocks reversed their bridge window drawdown at implementation. The bounce faded by week 3 to 4.</li>
<li>DELETE stocks fell through first week, exceeding Sep 2025. Within the DELETE basket, the names where connect investors sold the most also fell the most.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the performance of Hong Kong Connect implementation in March 2026.
ADD stocks reversed their bridge window drawdown at implementation. The bounce faded by week 3 to 4.
DELETE stocks fell through first week, exceeding Sep 2025. Within the DELETE basket, the names where connect investors sold the most also fell the most.


HSCI / HK Connect (March 2026) Post-Event Review: What Worked, What Didn't

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of April 2nd.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Meituan, BOC, Pop Mart Intl, SMIC, Xiaomi, ICBC, CNOOC, China Life, Alibaba, CK Asset.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of April 2nd.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Meituan, BOC, Pop Mart Intl, SMIC, Xiaomi, ICBC, CNOOC, China Life, Alibaba, CK Asset.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Apr 2nd): Meituan, BOC, Pop Mart Intl, SMIC, Xiaomi, ICBC, CNOOC

<ul>
<li>Mainland investors drove $8.7bn into Hong Kong stocks in March via the Connect Scheme, marking 11 consecutive months of inflows.</li>
<li>Southbound inflows were 23.5 pct lower than Februarys $11.4bn, coinciding with a 5.3 pct decline in HSCEI over the same period.</li>
<li>We highlight monthly southbound flow trends for the top stocks by cumulative inflow and analyse sector-level positioning changes.</li>
</ul>


Mainland investors drove $8.7bn into Hong Kong stocks in March via the Connect Scheme, marking 11 consecutive months of inflows.
Southbound inflows were 23.5 pct lower than Februarys $11.4bn, coinciding with a 5.3 pct decline in HSCEI over the same period.
We highlight monthly southbound flow trends for the top stocks by cumulative inflow and analyse sector-level positioning changes.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (March): $8.7bn Inflows

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 9 companies that listed in August and September 2025 where the lock-up for cornerstone investors ends in the next 5 weeks.</li>
<li>The total lock-up expiry across companies is HK$50.3bn (US$6.45bn) with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zijin-gold-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45448:1" rel="noopener">Zijin Gold</a> making up the bulk of it. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/butong-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44212:1" rel="noopener">Butong</a> and Jiaxin International have a lock-up for pre-IPO investors too.</li>
<li>The cornerstone investor lock-up expiry will increase the number of free float shares between 29-78% and some of the stocks could come under pressure ahead of the expiry.</li>
</ul>


There are 9 companies that listed in August and September 2025 where the lock-up for cornerstone investors ends in the next 5 weeks.
The total lock-up expiry across companies is HK$50.3bn (US$6.45bn) with Zijin Gold making up the bulk of it. Butong and Jiaxin International have a lock-up for pre-IPO investors too.
The cornerstone investor lock-up expiry will increase the number of free float shares between 29-78% and some of the stocks could come under pressure ahead of the expiry.


HK: Cornerstone/Pre-IPO Lock-Up Expiries in Feb/March

Hong Kong

Jiaxin International Resources Investment is primarily engaged in tungsten mining operations, focusing on the exploration, development, and extraction of tungsten ore, and the production of tungsten concentrate. The company operates the Boguty tungsten mine in Kazakhstan, noted as one of the world's largest open-pit tungsten mines by mineral resources. It was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in Wan Chai, Hong Kong.

Jiaxin International Resources Investment (3858 HK)

Jiaxin International Resources Investment

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Jiaxin International Resources Investment (3858 HK)

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Apr 30th): Alibaba, China Mobile, CNOOC, Tencent, Xiaomi, CCB, Cig Shanghai

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba, China Mobile, CNOOC, Tencent, Xiaomi, CCB, Cig...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSCI / HK Connect (March 2026) Post-Event Review: What Worked, What Didn't

HK Connect Mar 2026 implementation cycle is completing. ADD reversed the WAI drawdown at implementation. DELETE continuation worked post...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Apr 2nd): Meituan, BOC, Pop Mart Intl, SMIC, Xiaomi, ICBC, CNOOC

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Meituan, BOC, Pop Mart Intl, SMIC, Xiaomi, ICBC, CNOOC,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Connect Flows (March): $8.7bn Inflows

We estimate inflows to be $8.7bn from mainland investors to HK stocks in March. We highlight flows for Tencent, Xiaomi, China Life, CNOOC, SMIC.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK: Cornerstone/Pre-IPO Lock-Up Expiries in Feb/March

Butong is down 12% today as the cornerstone investor shares become freely tradeable. Bigger cornerstone lock-up expiries this week for Chery Auto...

Brian Freitas

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